mattinpa
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Everything posted by mattinpa
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I think everything is on the table, but it’s looking more like we get something. Should be fun to follow. The 12z Canadian was actually a bit west for comfort for some.
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There’s potential enough that a model keeps “seeing” it - just different ones so far. Still a couple days to see it there is any movement.
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Thanks for this analysis. It sounds like the Euro was good enough to still keep a close eye on the threat.
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We need both models and mets. The models to help guide forecasting, and the mets to evaluate and adjust.
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Yes I’m surprised it is that high. Some of it could be sleet?
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Unfortunately, it looks like high winds close to the coast will be the story with this one. But we’ll likely see more chances.
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Above 2.5 inches would be my biggest of the winter. Can you explain what is making the storm hook back west? Is it lack of a blocking high? Thanks MJO.
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Sorry to hear about your loss, snowman. I too have been impacted by cancer. My dad died of colon cancer in 2018. It’s a horrible disease and I am very hopeful we get a cure.
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Total here - big zero. Painful to miss but hope other opportunities are near.
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Birds clinch and models looking better for tomorrow. A good night!
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Yeah the local weathers tend to do that. If we keep seeing the trend though a few inches in the northern suburbs are possible.
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Might not be for a few inches. Right now big changes are needed in a short time for more than that.
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Merry Christmas/Happy Holidays to all! Here’s to having a better pattern in the New Year.
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Also, Merry Christmas/Happy Holidays to all. Too bad it will be another mild one.
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Looks great. Maybe we can get excited if we start seeing more of these show up in the first 10 days of Jan.
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His optimism is needed and appreciated by me. And I am sure many others feel the same. When I first came here I was younger and so enthusiastic about snow. I still love snow but I understand the patterns more now so I can adjust my expectations.
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Still any severe threat for tonight? I was just getting the mail and it’s very gusty.
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Always love your analysis, Don. It is possible we at least feel like Christmas by Christmas even if no major storms?
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Holiday snow is always especially welcome. Too bad it’s often too early to get big storms.
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Agreed. Christmas would be considered long term guidance and we know how that can change by then. It would just be too bad if we had to so heavily rely on blocking this winter.
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I don’t like warm Novembers, but neither do I need it to be cold - until around Thanksgiving when I start liking the cold. That GFS run posted was a real roller coaster!
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Well at least it feels good to be talking about snow maps again. It is a long snowless period each year.
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More heavy rain coming through the overnight. Flood warning around my location.
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I’d be ok with a merge. The climates of NYC and PHL are slightly different, but there are also a lot of in between areas and I feel the discourse has improved enough for a merge.
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How is the severe threat looking for tomorrow?
