FLweather
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I'll take a blend of Icon/Canadian for this coming week. Actually shows decent rain chances deep into Florida. Past several weeks the fire hose has been aligned Sw to NE well to my Nw over the panhandle AL, GA, LA, MS
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There will have to be some major changes on the h5 level to even become favorable. Icon for example. The two SW need a trajectory from Montana to Tx. Not Montana to LA, Ms, Al. It's got dig more South West.
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GFS? No.
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Who would want to got to that garbage pit? Alot nice areas around the GL.
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I know. That's the reason why I said north and west of 85. Lots of potential.
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North and west of I85 never disappoints.
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Just yalls luck. Blow through Nov, Dec, Jan then winter decides to show up mid/late Feb to March. Wonder if yall should be concerned April and May?
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Considering the gfs, icon, euro then cmc. I'd take my chances with the short range mesocale models.
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This type of setup pretty well gonna be 3 things. Rain, snow or s/s mix. No possibility of zr.
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H5 level is different as well. Further east with the SW vs 6z. Need to break ties with NS and consolidate more. It being stretched out and still attached to the NS trof is causing it to be suppressed.
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Wouldn't really call it a shift north. Models playing catch up on the over running precip. H5 looks roughly the same. Compare to earlier model runs having the right precip gradient at the TN, MS, AL, GA lines.
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Need that Sw out west to consolidate more as it drops south and east. As depicted currently by the models. Its stretched out from the Rockies to the EC. That's causing the suppression not the HP.
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The h5 level definitely more concentrated and digging more over AZ/NM vs the strung out of the gfs. Good signs but still too far out of range.
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Looking at the WRF. Virginia Beach south to extreme northern Outer Banks may see some Ocean Effect snow showers/flurries tomorrow. The column is below freezing. Moisture is limited. But very possible for some low top streamers coming off the Atlantic. Winds in the lowest 6k feet coming in out the NE. Doesn't happen much. So it would be a rarity for them.
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That's already about 1/4 of your yearly average? Just in a month and half.
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This front looks pathetic atm. A shadow of its former self. Rooting for my SE crew to get a snowstorm. FL could use some rain. Dry around my area.
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Another warm morning in the mid 70s. Heading up to mid/upper 80s again today. Supposed to rain tonight and tomorrow.
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Shorts and flip flop weather after a cool morning. Near 80 atm.
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FB was flooded with reports of snow falling in Roxboro about 30-45 mins ago. Via radar back edge coming near.
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2019/2020 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread.
FLweather replied to Tyler Penland's topic in Southeastern States
Just imagine if the cold air was there at 10:1 ratios. -
Based off that model, most of soundings show temps near 33-34 under snow. Might not stick too well. But the convective nature its showing probably be big fat flakes
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Well. This squall line was unimpressive. Had afternoon thunderstorms that done more. Besides a quick heavy deluge, gusty winds... the only impressive thing has been the quick temperature drop. At least its raining. Moderate rain atm.
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In the low 70s atm. Wind is absolutely ridiculous right now ahead of the squall line. Under a tornado watch. This should be interesting.
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Low 80s. Sun with alot of cumulus clouds. Very windy today.
