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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    LOoks like another mod-heavy batch might be organizing over S CT and rolling SW.
  2. jm1220
    Close to heavy snow now. Like a snowglobe outside and accumulating fast.
  3. jm1220
    Your chances will come. Before we know it I'll be cursing at my screen watching a blowing up clipper or other system just east of me rolling up into your area, a SWFE that's good for brief slush and pellets in MBY clobber you for hours in the deeper cold air, or another system like this but now the SSTs are cooler and the east winds don't roast you. I doubt this is a Nino type year where suppression is a big deal like 15-16 and we actually have a chance to surpass Boston down here.
  4. jm1220
    I think maybe now the warnings can be dropped for Trenton and central Jersey?
  5. jm1220
    I wouldn't totally give up yet on being clipped by that band for a while. It does come pretty close on some models. Although I agree-I'd be pissed if I lived there. I thought for sure Boston would get at least a decent event from this.
  6. jm1220
    If you're talking about Commack, I highly doubt it. I have a maybe half inch coating here and I'm 2 towns away. Although it is coming down hard now.
  7. jm1220
    Coming down at a good clip now and accumulating nicely. Hopefully this lasts a while-doesn't seem to be in a rush to decay.
  8. jm1220
    You can blame it on me moving here.
  9. jm1220
    And it's STILL coming down heavy around Albany. Some places there (maybe more just SW in the Catskills) will definitely have 25" by the end.
  10. jm1220
    Back to pretty much just flurries.
  11. jm1220
    Coating on all surfaces now and snow close to moderate.
  12. jm1220
    Wonder how it’s been down towards Long Beach/Oceanside, good echos there for a while now. Temps there also down near freezing.
  13. jm1220
    Light snow again here in S Huntington.
  14. jm1220
    The general idea of this storm was evident several days ago, minus some places like Boston which I thought would do a lot better but the east winds are still too warm for them this time of the year and the airmass was a bit too mild. We're in the "table scraps" part of the storm which may have been minor or more significant-looks like it will be more minor. But it's not totally over yet, models don't really pivot this out until after midnight.
  15. jm1220
    Snow is coming south through CT and should hopefully merge into what's over southern Nassau/Suffolk. The high end amounts were clearly overdone but hopefully a couple or locally few inches can be salvaged.
  16. jm1220
    Accumulating on colder surfaces now-moderate snow.
  17. jm1220
    Light snow S Huntington.
  18. jm1220
    Awesome, enjoy. Meanwhile I have a few mangled flakes now in Melville. Radar looks like things are consolidating here in western Suffolk.
  19. jm1220
    A lot of times these narrow snow bands can be hard to forecast at much lead time. By the hour the evolution of this seems to be shifting.
  20. jm1220
    6” salvaged for MBY on this run-I’ll gladly take it. I’ll count yesterday as 0.5”-coating of slop that melted last night.
  21. jm1220
    There is a good amount of convection off the coast right now, maybe it’s really onto something?
  22. jm1220
    It would be pretty hilarious if NYC ends up with more snow from this than BOS. I doubt that’s the case still but they only got 1.2” from yesterday and they’re sweating what happens today/tonight the same as us. The radar looks quite intriguing with the blowing up precip south of here but the evolution will have a mind of its own from here. Hopefully it keeps nudging east.
  23. jm1220
    There’s some activity over E Suffolk that may be trying to form into a band also.
  24. jm1220
    If that somehow heads its way up into Long Island, that would be sweet. Right now just chilly and dry here in Melville-there was some rain and a mangled flake or two earlier.
  25. jm1220
    I wouldn’t worry yet East of the city about the precip-the low is slowly sliding East and heavy precip looks like it’s rotating NW towards the island. Overall nice trends today-hopefully many of us have 3-6” later today.
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