Met1985
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Everything posted by Met1985
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I think the Euro is under estimating the rainfall in my opinion with that track...
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Hell we've had mets right here on AMWX do crappy the past few years but do you go shit on them? I'm not the biggest fan of Webb but this logic is near sighted to what can and does happen in trying to target any kind of seasonal pattern.... Just something you might want to think about before you post toward your bias...
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I've seen so many so called correlations with the NAO and the AO it's stupid. Not discounting Don but I do think we are in uncharted territory when it comes to patterns. Honestly the west coast has been our pattern driver for the past several years and anything that will impead that will help us more. The NAO is a crapshoot anyways.
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Yeah we both are Don. Stay sage down there.
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Yeah that's the danger with very heavy rainfall in a short amount of time anywhere in the mountains really.
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Yes just loot at what happened in Canton some 3 years ago. We basically had a torrential microburst at the headwaters in Haywood. In 1 hour I saw the river go from in it's banks to completely flooding all of town and it's businesses. Killed I believe 6 people also.
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Nice! So you basically already know the area. Good for you.
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Landslides and straight line winds are the main thing if you live on the side of the mountain. In the valley you have to worry about flash flooding.
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No we aren't. Haywood is beautiful just like several other counties. A lot of tourism up on Beech also.
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Well floods and heavy rainfall are very different here in the mountains than the coast. It doesn't happen a lot but when it does it gets nasty.
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I live on Crabtree mountain in Haywood county. There are several of us that live in pretty good elevation.
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Also @gopack42 the reason in my opinion that this past weeks tropical system wasn't that bad is because it didn't get a lot of time to develop along the coast. It just kind of started to develop then came onshore. What makes Hurricanes so dangerous for us with them coming from the Gulf is the intensity and the ability to develop into something major and big.
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Thank you! It was a beautiful weekend. A little too warm but we will cool down this coming week.
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@gopack42we can discuss things more here.
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If you want to continue this conversation in the mountains thread I'll be glad to talk about the differences.
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You should follow us in the mountains thread then. This currently looks like it could be significant for our area but a lot can and will happen from now to then. Check back in with this thread and you'll get all the info you need on this tropical system.
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As @BooneWXso greatly explained yes. Personally I live at 3500' and have witnessed this first hand. Yes the wind can be menacing but with the possibility of the way the models show the storm coming in the big risk is flooding and having the mountains really just ring out every bit of moisture crossing the mountains. That's why we usually overperform in situations like this.
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A big if, but we could be looking at a significant event from a Hurricane towards the end of the week. Stay tuned and just be prepared if your in a flood plain...
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Went up to Graveyard fields today and it was nice but the leaf colors were crap and if this is any indication of this Fall then it's not going to be good. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
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After a miserable high of 83 we are down to 69 already.
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Yeah hopefully the first tropical system at least comes through.
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I know we are in a bit of a drought but this would cause extensive flooding across the region. Entertainment purposes only! Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
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18z gfs. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
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Yeah it's way early but the GFS is spitting out 4 to 10 inches in the mountains and the eastern escarpment.
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Had a nice cool low of 52 degrees.
