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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. It's pouring where I am about 25mi SE of Midtown but it's about 15-20mph wind at best. High tide wasn't even all that impressive. Glad to be on the west side for once lol. For comparison Isaias had 78mph gusts here but maybe 5 minutes of actual rain. The bend NW is starting though so someone will get nailed with the rain in CT, upstate NY or down here.
  2. We'll be fine here. High tide came and went, and it's really about a 15-20 mph breeze where I am 6 blocks from the beach, seriously. Have to watch where the rain sets up with the NW bend, where it sits will have street/basement flooding.
  3. For comparison Isaias gusted to 78mph at Farmingdale. There will be an area that winds get nasty but surge/wind won’t be a big deal outside of coastal RI. It’ll be talked about much more for rain.
  4. Big rain still to come on the Euro. For most 4”+. Essentially a 2/25/10 scenario from the hook west, interaction with the ULL and slowed down movement. If that hook really happens someone will get crushed just SW of it. 4.45” Central Park so far.
  5. I definitely do believe the Catskills area rain max given the upslope somewhere and assumed hook left.
  6. Euro’s really harping on this interaction with the ULL and hook left to bring heavy rain west. Honestly it’s pretty believable given how tropical systems usually behave at our latitude.
  7. Yowzers. Hopefully that’s wrong after what happened tonight in NYC.
  8. Decent breeze in Long Beach but peaceful otherwise. Had a literally 5 second long heavy shower a little bit ago. This will be known for rain for this sub forum other than maybe the far eastern posters.
  9. Subways are closing, Brooklyn Battery Tunnel shut down I believe, water rescues in Brooklyn and cars elsewhere stalled/roads closed. So…. Pretty bad.
  10. I’m also seeing it heading due N on radar. Not seeing NNW. At any rate Central Park has 4.09” before any banding from the storm itself gets here. Radar estimating 5” in parts of Brooklyn. Crazy enough on its own.
  11. Wobbles tend to happen with these. We have to watch over the next hour or so to see if it stays NNW or wobbles back east.
  12. I had one once when I lived in Austin TX in May 2015 during the epic floods there. It was crazy. Creeks overflowed and literally flowed through downtown. If it’s an emergency NWS isn’t messing around at all.
  13. I have maybe 1.5” here in Long Beach but crazy situation in Manhattan/Brooklyn and the main show’s not here yet.
  14. Yep. Pretty potent line just went through there. Radar estimating over 2” around Hicksville/Westbury too.
  15. It’ll weaken pretty fast once it’s north of the Gulf Stream. Models mostly have it making landfall as a 50-60mph TS. There’s no mechanism to keep it going over colder water like Sandy had. This’ll be mostly known for rain except a narrow area east of the center and near water.
  16. Euro still has over 3” of rain for most of us. It’ll be surprising if it’s that compact as the GFS when it gets here.
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