mattinpa
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Everything posted by mattinpa
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Yes it hits the whole region with 7-14”!
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Thanks. Looks like shaft line goes right through my area.
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Do you know where the shaft line sets up on the RGEM?
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Looking better for sure
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But can’t they still tell us if the GFS might have been a little south/east? It doesn’t take much change to make a difference here.
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Someone in the NYC forum said GFS ensembles are west. Anyway looks good for at least 4-6” but depending on banding and location of transfer, we still could get 12+”.
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It just had to send me to sleep on a sour note, lol.
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Thanks MJO812 for helping out not only here but in the Philly forum as well. The Euro can make this a unanimous night.
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Thank you for all you do and providing a different perspective on all of this.
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That’s why I kind of liked when the Euro ran twice. More chance now for jumping off, lol. I think 0z tonight through 0z tomorrow will be telling; models are still getting a handle on this.
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Weakness is more of an issue than location, but it is still long duration and significant. Seems we have multiple ways to get a good storm.
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Wish I could lock this in right now!
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Thanks for all the play by play. Ukie is on its own.
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How much more south? That was the concern with the Ukie.
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Thanks - I didn’t remember the individual Ukie runs for this storm. Don from the NYC forum also says it can be a volatile model.
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That actually concerns me more than the GFS being the outlier. But if the Euro holds serve, I will feel better about the Ukie being a fluke run.
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Snow amounts like the GFS or more?
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Yes I am prepared for anything. Being skeptical is the way to go the last couple winters. I am hoping we can at least get something in between.
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Well according to the snow maps, NYC gets hit well. The Euro had it more universal. So I think a lot is up in the air on the evolution. The maps had us doing better than I thought, though no more than a few inches.
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True, meaning it is not so typical. Something could still be off with the GFS.
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Until the Euro shows this, I won’t buy the GFS completely. GFS never great with thermals either. To its credit, though, the GFS has kept showing this slop.
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I love how the 18z GFS bypasses our region for the best snow. Still have the Euro on board, and the bullseye could easily change.
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It was certainly Dr. No tonight, at least for our region. DC does well. But still a lot of uncertainty over just how and where this forms.
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Yes we could still get a decent snow with that, but I would like to see some consolidation. Otherwise solutions could be quite divergent.
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Thanks! Do you think there would be such a difference between the city and suburbs? Isn’t the setup better than with the December storm?
