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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    Yeah, the Canadian still has the trailing energy digging farther south. The surface low hangs out in southern IL/IN as the upper low catches up. The GFS takes that surface low and lifts it well north. 12z Canadian... pretty steady the last few runs.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    This was the temp map three years ago. Ottumwa nearly hit 80º, which is insane for February.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    The GFS is sticking with the north route. The surface low gets all the way up to near Green Bay, so it's WAY up there. It is stronger, though.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    FWIW, the NAM is north and strong.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    00z Euro is hot for areas nw of the UK. It appears the Euro wants the trailing energy to grab ahold of the lead energy more than the UK, and it obviously tracks the trailing energy farther north.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    We won't have a better idea of what the trailing energy will do for another 1-2 days. It won't come ashore in Washington until sometime Sunday.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    00z UK is better than the dud 12z, but it's not nearly as far nw as other models. This run does spin up the trailing energy decently for our central/eastern members.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    The GFS is well north, but it's pretty meh. There is definitely a north trend from the models so far this evening. The NAM and ICON are more robust with the snow band, but they are not the top models.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    FWIW, the 00z ICON has shifted north quite a bit, with a solid phase. The snow band is now Iowa northeastward into WI and northern MI.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    That's a pretty good snow swath considering the lead system sweeps away so much moisture.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    Models are now focusing on the lead system, tracking it a bit farther north. Unfortunately, while we are pretty cold now, the cold will be gone when the lead system arrives.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    Meanwhile, the Euro shows a moisture-starved clipper.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    Models are all over the place next week with both track and type of system.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    The Euro and UK both had 4-5+" in Madison. A couple other models were too dry and/or rainy. First thing in the morning, when it was snowing solidly in the Dubuque area and a nice plume of precip was aimed directly at the Madison area, it seemed pretty clear Madison was going to beat the NWS forecast of 1-3". Congrats. Over-performers are always nice.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    I'm itching for some lightning/thunder, but the temp was stuck at 34º all day.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    It's still snowing in Dubuque, so Madison appears to be in a pretty decent spot.
  17. hawkeye_wx
    -11 is tame for Dubuque. If you take away the 29th (leap year day), -11 was the mildest February record low in Dubuque. Yesterday's record low is -25. Remember, only two weeks ago, last year, Dubuque hit -31. Dubuque's record low on March 6th is still -11.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    Dubuque was able to set a new record this morning for the same reason. Strangely, while Dubuque's old record for today was only -11º, which seems pretty mild, Cedar Rapids' record today is -27º.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    This morning's UK is the only model that still has anything around here.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    My snow total is 1.7", right in line with what models suggested.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    I considered going out to clean off the wet stuff, because I know it's a real PITA to clean once it freezes. However, I don't feel like going out this late. Plus, I did not notice any real slushy layer, so it may be ok.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    I think I'm going to end up with around an inch, which is what I expected. The temp is quickly falling now... currently 23º. It is going to be rather brutal in the morning when I'm out shoveling (temp near 0º with -20º wind chill). The 2013-14 season had a lot of morning-after cleanups like that.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    Even though it didn't get as warm as expected, the snow here so far has been too light to overcome the marginal ground temp.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    00z Euro
  25. hawkeye_wx
    It's looking like maybe an inch here. Our snow season was well on track for avg to a bit above avg snowfall, but it has kinda petered out. Hopefully, some others can get something decent from the latest sheared-out system.
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