
jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
NAM has been great with these mid level warm layers this year. -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
In Oceanside? -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Light sleet/snow falling, tiny flakes. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
There could be something of one tomorrow but I wouldn’t think it’s more than an inch or two. Gets going offshore too late if at all. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Light sleet with a few flakes now in this lighter stuff. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
We should hopefully add 1-2” from that part but it won’t be major. So if we end this with 4-5” it would bring us to 5-7” which is what was expected pretty much -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Obscenely heavy snow now. Wow -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Please keep the climate change and complaints about NWS out of this thread or better yet not post. I’m removing them as soon as I see them. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Getting absolutely dumped on now with these huge flakes. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Back to just snow with gigantic flakes. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Snow sleet mix now. All of it coming down quite heavy. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yep so far I don’t think any sleet up here. Huge fat flakes. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Dual pol has a chopped up appearance now in central NJ-probably lots of sleet and snow back and forth. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Just like that-big aggregates. Coming down heavy. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Dual pol has the sleet dampening out for now as it tries to head east from NYC (I know I just jinxed it and it will surge east-you can thank me lol). Poster ARyan from Long Beach had snow sleet mix not long ago. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yep, just about heavy here now. Like a snow globe. Even the warmer models never really cleared the warm mid level air through here so hopefully it can just be brief mixes with sleet. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Moderate snow here and I have 2” or so. Hopefully the sleet can be held back or it’ll be tough for anyone outside the death band this morning to make it to 6”. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah-yuck. Looks like sleet advancing pretty fast in NJ. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Some of those red/oranges in SE PA are definitely sleet. Hopefully it washes out a little as it gains latitude. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
OKX mixing line is sinking back south of LI for now. Looks like as it’s been this winter it’s when the rates lighten up that warm air can advance. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yes absolutely. Huge flakes. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That said the soundings above 850mb to 750mb are very marginal starting at noon or so on the NAM for around the city. Lighter rates could definitely mean some mixing then. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Strange how Dual-pol has it largely being pinned south and west of Philly. Like you said I guess it depends on rates? -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The sleet is being held SW of Philly for now. It will head NE but I'm pretty confident that the vast majority of this subforum won't have snow amounts knocked down much if at all by sleet (outside maybe the Monmouth County people who already have a lot). Now until 2-3pm is when we get 90% of what falls I think. Borderline moderate here now. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
jm1220 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looking at that banding over NJ and heading into NYC-wow. Many along I-80 might reach warning criteria after all.