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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    12z Euro
  2. hawkeye_wx
    12z UK is back south and weaker. The UK is caving to the UK.
  3. hawkeye_wx
  4. hawkeye_wx
    The UK continues to slowly improve. The western end of the snow band has shifted further north. It's still not as robust as other models.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    00z Canadian
  6. hawkeye_wx
    Through the 12z run, a solid surface low was shown lifting north into northern Illinois. As the phasing has faded/delayed, that low is gone.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    DMX has issued a watch for Ames and Des Moines even though the models show little if any snow falling there.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    It seems the UK was the only model to see early on that the two waves would be too far apart. The other models are finally seeing it. The Euro may be the king, but it's the king of Turdistan. It has been just about as bad this winter as every other model.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    UK
  10. hawkeye_wx
    Yep. The UK has been well southeast from the start and has never bought into what the other models were selling.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    The Canadian just totally caved southeast. It had been consistently clobbering Iowa. Now Iowa gets nothing. F this winter.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    The GFS has shifted east. It appears this system may not phase in time to hit Iowa, outside of the far east/southeast. The darn lead wave is 3-6 hours too fast.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    The Euro basically just trended halfway to the UK. ARGH. It is a bit faster with the lead wave and slower with the trailing wave. That's all it takes to ruin/delay the phase.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    00z UK - Slight improvement, but STILL weak and well southeast of the other models. Isn't this supposed to be the second best model?
  15. hawkeye_wx
    00z Canadian - The defo zone is a bit north, but also more spread out and less intense compared to previous runs.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    00z GFS It's not a big change from 18z, but it has pulled some of the snow back away from Iowa again.
  17. hawkeye_wx
    The NAM is not the only model trending south. The ICON has taken most of Iowa and Wisconsin out of the snow. It has not just shifted south, but there is more distance between the waves and less/weaker phasing. I hope the ICON is not worth taking seriously.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    Last three NAM runs.... it had better stop here.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    18z Euro
  20. hawkeye_wx
    The 18z op GFS is getting closer to the Euro. The southern edge is farther south and the heavy stuff extends farther sw into Iowa.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    The GFS ensemble isn't far from the other models.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    Madison has been hot recently.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    That's exactly what I thought. At first glance, it looks like your typical "southern Iowa is mild, northern Iowa is cold behind the front(or still stuck with deep snow)" map, but then you realize the "cold" is 60º.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    Chicagoland members won't like the 12z Euro. It has shifted the 500 mb low north to the I-80 corridor (last run was northern MO to central IL), and the surface low gets up to Chicago, so the snow band has moved up into Wisconsin and the WI/IL border region. We don't need this trending any farther north.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    The UK just doesn't want to play ball, yet. The problem appears to be the UK is speeding the first wave eastward faster than the other models. It has the trailing upper low like the others, but the first wave is so fast it does not get captured by the trailing energy, so the entire system ends up weak and moisture-starved. I thought we'd see improvement this morning, but this run is actually a step backward again.
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