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Met1985

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Everything posted by Met1985

  1. Also to note the Eurasia SCE is looking really really good through mid month so far in October. From Mark Margavage meteorologist, Winter Feedback Mechanism An Extremely Prominent Dipole Pattern has developed in Eurasian Autumnal Snow Cover Extent as of October 15th. IF IT HOLDS, this pattern of Autumnal Eurasian SCE puts a lot of pressure on the Polar Vortex resulting in frequent wave reflections causing arctic outbreaks into Eastern North America during winter. Also the PV being weak is a great sign for this winter that is why we are seeing some impressive dips with the AO and NAO already. If things continue this would be a big positive for our Winter around here. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  2. The models are going to be catching onto this and yes we are in the latter part of the season when this matters. Im already seeing multiple cold fronts on the GFS and the Euro. The NAO in particularly is impressive for any time of the year. We will see what happens but all good signs to turning colder, getting our first frost, first freeze, and especially getting towards the end of the month possibly our first flakes. Stay tuned. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  3. Oh yeah I think it is coming for sure. Im not worried at all about a warm October.
  4. Yall might not get a frost until November. It's happened before.
  5. This weather is ok but im ready to start seeing some changes towards the end of the month. Only had a low of 44.
  6. I can remember some Falls around here when we didn't get a freeze until November. I actually remember getting a snowfall the same time as we got our first freeze. Seems like the whole northern hemisphere is lagging.
  7. Had a beautiful cool low of 44 this morning with a current temp of 61.
  8. A beautiful evening. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  9. I'd say this would break a ton of records.
  10. Ended up making it down to a cold 41 this morning. Their are a lot of posting about the warmth coming and never-ending summer. I think we will warm up but I don't think we torch. The pattern has been volatile past day 5 so im taking the Cansips and the Euro Weeklies with a grain of salt.
  11. Starting tonight we are going to get chilly for several nights. Tonight we dip into the upper 40s and by Friday morning some may see the 30s.
  12. Had rain last night and getting rain currently with a high of 62 beautiful degrees.
  13. Starting to see some strong cold fronts coming into the lower 48 especially on the Euro.
  14. Hail reported near Wollow springs in Johnson city. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  15. Early season color. Credit to my ex in-laws for the photos lol. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  16. Sevier County EMA has reported a landslide on the Gatlinburg Bypass prompting the road to be shut down. Please use extreme caution if you are out on the roadways in Sevier County today. [emoji991]Sevier County EMA Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  17. Im up in Johnson City today and we just had one heck of a line of storms come through. Cloud to ground lightning and torrential rainfall in the area and still storming heavily.
  18. 12z gfs keeps Imelda of the coast also. Also towards the end of next week it looks like we could cool down significantly. With highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s.
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