
jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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My backyard and shaded places still have full coverage. Places that get a lot of sun are getting bare in spots but others are still fully covered. The cement snow layer from 2/1 is holding on as best it can.
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There was very little water in that snow which melts it easier in the sun. There’s a ton of water in this snow/cement which makes it take longer but the higher and higher sun in late Feb gets it done.
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I’ve yet to see NWS or commercial agencies’ seasonal temps and precip predictions differ much from the climo Nina or Nino maps when these come out, with a couple degrees added for the background climate warming. I pay almost zero attention to most of these since there seems to be little analysis behind them. I pay more attention to the analyses posted here that look at other factors that can override the background ENSO state.
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It makes sense that there would be the cold blob near Greenland because of melting ice.
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Gorgeous out today. The snow is taking a beating for sure but it’s about that time of year anyway and can’t complain for sure this month.
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Ours here held up pretty good despite the rain. When it gets down to the shopping mall dirt piles I just want it all gone ASAP.
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OBS and nowcast 10A-5P both Mon and Tue 2/22-23
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Just like that back to rain here. I guess I would call it 0.1” accumulation here since there was a little that stuck on cold surfaces. -
OBS and nowcast 10A-5P both Mon and Tue 2/22-23
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
You should go to weather.cod.edu and look up the radar that shows Correlation Coefficient. I use RadarScope depiction of it. -
OBS and nowcast 10A-5P both Mon and Tue 2/22-23
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Some slush on car tops and other cold surfaces. Borderline heavy snow. Based on CC I’m about to go back to rain. -
OBS and nowcast 10A-5P both Mon and Tue 2/22-23
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It’s all snow here but not accumulating, maybe a little on cold surfaces. -
OBS and nowcast 10A-5P both Mon and Tue 2/22-23
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Switching over to snow now. -
OBS and nowcast 10A-5P both Mon and Tue 2/22-23
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Just rain here with a few wet flakes mixed in. For those getting snow, don’t expect much to stick if temps are above 32. -
Hopefully when spring comes, it’s warm and not loaded with back door fronts. Those are the worst, and last year was particularly awful.
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Maybe NW of the city could grab a half decent event but the southerly flow usually means lights out near the coast. The way this month has been though, who knows.
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OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
And again, incredible job by Upton. Kudos to any NWS that posts/reads here. Ended up just about exact to what was called for. Looks like universally a 5-7” event across the area (a little less well NW? And Central Park will probably end just under 5”). -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Just went for a walk-gorgeous out. A few flurries coming down but we’re done-the moon is peeking out and clouds are thinning. We had over an inch of fluff with this last round just this evening, my car which was completely cleared this afternoon had that much on it now. I’ll go with the 6-7” others are reporting in this area. And there has to be close to a foot on the ground again total between the cement, the low ratio snow/sleet yesterday and this fluff that ended it. And that brings me up to 40” on the dot for the winter which is probably conservative. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
EWR's been the weenie spot this year. They had 44.2" as of this morning when every other area climo site is still below 40". -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Coming down moderate again in this final band. Awesome! -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Light snow but with big flakes again. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nice seeing everything freshened up and white again. My backyard has about 5” depth with this storm on top of the glaciated cement from before. This snow’s dense too-it was low ratio I think along with some sleet. Deep winter feel outside for sure. Hopefully this band over NJ can pivot through and put us all over 6”. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Moderate snow shower again. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yep, big flakes again. Since Bluewave’s getting pelted again, must be a stubborn warm layer still. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Light to moderate snow here. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Some models like the RGEM showed it as a possibility that snow goes NW and N of the city for SNE and upstate while the coastal is too far offshore and that precip stays east. We’ll see what happens I guess. -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
GFS (old version) is on the RGEM train for the most part. Northern areas get a few inches, maybe 1-2" near the coast and it being focused on I-90/SNE. New GFS v16 is another 1-3" for most of us, more to the north.