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mattinpa

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Everything posted by mattinpa

  1. mattinpa
    My area actually jackpots for the first time this winter.
  2. mattinpa
    Well the good snows have been all around me, also. It’s true that the best chances can come up without much advance notice. I hope that happens again.
  3. mattinpa
    Can’t punt on the month on the 3rd. Models even can’t nail things down outside of 48 hours sometimes.
  4. mattinpa
    I like big snowstorms, am ok with arctic blasts, and enjoy tracking hurricanes. But tornadoes and ice storms/severe weather that knock out electricity aren’t fun.
  5. mattinpa
    It’s the electricity threat that bothers me most. I don’t travel much and can stock up before storms.
  6. mattinpa
    How does this GFS look compare with the 12z GFS?
  7. mattinpa
    Yep, seen here for sure. It happens though and we still have time.
  8. mattinpa
    Not a fan of ice like I am snow. Maybe this can trend even more south.
  9. mattinpa
    Yeah I think I saw a spotter around you reported 7 inches. Someone in Trappe reported over 6, but it looks less to me in Royersford. Maybe the blowing snow threw me off.
  10. mattinpa
    Around 3.5 inches here. Pretty scene yet not much trouble.
  11. mattinpa
    About 1.5 inches here. Hoping some heavy stuff makes it as I am a night owl and will be up for it.
  12. mattinpa
    My forecast is still 2-4 inches. Seems low to me? Based on changes seems 3-6 or 4-8 is more likely.
  13. mattinpa
    Ok with that going I’m going to bed. Night! Hope the NAM leads the way.
  14. mattinpa
    Anyone up for the NAM? WOW!! That should produce good totals before it gets past us.
  15. mattinpa
    Thanks - sounds reasonable
  16. mattinpa
    Yes but it’s getting better every run. Finally looking more like the other models. Hoping there’s still some trending to go.
  17. mattinpa
    My heartfelt condolences go out. I also know what you are going through. My dad died of colon cancer in 2018, and we were very close. While he didn’t like snow like I do, we had much in common. It’s still really tough for me. Very sorry to hear about your loss, and enjoy the upcoming storm for him.
  18. mattinpa
    So would we be seeing 10-1 ratios? Or could it be higher?
  19. mattinpa
    So does Kuchera do well in the current conditions for the storm?
  20. mattinpa
    Much better. Needs to get going a little sooner to bring those huge totals west..
  21. mattinpa
    I’ve seen Kuchera ratio but what about the regular snow map? Near that high? Anyway trends are better for at least a medium sized event for the region.
  22. mattinpa
    Things are actually good at H5 on the Euro, so there’s room for better. I wouldn’t get my hopes up for more than 3-4 inches here, but still some time especially when little changes mean a lot.
  23. mattinpa
    No one talking about the 6z NAM? It looks pretty good to me from the NCEP Model Analysis and Guidance maps.
  24. mattinpa
    Cutoff is pretty sharp N&W, but the improvement is the big story.
  25. mattinpa
    Could the GFS still be right? Yes. But odds definitely got better tonight for a good snowstorm.
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