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mattinpa

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Everything posted by mattinpa

  1. Yes I am prepared for anything. Being skeptical is the way to go the last couple winters. I am hoping we can at least get something in between.
  2. Well according to the snow maps, NYC gets hit well. The Euro had it more universal. So I think a lot is up in the air on the evolution. The maps had us doing better than I thought, though no more than a few inches.
  3. True, meaning it is not so typical. Something could still be off with the GFS.
  4. Until the Euro shows this, I won’t buy the GFS completely. GFS never great with thermals either. To its credit, though, the GFS has kept showing this slop.
  5. I love how the 18z GFS bypasses our region for the best snow. Still have the Euro on board, and the bullseye could easily change.
  6. It was certainly Dr. No tonight, at least for our region. DC does well. But still a lot of uncertainty over just how and where this forms.
  7. Yes we could still get a decent snow with that, but I would like to see some consolidation. Otherwise solutions could be quite divergent.
  8. Thanks! Do you think there would be such a difference between the city and suburbs? Isn’t the setup better than with the December storm?
  9. GFS still being consistent with the Thursday storm. We’re just south enough on the 18z run to get some good stuff. Pretty clear the first storm will just be light snow/mix.
  10. Well every now and then, the GFS sniffs something out that the others don’t. Confidence is still not high, but maybe that Euro run is progress.
  11. Looking at a nice, solid event. Probably nothing major, but that could come after.
  12. It would be a shame if we wasted the cold, unless there was a record breaking cold spell, which isn’t close to a given.
  13. Too far out to expect every whole run to be good, though. We’ll see if most of the runs show anything tomorrow.
  14. Hi Walt! Hope you had a good Christmas. Agreed that doesn’t look good for those two events. What do you think of the 1/4 timeframe? GFS has been hinting at a storm coming up the coast.
  15. I was disappointed. I don’t think I even got as much as the Philly airport. But on the bright side, it was already better than anything I got last winter.
  16. All this heavy precip being wasted on sleet here - really a shame.
  17. Hearing some sleet now. Didn’t want it this early.
  18. The snow has been pretty fine here and not big flakes, but rates definitely picked up. Haven’t measured but looks like around 2.5 inches.
  19. Getting a heavier band now, but I am going to need the precip to last longer as snow. Temp still okay around 27 degrees.
  20. Up to an inch here. Haven’t seen much of the heavy rates yet.
  21. Temp has leveled out here at about the same. There’s a coating so far.
  22. Sounds good, and I like 6-10” for my area. Could be more. Snow is coming in early.
  23. After the new GFS run, the NAM looks on its own. But still a little concerning just HOW little the NAM had.
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