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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    12z Euro.... boom
  2. hawkeye_wx
    Latest three 12z Euro runs.... total cave.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    The other models are now caving to the GFS... the euro overnight and the ICON, Canadian, and UK this morning.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    Of course, the Euro decides to shake things up tonight. Here is the shift from last night's run to tonight's for the end of the month.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    The GFS is the only model showing the phased cutter. The ICON, Canadian, UK, and Euro all look about the same.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    I'd love to get blasted by a 16" blizzard as much as the next guy, but I don't mind the snowless December or mild Christmas week. The older I get, the more I feel, "whatever happens, happens". I'll just enjoy not having to go out in the cold to clean driveways. At some point we'll get some good snow and cold again, and when we do I'll enjoy that.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    UK is a nothingburger, suppressed south of the subforum.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    Euro not on the same planet as GFS as we head toward Xmas. It shows a very benign pattern.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    This. While we did see some morning and afternoon snow, the heart of each of our three snow events began in the evening and ended by sunrise. I swear it works out that way far more often than odds say it should.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    We got off to a record start, snow-wise, but it was inevitable that areas to the north and northwest would surge past us.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    00z Euro ... and the other models are very similar.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    It's looking like a strong low will track through southeast Iowa on Tuesday. My area should see mostly rain with a bit of snow on the backside. Northern Iowa ene-ward could get a nice thump.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    Tonight's UK and Euro are well north of previous runs Tuesday/Wednesday.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    Typhoon Bualoi is about to move over/near Anatahan island in the Mariana Islands. This is the second strong typhoon to directly hit the tiny island this month. That's difficult to do.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    It's the new GFS.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    Anyone know what kind of building code they have in the Marianas?
  17. hawkeye_wx
    Trami was an awesome super typhoon, but once it stalled it didn't take long for the upwelled cool water to hollow out the core.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    That's some pretty awesome stuff you guys are reporting/photographing. Half those rates/totals would be a dream storm here in Iowa. Around here, >foot totals are next to impossible and even ten-inch storms are rare. Four inches counts as a good storm. It's the ultimate nickel-dimer climate. OceanStWx used to work here at DVN, so he knows how pathetic this area can be.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    The last four runs of the Euro are showing something interesting in the 6-10 day period... possible tropical storm or typhoon formation in the Gulf of Thailand.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    A system is developing in the Bay of Bengal. Models have a solid cyclone lifting northward into Bangladesh or western Myanmar Tuesday.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    It appears another eyewall replacement cycle may be on the way. Satellite shows the eye steadily shrinking over the last few hours, and a microwave image from an hour ago shows a distinct outer band.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    Josh (iCyclone) is headed to the Philippines to chase Haima. The eastern coastal region of Luzon is nothing but mountains and dense rain forest, though, so not ideal for chasing.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    That was a very smooth eyewall replacement cycle. It reminds me of Katrina's ERC.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    Satellite suggests, and microwave confirms, a concentric eyewall structure.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    The current westpac pattern is highly favorable for strong, lower latitude, west-tracking typhoons. Luzon is going to have a rough week, as may the Hainan to Hong Kong region. Cat 3 typhoon Sarika is hitting today. As the above image shows, the next one could be worse.
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