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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    Wow, even Corpus Christi right on the Gulf is under a winter storm watch for ice and expected low on Mon night of 18.
  2. jm1220
    I remember flying in from TX during the Feb 2016 cold snap and absolutely freezing when I got off the plane. It was in the mid 70s when I left and probably single digits at JFK. Coming back up from the south, the cold is hard to get back adjusted to.
  3. jm1220
    “Severe” weather I experienced on LI is nothing like actual severe weather in Austin that’s for sure. But yes this is essentially a BECS upcoming for snow and cold in TX.
  4. jm1220
    The Target near the New York Ave/Jericho Tpke intersection is the go to sledding area in my immediate backyard. Significant difference in snowpack between the Smithtown and Islip ends of Rt 111 today as you would expect.
  5. jm1220
    Thanks! The airport is in a more exurban area outside of downtown so it typically gets a couple degrees colder than the city, however the CAA might be strong enough for it not to matter. Camp Mabry is the more representative temp for downtown.
  6. jm1220
    The blocking and big time -AO saved us so far. When that relaxes we’ll torch for sure on the SE ridge.
  7. jm1220
    Nope. The light glaze I mentioned shut the city down. My office told everyone to work from home and it was a disaster.
  8. jm1220
    Low of 6 now expected in Austin on Mon night along with 2-4” snow. I’ll have to look to see when temps have been that cold there. It must be several decades at least. And that amount of snow is also incredibly unusual. When I lived there over 2 winters 2015 and 2016 we had a light glaze one morning and that was it. A few mornings below freezing.
  9. jm1220
    I don’t really remember 93-94, I was 7 years old then. I remember bits and pieces. The first real memory I have was the 95-96 winter specifically Jan 96 which really got me into weather.
  10. jm1220
    The warm air aloft is caused by the strengthening SE ridge and an attempt to have a primary low feature that drives warm mid level air in. This is all cutting into a strong surface high in Canada that is keeping cold low level air in place. Hopefully the ice storm depictions don’t happen. No one wants a 0.5” or more freezing rain event that would cause tens of thousands of power outages.
  11. jm1220
    Yep, insane cold and snow upcoming for Central TX, and today even up to 1/4" ice. Austin may have a high below 20 on Monday with 2-4" also possible!! That hasn't happened there in decades. It's essentially a 93-94 level cold airmass along with 24-30" blizzard equivalent for our area if not even worse. Icy bridges, overpasses still possible as freezing rain winds down | KXAN Austin
  12. jm1220
    Austin’s low might get down to 10 on Monday night and they’re under a warning for sleet/ice. I experienced sleet and a glaze once when I lived there in 2015 but the lowest temp got down to 29-30 very briefly. That kind of cold is absurd for that area. Palm trees naturally grow there.
  13. jm1220
    Yes sleet can definitely help. It’s annoying the day of but it adds a lot of water and freezes solid into the snowpack which saves it as the sun is getting higher in the sky now and melts some of the snow even with below freezing temps.
  14. jm1220
    Just measured about 1.5” in S Huntington.
  15. jm1220
    The snow will get almost to the NY border if not beyond. Question here is how much dry air will have to be overcome that will be coming in from New England.
  16. jm1220
    Whenever you see that ESE dip through PA and NJ in the precip/snow amounts you know there’s a dry airmass this will be up against. We’ll have to see what can make it through our area. Might be quite a battle getting decent snow especially in northern areas.
  17. jm1220
    Another 30 mile or so bump north would be best. There’ll also be a dry airmass for this to deal with.
  18. jm1220
    I’m not sure ratios would be great if there’s still slight lift in the DGZ. Cold temps alone don’t cause high ratios. If we get light stuff that keeps getting eaten by dry air ratios might not be great. It can be cold but also have bad snow growth and needles/sand that’s 10-1 ratio.
  19. jm1220
    I think advisory is 3 inches or more within 24 hours? NYC and LI might be borderline for that. Guess we’ll see.
  20. jm1220
    We’ll see what they have with the PM update. Not a huge shift but seems like we’re at least getting to I-80 with accumulating snow tomorrow.
  21. jm1220
    You can always bank on a north trend especially this year with the SE ridge. Hopefully it’ll be a nice event for most tomorrow. I’d probably go 2-4” as well especially I-80 and south.
  22. jm1220
    Amazing how Central Park has 32.5” this season and Syracuse only 47.6”. Also more snow on the ground down here vs there. Also around 32” now for the season in Huntington.
  23. jm1220
    Temp above freezing here now. I guess whatever does fall at this point would be rain.
  24. jm1220
    15 here. Over a foot on the ground here in S Huntington.
  25. jm1220
    RGEM looked a little colder to me than last run.
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