paweather
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Posts posted by paweather
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Just now, pasnownut said:
It had a monster show up several days back for that general period. Let’s get a couple other models to start showing some good hits and it may get nuts around here.
yeppppp! all for it.
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well now something to talk about! It is only 240 hours away. :-)
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Just now, bubbler86 said:
The FV3 purposely put that all 240 and back so we could not post snow maps!
That's exactly right!
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11 minutes ago, bubbler86 said:
So those that like to read models...when going to check out the 12Z American LR just go ahead and pretend the GFS is not there/already decomissioned and use the FV3 because it is our latest and greatest and has to be the best (and will make you feel better than the old hag GFS).
240-288. LOLLLL!
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Just now, sauss06 said:
Just in time too, i'm running out of Mud.
:-) LOL.
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More rain on the way this weekend! We have been in such a drought of rain this year. :-)
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22 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:
It’s a skating rink out there. Cars & trees are encased in ice all around the LSV...
Yep. It’s just not what models forecasted. We are about to get a FRZ storm for 20 mins and that’s it. All good. It is ice out there.
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2 minutes ago, bubbler86 said:
I thought MDT recorded over a 1/4" already.
Not here just been sprinkles which is fine with me radar looks like it is over. The second part of this storm underperformed. Which is good for many.
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It’s great hardly any FRZ Rain and the models bust with that at least the snow side was good on them. Short range models were terrible with the ICE.
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12 minutes ago, bubbler86 said:
NWS seems a bit bullish for this Friday night into saturday (Mag mentioned as well).
We are actually back to light snow here...snizzle, light snow, whatever...flakes falling.
I did see that I was shocked. Snow and FRZ for Saturday morning then rain and snow in my zone. Interesting.
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Let's go on to the next one. :-) Just kidding some ice coming but then spring for the weekend. Blizz get us pumped up again next week!
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Well it was a fun 4 hours. Now we take pics, and hope after this warm air comes in we have another opportunity in the near future.
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2 minutes ago, bubbler86 said:
I think all in the LSV are good until mid afternoon. Whether that is 1:30 or 3:30 that is above my paygrade!
:-) as Djr pointed out it is moving at top speeds. Slow down dang it.
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Radar doesn't look like it is back building.....going to shutoff in a couple of hours it seems.
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4 minutes ago, daxx said:
Nice band on radar right over me! Only problem is not a flake from it. I was hoping by 7 it would be reaching the ground.
yep the longer the virgra the less snow we get 12z-18z is the time period.
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Look at that juice coming here. Forget the models now. This is a good 5 plus for most of us.
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3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:
Yes, I just saw the 18z Euro!
@pasnownut & @Itstrainingtime will like the bump east with the better snow totals!
Love it Blizz!
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Just now, canderson said:
I somehow missed that - I guess snow excitement got to me.
LOL. all good.
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26 minutes ago, canderson said:
Also if you're curious about the jet stream above Pennsylvania, a Virgin Atlantic flight flying from LA to London hit 801 mph ground speed over the Commonwealth.
yep sent the link earlier in this thread CRAZY!
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18z NAM is a crushed job until 1pm. Dang 700's....
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3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:
Thanks man !
I hope we all do well !
Great stuff you 2!
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2 minutes ago, bubbler86 said:
Final call...
Been watching (and posting!) a lot of models the last 3 days to try and derive how they depict moisture getting up into the PA area. It seems the trend is for two general blobs of moisture with one mostly bypassing us to the south and the other concentrating in the southern half of PA (if you toss the Nam's depiction which is much different). Jetstream maps seem to keep the entrance regions of the jet steak a bit north of PA so it comes down to frontogenesis and qpf being thrown over our cold dome. My opinion is that S Central PA is in the bullseye right now especially near the MD line so…all of this is before ice. The Euro has about 1.5" of qpf for most of us so there is a lot of ice (and some rain) on top of this.
@Cashtown_Coop, @bubbler86 7-9" with some near one foot totals near the area.
@MAG5035 6-8"
@CarlislePaWx @Blizzard of 93 5-7"
@canderson @djr5001 @sauss06, @2001kx, @paweather, @daxx, @Voyager 4-6"
@Wmsptwx @pasnownut, @pawatch 3-5"
Nice Bubbler. Good luck!
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if the jet stream is any indication of the type of snowfall rates we get from this storm we are in good shape :-)
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Just now, sauss06 said:
i'm superstitious. I'm not starting a new thread
Neither am I! LOL. I suggested being at 70 pages but scared to do it.
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Central PA Feb/March 2019 Disco: More Snow In Our Future?
in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Posted
should we do a Hail Mary pass right now and hope for the best?