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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    There must be crazy snow rates moving into southern Nassau and Queens. Wow
  2. jm1220
    Back down to 28 here.
  3. jm1220
    Given how much most already have and the easterly jet moisture still to come in, most are good to end up well over a foot and even places east of the city are in the game for 18”.
  4. jm1220
    The places that have sleet or other mixing right now will go back to snow when the rates pick up. In drier patches there isn’t the lift needed to make good snowflakes which means there can be sleet or graupel instead.
  5. jm1220
    Just measured 5” on average here. Another good burst coming down now.
  6. jm1220
    27-28 degrees here, already 34 in Montauk. That’s unfortunately why amounts will be substantially less out there where it’s already above 32.
  7. jm1220
    Moderate snow and big flakes falling currently. Haven't measured yet but looks like a few inches or so. Fun fun day upcoming. 6z models all have upwards of 17-20" to come for my backyard through NYC.
  8. jm1220
    Yes-snow should consolidate and get heavier overnight as the moist easterly flow and strong lift take over.
  9. jm1220
    This will fill in and intensify as it reaches us. The storm is generating a little late for the DC area and models have the most precip to come from Philly on north/east.
  10. jm1220
    Thanks! I just downloaded it.
  11. jm1220
    Radarscope is good too, you download that on your phone. Looks like the beginnings of the heavy snow are coming together in S NJ.
  12. jm1220
    Borderline moderate now, ground is covered.
  13. jm1220
    This is a better site. The new NWS radar is unusable for me. COD: Satellite and Radar
  14. jm1220
    NAM 3km 10-1 snow map
  15. jm1220
    This is the 10-1 map. Kuchera map has up to 30" in N NJ.
  16. jm1220
    NAM is gorgeous. Looks maybe a little colder/south to me. Insane snow rates for the morning through mid afternoon for the I-78/I-80 corridor and then spreading north.
  17. jm1220
    Light snow now, temp 23.
  18. jm1220
    It'll get further than that but the precip will largely be gone by then. Thus we still get high totals.
  19. jm1220
    Surprised Upton went that high honestly. I thought I was being bullish calling for 18" in Central Park and they outdid me.
  20. jm1220
    First flurries in Huntington.
  21. jm1220
    We probably mix over at some point but it would be as the heavy precip is leaving/gone anyway. It could just be a long period of drizzle.
  22. jm1220
    Yup, we should do very well. Not the jackpot but best event since possibly 3/21/18. I'd say 80-90% chance we at least get into double digits.
  23. jm1220
    That said it's the most amped of the models with it and other models like the NAM have the mid level features a bit to the east. However a fast dry slot is always a threat when the 700 low goes west of you.
  24. jm1220
    It's new (v16) so hard to say how it'll do this close in but the 700 low north of Philly isn't what you want to see near NYC. We want that just off the NJ coast. It's been backing off the huge totals and QPF in this area the last few runs likely because of that- brings the dry slot in faster and also risks more warm air for coastal spots.
  25. jm1220
    This GFS run was a good bit more amped/west than the last one especially with the mid level lows. This run has the 700 low over Bucks County PA which is west enough that verbatim the dry slot can make it east of the city pretty quickly. Of course it's great west of the city but here it's not ideal and would probably mean east of the city stays under a foot.
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