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mattinpa

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Everything posted by mattinpa

  1. That is when we really start wanting it to get colder anyway. I always want a snowy winter and cold holiday season, but it wouldn’t be the worst thing this year to have a mild winter if it helps with COVID.
  2. I’m talking about 90 degree temps and near 90
  3. Do you think the worst of the heat is over? I kind of doubt we stay all fall feeling but perhaps we can be more normal.
  4. I hope it is right. Haven’t had many breaks this summer. I am not sure the warm pattern lasts past mid month. And at least then, even warmer days have less 90s potential.
  5. I don’t think they would stop suddenly, but it may be harder to get the cold periods needed for snow. Climate change doesn’t mean something won’t occur, but the frequency is different. Winter tracking won’t be as fun if COVID spikes during the winter and there’s no vaccine. Hope everyone stays safe.
  6. Yeah there have been so many 90s here that a 100 couldn’t hurt anything.
  7. I just can’t agree. The heat has always bothered me more than the cold. I guess you could say winter storms can be as destructive as summer storms, but I like snow more than rain. I get that some just like exciting weather, though. I hope that the pattern change comes soon as it has been hot since the end of June. Hopefully by end of August or September. Beyond mid-August, we’re still pretty much guessing.
  8. Yesterday was the worst it had been in a long time. We got scary straight line winds in Upper Providence here. Wasn’t as strong as in other locations, though. My power was out from 12:30 to soon after midnight. I was happily surprised because the message said it would be back 12 PM on June 4.
  9. I am fine with an warm spring if there is no more snow coming. Plus, maybe the warmth would help with the Coronavirus threat.
  10. A while ago, Cosgrove used to be on one of the Philly stations. I always liked how he went in depth when giving his forecast. I learned more than the usual. I could tell he liked snow, and if he is negative about it then it seems worth a listen. Still hopeful we have a window late month into early March.
  11. Well I have given up on salvaging winter, but I suppose we could still get snow, especially near the end of the month. I really worried when Feb. started bad.
  12. That may be our last window for a decent chance. Though we have seen March snow quite a few times in recent years.
  13. The GFS is determined to keep us from giving up.
  14. I just hope poor Philly gets over a trace of snow for the season. Traces are very rare indeed.
  15. As usual the GFS looks best at the end of the run. It has been meaningless at that stage.
  16. I certainly would not stop tracking - this is one of our hobbies and it is still possible in an active pattern that something produces - but I definitely am not taking anything seriously until it gets to around 5 days or less.
  17. I think Allsnow is correct - when you need so much to go right on the models to give us snow, we should temper expectations. Still, it is nice to finally have a chance, and there look to be more chances after..
  18. I would not say “no shot” this far out. Especially if it is a coastal and bombs out like some runs say.
  19. So pretty to look and better get a good look - the 0z could be all rain the way things flip. I am happy that a consistent long range window seems to be showing up.
  20. Thanks for the explanation. That image confused me with the L off the coast.
  21. I think we can get a couple significant storms in there. At least the GFS shows some coastal potential after next weekend.
  22. Got between 1 and 2 inches, for the first real snow of the season. Now light freezing rain.
  23. I always enjoy your posts. The LR doesn’t look great on the GFS but there is still cold in between storms. What do you think are the chances one of those storms gives us significant snow?
  24. One thing we’ll have is the cold being entrenched for a few days. GFS sometimes looks good - I know the GFS loves long range snows - but some recent runs have even had a Miller B working out. Guess cautiously optimistic is the way to go? Glad you agree we can at least get 1-3” out of this next storm.
  25. Do you think this still looks like a 1-3” event for the region? Even an inch would be my biggest, sadly. I think the systems after this one may have more potential.
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