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mattinpa

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Everything posted by mattinpa

  1. True, but in my region we were tracking tornadoes on Halloween and 90s not that long ago. A wintry pattern is refreshing to me.
  2. I had sideways sounding rain and possible straight line winds earlier tonight. Luckily, it was quick.
  3. Wow I thought it must be because of the perception that early snow leads to mild winters. Any snow would likely be minor in nature, but personally I’d be fine if the cool down leads to a touch of snow.
  4. Well, I didn’t there would be an October 90 reading, and I was wrong. I was thinking how long it had been since locations in the PHL and NYC areas had had an October 90 degree reading, plus how the models were fluctuating on where the big heat would be. But abnormal has now become normal. Have to keep that in mind.
  5. Temp is high at 92 degrees, but with the low humidity and breeze it doesn’t feel like a summerlike 90 degree day here.
  6. Congrats Anthony and good luck. Hopefully that was the last 90 degree day today until at least May. I am so ready for crisp weather.
  7. Enough of summer. Time to feel like fall!
  8. Count me as one skeptical of any guidance showing 90s in October. It would take well above average and even if the guidance is right about the long range, the brunt might not even be in the PHL-NYC corridor..
  9. Plus, IF heat does build again as of now it looks like normal summer heat rather than this, and maybe better again by the first week in August.
  10. Do you think this is flukey the last couple years, or could climate change be making tornadoes more common in PA?
  11. Lol I seem to remember over an inch of rain instead. Those 10 inches that never came were at least fun to look at.
  12. Nice write up as always, Don. Do you think we have a window for a more significant snowstorm around March 20? Models are still showing the potential on some runs.
  13. At least 4" here. Hope can approach 5" before it ends. I had some precip wasted as rain and sleet this afternoon. I think many of these school delays will become closings out here due to the cold day tomorrow.
  14. Everyone keeps talking about bad GFS thermals, but it has been right. It does look like I will do fine with this storm, but not on the high end of predictions.
  15. Moderate snow and around 3 inches here. Looks like my biggest snowfall of the season coming.
  16. Slowed down here; have a coating everywhere. I assume it will pick up?
  17. This storm is one where I have no idea what the area will get. I could see anywhere from 2" to 8-9", lol.
  18. Does it mean a lot of sleet? Because 850s looked ok north of the river.
  19. The snowfall map gradient on the NAM that I saw in the NYC forum is insane. A little over an inch for the city but SECS or more not far to the north.
  20. The good news is the GFS has been better than the Euro with many of this winter's storms, and the NAM is still a bit out of best range.
  21. A lot of difference between the NAM and GFS this close in. NAM mostly rain while GFS looks like a moderate snowstorm, maybe SECS. It may still be between the two like you think.
  22. This winter it is ok to be skeptical from the start of every major snow event shown.
  23. It's not really a big shift and rain/snow line looks to be around me. I'd be worried if it gets worse and worse. And hopefully the Euro gets better.
  24. It is worth following through mid-March. Really no reason to think the patten will change, but GFS still leaving open a window since no all out torch seen.
  25. So I assume based on the maps in the NYC forum that this would be a bad ice storm here in the suburbs according to the Euro?
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