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All models are showing atleast some ice at onset of the event, but could be much worse if more precip arrives early! Temps are very cold and air very dry! Needs to be watched! Only 4 days out
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Post away
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A thread to discuss the Winter Storm threat for Feb. 20th and 21st. A large area will start out with Winter Wx on Friday and transition to all rain on Saturday afternoon. The timing and location of the system is still in question, as are the p-types and durations of those types in certain areas. Some areas may experience significant icing.
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26/M7 with high clouds approaching... EDIT: 24/M7 as of 7 PM. -
If it's too early lock it up. I think we're close enough now that someone in the SE is going to get something. Besides all of the PBP for the medium range is being dominated by this storm. My last post in the PBP thread.
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It's go time. Fire away and enjoy, everyone.
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A thread to discuss the potential for a Southern winter storm affecting portions of the Tennessee Valley.
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Ok everyone, so lets try this again. Its a lot of work, so it will be slow to update at times. However, I think its GREAT for everyone! It should help everyone learn about how models are usually AWFUL when it comes to Arctic Airmasses. Doesn't surprise me that the EURO did the worst, it seems. I will have full finished report on that later today. So, we have moisture increasing on Sunday, question is will be it cold enough in the CAD areas, and when do we saturate enough to see measurable QPF. Will the High hold long enough? will the models bust on kicking out the cold to quickly? Lets test them. Here are some cities. I will list the *Forecasted Low, High. *usually around 12 and 21z* I also want to list the 6z, 12z, 18z, and 00z temps, dew point temps and if any QPF has fallen. Want to test and see how the models are performing with the CAD. Especially the PARA. I will use the 00z FRI, 12z FRI, 00z SAT, 12z SAT and 00z SUN model runs. Here are the cities: 00z Friday Model Runs BHM: NAM: GFS: Para: EURO: T/Td/QPF: 6z: 12z: 18z: 00z: MCN: NAM: GFS: Para: EURO: T/Td/QPF: 6z: 12z: 18z: 00z: ATL: NAM: GFS: Para: EURO: T/Td/QPF: 6z: 12z: 18z: 00z: GVL: NAM: GFS: Para: EURO: T /Td/QPF: 6z: 12z: 18z: 00z: AHN: NAM: GFS: Para: EURO: T/Td/QPF: 6z: 12z: 18z: 00z: AGS: NAM: GFS: Para: EURO: T/Td/QPF: 6z: 12z: 18z: 00z: GSP: NAM: GFS: Para: EURO: T/Td/QPF: 6z: 12z: 18z: 00z: CLT: NAM: GFS: Para: EURO: T/Td/QPF: 6z: 12z: 18z: 00z: GSO: NAM: GFS: Para: EURO: T/Td/QPF: 6z: 12z: 18z: 00z: RDU: NAM: GFS: Para: EURO: T/Td/QPF: 6z: 12z: 18z: 00z:
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Hey everyone! I know this is a long time away, and we have plenty of time to watch it, but I think we all agree, there is going to be some kind of storm, even if its just a rain filled soaker. Any who, I have been getting a lot of questions about what is the wedge from my viewers so I threw that in there as well. Feedback is great. I don't care if its good or bad. IF you want to like my Facebook page and or twitter page that would rock as well, but you don't need too. IF you do, thank you very much. I am trying to expand those pages and get more interaction with y'all. Please share the video and invite your friends to like the page as well. Anyway, here ya go...Hope you enjoy! https://www.facebook.com/pages/Wxmanchris/690966551001476?ref=hl
