FLweather
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Yeah you were probably the one too. Grinch
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The overall trough axis is neutral tilting to negative. Next couple of hours should blow up. TWC app future cast shows two lines developing.
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Definitely virga
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Lmao right. That upper level trough really starting to dig. Almost at a neutral position. Soon the clouds will be going SE to NW over the Apps.
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Nam and GFS has my area struggling to hit 50 tomorrow. Cold bias Canadian has it roughly 43-45. We will see. Currently near 80. With a deep SW flow. Puffy cumulus clouds. The AC is off and windows are open. Models show a small squall line coming through about 8 PM. Probably won't see much rain. I shaved my head today, probably regret it tomorrow. Merry Christmas.
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Good luck to y'all mountain folks. Think y'all may be in for a surprise. Looking at the models- the trajectory of the storm is a weird path to take. But its almost like there is a comma head setting up right over the mountain chain as the ULL gets going. Most definitely will see a E to W upslope till the trough axis turns to a NWF. Merry Christmas.
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So you see what I see. Not out the possibility
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The ull been there. Just signs that the mountain folks will get hit hard
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If you're outside of the mountains. I can guarantee you will not see token flakes. But depending on how this storm works out. Maybe a comma head setting up over the mountain range. Mountain ranges get hit hard from Se upslope flow
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Truth.
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Yeah
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If you believe the nam. South Florida will be low 60s Christmas Day. While Central Florida north will be in the mid 40s to upper 30s in the panhandle .
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Quite frankly I think the Nam has it pretty much figured out. If that's the case.. we go from 80 Thursday to not out of the 40s Friday. Edit. Nam shows no possibility of flakes outside the mountains. But a long squall line instead.
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The Euro hasn't been king for quite a while.
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I'm whining because since I left NC I dont like the cold. But I know the fun in chasing a potential snowstorm model wise. Till something actually comes to fruition. But I'll tolerate the cold. I'm rooting for you SE peeps. Still have January, February, March and April to go. The stars got to align some how.
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Pretty much. Or the lack of consolidation of the main trough
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Gfs-para hinting of something around the 4th. A CAD event
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18z gfs came in cooler with day time highs Christmas Day. Slightly warmer Saturday morning. H5 pretty stretched out this run. The angle of the cold seem further east.
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The Canadian sure does look interesting long range. Wouldn't take much to dislodge the PV from Russia and setup a huge trough over Central and eastern Canada.
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Man looking at the soundings of the GFS. Pretty impressive dewpoints.Extremely low for this area. Saturday morning per sounding temp 35 DP 16. Needless to say if we can get nearly perfect conditions for radiational cooling dps that low. Upper 20s without a question.
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Christmas Day looks rather nippy. A blend of GFS,CMC,Icon at this standpoint temps will not even hit 50 but insist on being stuck in the 40s all day. Temps will go from near 80 Thursday afternoon to upper 40s Friday afternoon. A solid 30+ degree drop in roughly 24 hours. Temps look favorable for below 32 Saturday morning.
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16:1 ratio. A little fluffy.
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Another Falcon 9 being shot up this morning about 9am. Yeah this cold shot really not impressive imo. High of 64 today... essentially what it is atm. I think today's temperature forecast will be a bust. It's cool but really no CAA. Once the sun comes up. I find it hard to believe that temps will be steady. That was an impressive line yesterday over the GOM. Sort of fell apart as soon as it hit land. Do alot of damage?
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Ice Time? Dec. 16ish Possible CAD Event
FLweather replied to Tar Heel Snow's topic in Southeastern States
DGZ looks dry per that sounding. Big push of dry air. Pretty significant warm nose too. Outside of the mountains. Pretty much a good probably of erasing anything frozen or freezing. A sealed deal. -
Ice Time? Dec. 16ish Possible CAD Event
FLweather replied to Tar Heel Snow's topic in Southeastern States
You'll be warming up overnight
