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Posts posted by paweather
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Not a good run of the 12z models for down here. We may need to wait until February now.
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Welp back to the EURO today, GFS is basically all rain for next 2 weeks except for our Northern Friends.
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In EURO we TRUST. lol.
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1 minute ago, pasnownut said:
lol....howd that work for ya...?
I've been filling my time w/ keeping active during these boring times....and as of today trolling the hell outta Ji in the MA thread.
For a dude that really knows his sh!t, he really needs to learn to keep it wound up tighter...
I saw this!
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I just really want something to track! I tried tracking clouds last week.
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18 minutes ago, pasnownut said:
actually it can only change 32-34 (start time dependent)....
just having fun....
Para says buckle up....its gonna be a fun ride in search of the promise land. Vorts every couple days.
Yeah, absolutely my man.
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Well, my rainstorm made it on the GFS for next Friday at the very least. Even though it will change 100 times before then.
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Finally some digital snow!
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Per 12z GFS there are going to be some COLD NFL Playoffs games this weekend.
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5 minutes ago, canderson said:
It feels like it's been years since we had a clipper.
I was thinking of that also. It has been a long time, seems like in the past they were so much more frequent.
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2 hours ago, pawatch said:
Boring pattern this week, mid 20's in the mornings,and mid 30's in the afternoon, and mostly cloudy.
Maybe a chance to pick up a little snow this weekend, temperature dependent. One inch at a time adds up
I see Minnesota, Green Bay and Detriot is getting hit with snow tomorrow. I would be happy for a boring clipper right now.
Blizz I see that map is 384 hours what could go wrong?
Thanks everyone for the maps and your thoughts!
Yes very boring week of weather.....rinse and repeat basically except for clouds versus sun. I’m trying to stay patience but it’s hard I would take a rain storm right now lol.
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1 hour ago, pasnownut said:
Yeah, you've been sniffin out the upcoming period and it is great to see a ridge bridge straight from the hinterlands of the north. Been a while since we've seen that on the maps and it was nice to see yesterday. -pna isnt scary w/ a stout -nao as progged so bowling balls across the conus is fine w/ me. A little help w/ WAR is also fine as it feeds the machine to the north, but its a scary ask as it's cooked us oh so many times and seems to rule the weather roost here in the east. Gonna need that a bit as the STJ is pretty far south IMO.
It's just really refreshing to not be in a shut out winter, and yeah, seeing chances starting to pop up is pretty cool.
I also saw the coastal pop for this weekend, and said something in the MA forum about it yesterday. Looks a tad late for most, but maybe a little in the E/NE regions as it gets cranking. Pocono ski resorts will approve.
Yeah Blizz....you better clean out your cache....cause you may be filling it up w/ snow maps in the coming weeks. IMO its a frequent small/med kinda period, but maybe we can score a notable even as well. Any snow is welcome to me....so its all good.
Maybe this is our January thaw week? I'm ready, I know we need to have patience but this week is just one day after another the same weather.
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3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:
We can hope that this 10 day image changes for the better...soon.
That is brutal. I might have to chase some LES events.
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Here is our latest NWS cloud forecast:
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Well we got the Euro coming up to give us hope back.
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3 minutes ago, pasnownut said:
nah...next week still has time, and 12z's keep it close enough. just like for this weekends non event, pay attention to the NE. IF we can get a little more relaxing, that will help to get us the lattitude we need for this thing to come up and visit. My gut says it can happen. at 500, you can see it lifting out a bit. CMC show how it stays south.
Looknig at the CMC, it looks simialr to ULL issue we have for this weekend. Hope that goes poof in upcoming runs. Bear in mind, that as NAO relaxes, you may lose thermal boundaries. Soo many ways to fail it seems.
Sounds good Nut, I will hold out!
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Do you see a Pattern in this forecast? *Edit: I should say except for today.
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 40. North wind around 6 mph.TonightPartly cloudy, with a low around 23. North wind around 8 mph.SaturdaySunny, with a high near 40. North wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.Saturday NightPartly cloudy, with a low around 26. Northwest wind 7 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.SundayMostly sunny, with a high near 41. Northwest wind 6 to 9 mph.Sunday NightPartly cloudy, with a low around 25.MondayMostly sunny, with a high near 42.Monday NightPartly cloudy, with a low around 27.TuesdayMostly sunny, with a high near 42.Tuesday NightPartly cloudy, with a low around 27.WednesdayMostly sunny, with a high near 41.Wednesday NightPartly cloudy, with a low around 27.ThursdayPartly sunny, with a high near 44. -
I guess it is time to move to Texas or the Carolinas for snow.
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Maybe HH GFS will give us some hope next week, need something to track even if it is a dust storm, rain storm etc.
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5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:
I've always found it fascinating that Lancaster-based WGAL uses info from Harrisburg and not Lancaster. At least in most of Lanco, 1996 dropped more snow here than 2016 did. The 1983 storm dropped remarkably similar amounts in both locals - I measured 24.8" in the '83 storm. I don't remember 1945.
They must use the airport stats for everything.
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From WGAL:
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1 hour ago, canderson said:
Hey at least it’s cold. We didn’t even have that last season.
True. Very true. Now we just need moisture.
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19 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:
As Big Ben of the Steelers would say, the Euro looks like poo.
We need a Pattern reshuffle...Cold and Dry is going to last into all of next week.
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33 minutes ago, paweather said:
Come on GFS let's get next Tuesday/Wednesday storm going.
well sorry forget this one on the GFS.
Central PA - Winter 2020/2021
in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Thank goodness finally something other than sun and clouds tonight. LOL. I agree let's hope we get better model runs today and this weekend for the next couple of weeks.