Met1985
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Everything posted by Met1985
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I remember this back then because we had those really cold winters back to back. I remember this circulating into more violent storms across the world and the USA. Very interesting indeed.
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Don't look now but we have flooding concerns even before Helene gets here. 12z NAM. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
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Storms already firing this morning. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
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Thank you Don. Much appreciated and love to continue to learn about this. As many have mentioned we are in new territory with all this is seems.
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This predecessor rainfall event may be a death blow to us. This keeps inching more and more into our area for heavy rainfall from this first upper low. 12z NAM... Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
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As I say the above just to help keep things grounded but the way things look currently we are in fact in the bullseye with this thing and as mentioned from previous post in the tropical thread this thing might be moving at 25mph. Good for cutting down on rainfall rates a but but bad because the wind field will be mostly intact and that could be very damaging to the area.
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So if I'm reading this correct Don, this would not bode well for NAO blocking during the winter months? I can't really remember when we had just decent blocking in September at all.
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I know the past couple days the forecast has called for us to get absolutely hammered. Until this thing hits the coast I'd err on the side of caution. Even small little tweaks in the forecast will lead to big impacts for all of us.
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It's happened a few times like that which has been an absolute natural disaster of larger proportions.
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It is amazing! Beautiful pics!
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Oh yeah absolutely beautiful! Forgot about that one.
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@jburnsis the man! Let our March towards winter begin!
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@jburnscould you pin this and unpin our summer thread please? Thank you kind sir!
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Lol I was going to ask you to make it this year. Hopefully you bring some good mojo.
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Yeah you should definitely check out shinning rock, Graveyard fields, dupont park, highlands, Cashiers, and a lot of other places scattered around. Beech and up that way is beautiful but in general WNC as a whole has a lot to offer.
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I think the Euro is under estimating the rainfall in my opinion with that track...
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Hell we've had mets right here on AMWX do crappy the past few years but do you go shit on them? I'm not the biggest fan of Webb but this logic is near sighted to what can and does happen in trying to target any kind of seasonal pattern.... Just something you might want to think about before you post toward your bias...
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I've seen so many so called correlations with the NAO and the AO it's stupid. Not discounting Don but I do think we are in uncharted territory when it comes to patterns. Honestly the west coast has been our pattern driver for the past several years and anything that will impead that will help us more. The NAO is a crapshoot anyways.
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Yeah we both are Don. Stay sage down there.
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Yeah that's the danger with very heavy rainfall in a short amount of time anywhere in the mountains really.
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Yes just loot at what happened in Canton some 3 years ago. We basically had a torrential microburst at the headwaters in Haywood. In 1 hour I saw the river go from in it's banks to completely flooding all of town and it's businesses. Killed I believe 6 people also.
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Nice! So you basically already know the area. Good for you.
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Landslides and straight line winds are the main thing if you live on the side of the mountain. In the valley you have to worry about flash flooding.
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No we aren't. Haywood is beautiful just like several other counties. A lot of tourism up on Beech also.
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Well floods and heavy rainfall are very different here in the mountains than the coast. It doesn't happen a lot but when it does it gets nasty.
