hawkeye_wx

The random bullish model runs have no follow-through. Usually, the very next run is a big jump back south.

We need the PV lobe to delay its southward plunge for a day so the pacific wave has an opening. Something like the 06z GFS would be ideal.

1.1" total here from only 0.03" liquid. That's a 36:1 ratio.

A yellow band on radar has been parked over that area for a couple hours. 4-5+" reports are not surprising at all. I will have to settle for a bit over 1".

I'm at about an inch so far. It's a bit clumpy. Unlike the disappointing 10:1 snow a couple days ago, this stuff is pure dandelion fluff.

Even here on the northern edge of the band, the flakes are large and floating down like feathers. I just wish it was heavier.

The heavier snow has remained south of me so far. I'd really like it to lift north a bit.

So, of course, the 00z Euro decides to flip to what the GFS had been doing and crushes any chance of any precip in our region. Ugh.

The GFS has improved significantly next weekend. Hopefully, this wave will pan out better than the Superbowl wave train has.

It's about -15º here in the city. The Cedar Rapids airport officially hit -20º

I have received only 0.7" of snow this afternoon. I expected a bit better, but the ratio is lousy. The 0.7" of snow melted down to 0.07" liquid, so a 10:1 ratio.

I only need about 15" (after today's snow) to break the Cedar Rapids record. Bring it on.

All the models this morning are very active into the extended range.

It did not take long for the snow to reach the ground here. It's snowing pretty good. I may be able to get an inch before it quickly moves out.

Brutal cold behind the system, too.

00z GFS

Two other storm notes... - The Cedar Rapids airport reported a 51 mph gust. I don't remember hearing any local met mention 50 mph as a possibility. DVN did not issue a blizzard warning, but I believe we did meet the criteria. - Most models had the precip starting as rain here, but we got none. It began as some sleety snow and quickly changed to snow.

I finished with 5.8". Cedar Rapids was bulls-eyed by the storm five days ago and it was again today. Cedar Rapids is the new Des Moines. This was essentially two storms. The first two inches fell with little wind and were wet and heavy. The next four inches were a blizzard. The driveways and sidewalks collected all the dry stuff that blew around. The shoveling job took three hours (mine and my neighbor's). The piles are rivaling February 2008 when over 2 ft of snow fell and we equaled the season record. My season total is up to 44.8".

While I had not yet bought into the jackpot totals on some models, no models were predicting anything less than 3" in Cedar Rapids. At the time, my point forecast said 1-3", which didn't really make sense.

As of 1:20pm, my snow total is up to 5.0". When you're hot, you're hot. The heavy snow is over, but a couple more hours of lighter snow might get us to 6".

This morning the heavy snow dropped our temp from 34 to 33, but then it held there until the front came through.

Conditions are deteriorating rapidly over here. We went from beautiful, relatively calm snow to significant blowing and very low visibility.

The front just came through a little while ago and the wind has picked up from the west. My snow total is up to 2.1".

This has to be 2+"/hr snow we're getting right now. It's too bad I am getting toward the back end of this band.

A nice band of yellow on radar has popped over Cedar Rapids. It's dumping pretty good... probably even better a mile or two south/east of me.