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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    It's probably a good thing most models see this suppressed this far out.
  2. jm1220
    Verification. Not too bad generally but Monmouth County worst bust it looks like-warmth and maybe not as much precip. In general I was a little too high for most except in the max zone in N NJ. Dryslot ended the really heavy snow a little earlier than I would've thought, bad 700mb low position for east of the city but insane front end made up for it.
  3. jm1220
    Nice coating here again with a decent show shower currently. Snowpack has the new look to it again
  4. jm1220
    This was a very good storm but won't rate highly on NESIS scale. I wonder if it would even be considered a near-miss? In New England unfortunately Boston only had 1.2"? NYC-17.2" (may make it to 18" with snow showers still around) LGA-13.5" JFK: 12.6" ISP: 11.4" (seems low to me but is what it is. Most Long Island totals are 13-16") Upton: 14.0" BDR: 15.8" EWR: 17.7" PHL: 7.9" DCA: 3.2" IAD: 5.7" BWI: 4.0"
  5. jm1220
    Light snow, dusting now since the temp is 31.
  6. jm1220
    Just saw Hicksville with the highest Nassau total at 17.6". Another yikes. I'd have to say that's a little high but the snow has compacted a good bit and has more water because of the light drizzle so who knows. Next door there's a lowball 9.7" in Plainview.
  7. jm1220
    Boston only ended with 1-2”. Yikes. Central Park about 4” above them for the winter now. Snow/drizzle here, temp 33.
  8. jm1220
    I wouldn’t be too concerned about what it shows for surface temps.
  9. jm1220
    Yes overall a very good performance. And recognizing the setup beforehand made it clear the jackpot would be in N NJ and S NY but other places could still do very well.
  10. jm1220
    Light snow here again.
  11. jm1220
    Hopefully Central Park can make it to 18”. Of course they might just decide not to measure if it’s just very minor additional amount.
  12. jm1220
    The map in much of Nassau and W Suffolk is low. Every recent report from this area was over 12” and it shows 8-12”.
  13. jm1220
    Very nice event for you guys and overall a little better than I expected that far west. State College getting 12”+ from any event is a huge win. I ended up with probably 14-15” here, so a pretty huge area getting at least 10” snow amounts.
  14. jm1220
    12.5” in State College and 17.2” in NYC so this storm joins the list. I think the last of these was 1/27/2016?
  15. jm1220
    Drizzle, 33 degrees. Snow has definitely settled a little and became wetter with the drizzle/sleet overnight and this morning.
  16. jm1220
    This could be one of the very rare storms that drop 12”+ in both State College PA and NYC. Central Park has 17.2” and reports around State College are just shy of 12” and there’s still snow falling there.
  17. jm1220
    On Norton MA NWS home site then click on Snow Totals
  18. jm1220
    Not necessarily, ratios can be below 10-1 sometimes especially if it’s wet snow or rimed flakes/snow grains.
  19. jm1220
    Wow, NWS map has a 16.2” report in Syosset, 18.1” E Northport and 15.9” in Commack. Did anything fall overnight? I have to be a little more conservative because of the blowing snow, as well as whatever falling off the roofs inflating the totals. I see NorthshoreWX had 14.9” so I probably had something like that. Regardless, awesome event and it may not 100% be over yet.
  20. jm1220
    Still snow here with the activity moving in now.
  21. jm1220
    Philly has around 6” at last report 7pm and probably ends up at 7-8”. They didn’t make it to what was predicted exactly but I think they were expecting 8-10” so if that not bad. Boston was always very questionable but near the harbor might end up with only a few inches because of the blessing/curse easterly flow which today is a curse. West side of the city might get 8-10”. DC did bust I think but Miller B storms like this 95% of the time don’t produce there-they bomb out too far NE.
  22. jm1220
    Nice!! Snowing lightly here as well again.
  23. jm1220
    Boston ouch, downgraded to an advisory because either snow that's not sticking or rain/snow mix.
  24. jm1220
    For once I can accept they measured a little too much vs how they usually undermeasure.
  25. jm1220
    I think in the end the models will end a little too bullish east of the city (certainly not SW CT though, it really came together there). The dryslot came in fast again like Dec because of the less than ideal 700mb track. Even this morning they mostly had 16-20" here and although there's an outside chance over the next day we make it to the low end of this but 13-14" is probably what I have. Still a great event regardless. I think there was a GFS v16 run yesterday that showed the distribution particularly well with the huge max over E PA, S NY and NJ where the 700 low would allow the best pivot which looks like it'll verify very well.
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