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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    GGEM came in a good bit NW also like the RGEM.
  2. jm1220
    Hopefully for comparison we get the v16 GFS today.
  3. jm1220
    I'm fairly confident here we have a few inches to rebuild/freshen the snow pack but hopefully it can be more. You need something quite amped in this setup to get it well NW of the city but the NAM would get it done.
  4. jm1220
    Geez. Hopefully it had a clue here and we see the other models go the same way.
  5. jm1220
    Southerly flow off the ocean raising temps quite a bit here. Temp 40 now.
  6. jm1220
    Don’t think it got quite that warm here but some more snow on Sun would be nice. We’re losing more today too.
  7. jm1220
    Fine by me. I’d rather be on the northern edge of these than sweating the rain snow line. A few inches or so to build/refresh the pack works.
  8. jm1220
    They had a large chunk of the storm as rain here but 95% of it was snow.
  9. jm1220
    They were pretty significantly too amped with the past storm at around this range.
  10. jm1220
    18z and 6z runs also incorporate updated data. It’s a myth that somehow they just run off previous 12z or 0z data.
  11. jm1220
    Looking pretty strongly like this will be a hit in some way for most of us. Coast is favored this time but models like the Nam spread the fun well inland too.
  12. jm1220
    Yes it's a southern stream wave, but embedded in a fast pattern and not slowing down/amplifying too much. NAM would be the best outcome obviously but at this range it can be too amped. Hopefully others trend NW again at 18z/0z.
  13. jm1220
    Still time for it to come NW enough for most of us to get a few inches and possibly more near the coast. The nature of this being an Arctic wave means it won’t be a long lasting event- it won’t amplify like crazy and slow down. This wouldn’t be the kind of storm for huge amounts, maybe 6-8” type stuff at most.
  14. jm1220
    Good sign IMO. Hopefully we can trend it and amp it enough for a 3-6 type event down here.
  15. jm1220
    The SE ridge often trends more amped at the last minute and is characteristic of Nina winters so that can help us here.
  16. jm1220
    Nice big flakes too. Ground is covered again.
  17. jm1220
    Light snow here again. Just LOL at this point.
  18. jm1220
    Arguably the very intense snow the NYC area had on Monday would’ve been less so if the water temps were a few degrees cooler. The length overall made for the probably record amount in NJ but the easterly jet on it was like a mini atmospheric river from the east and it was cold enough for that to be snow. And it wasn’t that powdery a snow, it’s water logged.
  19. jm1220
    Thanks for the finds, Don!!
  20. jm1220
    If it was 2-3 degrees colder in Boston they would’ve had 12” like places very close by did. Was an extremely close call there and models were too cold by just a tiny amount which meant mostly white rain in downtown and where Logan Airport is. Can’t speak for Central Park really but 17.4” wasn’t bad at all, may have been 18” but can’t complain too much.
  21. jm1220
    Crazy right? Still snowing here. Up to 15” (estimate) here adding from last night/today. And again that could be a little conservative since the other totals around me were higher than what I thought mine was. I see Central Park didn’t measure again but they probably made it to 17.5”, not sure how much snow regenerated over the city but there was a period of light snow overnight at Central Park too.
  22. jm1220
    About 1” here from the light snow yesterday and this AM. Still snowing!
  23. jm1220
    About 0.9-1” total with the snow from yesterday and overnight here. Still light snow wow
  24. jm1220
    It's probably a good thing most models see this suppressed this far out.
  25. jm1220
    Verification. Not too bad generally but Monmouth County worst bust it looks like-warmth and maybe not as much precip. In general I was a little too high for most except in the max zone in N NJ. Dryslot ended the really heavy snow a little earlier than I would've thought, bad 700mb low position for east of the city but insane front end made up for it.
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