hawkeye_wx
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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx
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Clouds and showers held us down in the mid 70s today. Unfortunately, the lack of instability led to this evening's rain/storms crapping out.
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I picked up almost a half inch of rain this morning from the bubbly remnants of the central/western Iowa convection. There were a couple rumbles, but that's it. The vast majority of our rain this year has been thunder-less. Models are still pretty bullish in general through tomorrow, but it should also be a bit hit-n-miss.
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Thursday night into Saturday looks to be the first real MCS action of the season across Iowa.
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My final 2-day rain total is 3.04".
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The temp over here is falling into the low 60s this afternoon. The dew is falling into the 50s. It's pretty refreshing.
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A line of very heavy rain just lifted north through the Cedar Rapids area. I picked up a quick 0.42" as the line was initially popping up over me. The far north side of the city received up to 1.5" in <30 minutes.
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My rain total is 2.49". I'm pretty happy with that. I kinda got stuck outside the final heavy bands, so it could have been even better. I finally got my first 1" rain event of the year.
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It is dumping over here. It worked out very well for Cedar Rapids. I am approaching 2".
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It is pouring here. Radar shows a clear nnw/sse line where the heavy rain is west and lighter east. Cedar Rapids appears to be far enough west to remain in the heavy rain.
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Yes, after having shifted much of the heavy rain west of Cedar Rapids, even into central Iowa, they have shifted back into eastern Iowa and now show CR getting 2-3". We can certainly use it. When fencing in a garden plot yesterday, it was difficult to push the support stakes into the hard soil.
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Spring/Summer 2020 Medium & Long Range Discussion
hawkeye_wx replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The Euro is now showing a very boring pattern as an upper low cuts off and parks over the eastern lakes. Today/tomorrow may be the only rain for the next ten days. -
The flash flood watch has been expanded westward into central Iowa where some models are trying to focus the rain. DVN, unfortunately, said nothing in their latest discussion about where they think the best rain will fall. I don't think they know.
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The morning models are not helping any. Their heavy rain bands are still all over. The Euro just came in east of Cedar Rapids. Ugh.
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Models are all over the place with rain totals. The UK and Euro are still bullish for me, but the rest are shifting to central Iowa, with only 0.50-1.50" here.
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The way this is setting up, as two lows that track over me, my area doesn't even get any wind until later Wednesday, behind the second low.
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12z Euro is west as well. As with other models, a bit more south-to-north than the previous ssw-nne runs.
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The 12z UK has joined the GFS with a shift nw.
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Models are latching onto the double-barrel low scenario. Unfortunately, this GFS run pushes much of the rain west and north of me. A tropical cyclone remnant missing nw would be a kick to the gut. 12z GFS
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Yeah, the euro is so quick this run that Cristobal outruns the strongly-digging energy moving in from the west. It ends up with a kind of double-barrel system.
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12z UK... I think a tropical remnant precip track like this would be a first for me... extremely rare.
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12z UK has a 969 mb low over Lake Superior. Wow.
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The ICON sped up this morning. A faster motion should help get the system a bit farther nw before the front swings through.
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There were heavy cells dancing all over the area yesterday and overnight, but they all missed me again. My rain total is only 0.18", most of which came from a weakening band of general rain overnight.
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18 straight minutes of 60 mph wind gusts at Davenport.
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Yeah, I'm not looking for 5" of rain or damaging hail or a tornado. A solid thunderstorm that drops 1" of rain would be great.
