jm1220

Rain just keeps drying up as it pushes east past NYC, and what's left seems to want to rain itself out where it is. Not optimistic I'll get more than a period of moderate-ish rain. Seems like we're going into typical coastal summer drought mode.

Very little here so far, enough to barely wet the ground. Hopefully a period of at least moderate rain coming in-we need it. Unfortunately models seem to have the split-screw where NJ gets dumped on as it has been, then another round goes E or SE of us. Hopefully that's wrong.

I drive through Hauppauge and Commack today and the tree damage looked pretty severe. You go any distance west of me and there’s almost no damage. My neighborhood seems to be where the wind damage really started. My power just came on 30 mins ago.

No power at my place since the storm and estimated to stay that way until tonight. The damage doesn’t look terrible in my neighborhood (some large branches and limbs down) but a huge branch came down in the worst possible spot and knocked out several power lines to the homes on my side of the street. The damage I’m seeing reminds of me of the Mar 2010 nor’easter that had 70-80 mph wind in Long Beach.

I’m in Long Beach now but I hear the damage on my street in Hunt Station is pretty bad. Power is also out there. Looks like they were close to the worst but that may have hit just east in Commack/Hauppauge. Anyway, definitely ends the T-storm drought up there.

Never thought Long Beach would be the place for storms, but it was nasty here and got drenched. I thought my move to the north shore would help me with severe a little, but Huntington hasn’t gotten anything so far this spring/summer and I mean anything.

Huge tower going up just north of Long Beach-massive. Whoever’s under that’s getting dumped on. Of course it’ll miss me just north. Looks like it formed on the sea breeze front.

Looks like 88-89 in Melville. Scorcher out there today.

I've mentioned this before but the increased melting from Greenland is likely reinforcing this pattern. That dumps cold water formerly locked up in glaciers into the Newfoundland area, and promotes the troughs getting stuck near there. The ridge that pops up over the trough in Greenland promotes more melting, especially this time of year when much more heat is available (and more heat in general due to global warming). It seems that this year with the west based -NAO in late spring is causing potentially a record melt season there. It won't always be the case, but it's like rolling dice with two or three times the possibility of getting snake eyes. I know it's not the climate change thread but it's not hard to see the connection to the last 2-3 months' continuous pattern.

The higher heights around Greenland are starting to relax in the long term, which should make it easier to allow ridging in the East. However, the same low heights are lingering near Newfoundland. Why this pattern couldn't happen 5 months ago...

I will say that it seems likely to me that the tendency towards 50-50 lows and troughs over Newfoundland is due to the cool waters constantly in that region. The cool water is likely helped by glacial melt from Greenland.

Still not all the way there for sure though. The fact that a 40k person city (higher in the summer) still has no hospital is a major problem. Parking is even worse now from all the raised houses and additional no-parking driveways. The bay side is still as vulnerable to flooding as ever, and that's how most homes were flooded by Sandy (mine included) since that side of the city is lower in elevation than by the ocean. In many nor'easters it's a joke how much flooding there still is from the bay. The beach side is much better though.

Likely power outages in part of Long Beach-reports of transformers blowing. My lights flickered but am still on. But yikes.

Wow, that was.... quite intense in Long Beach. Crazy thunder/lightning and probably some of the highest T-storm winds I observed here. Wind was roaring for a few minutes.

Rain for about 3 seconds in Long Beach. Storm literally went about 1-2 miles north. Cool looking shelf cloud associated with it and some gusty wind.

Take the Sag down to Fire Island where wunderground has it at 62 right now. Scorcher here in Melville too, looks like we’re in the low 80s.

Not optimistic about anything to force a pattern change to warmer anytime soon. The cold SSTs east of Newfoundland aren’t going anywhere, and we keep seeing troughs wanting to dig in near there for the foreseeable future. That will keep the highs going over the Maritimes, and they’ll try to keep backdoors coming in. Maybe we won’t be dreary to today’s extreme later this month, but I’d be pretty stunned if May ends up above average for temps.

Take a few hundred 747s, dump napalm and light the match east of Newfoundland. That cold anomaly up there will keep reinforcing the backdoors for as long as possible.

The last few years have gone from winter, to socked-in, to summer. Of course, this year it's "winter", to socked-in to probably summer when the -NAO/marine layer crap finally breaks.

That was a nice 3 hour warmup. Winds already backing to the east and noticeably chillier.

Finally somewhat sunny outside and warm, even if very temporary as we’re about to get socked in again.

Just cranked the heat up. On May 1st=no bueno.

Troughs northeast of us in the Maritimes this time of the year almost always mean the backdoor gets most of us. This looks like a pretty deep trough too reinforced by the -NAO, so it'll be tough for surface warmth to make it this far NE.

Moderate shower coming through now. Looked at sunset like we were clearing out and the sun broke through briefly, but then showers started rotating in again from the Sound.

Nice surprise rain event here. Quite a soaking, gauges here are all over 1”.