paweather

56 minutes ago, Flatheadsickness said:

I believe I may have triggered this thought . And let me tell you kerplunk I agree with you but let me tell you something about my self . I fear god , I am a patriot, I  no longer have cable. I no longer have any cell phone or ever will again , And I respect my elders. I may not be neurotypical in mind. But I hate to see the emoral  path we are takeing. I am as old school as it gets and it gets me into trouble with the modern persons way of thinking.

This is a weather forum. Can you please take this garbage to the MA forum? They are so much used to this type of crap. In here it has been a great group of guys that love winter weather.  If you want to discuss the weather stay by all means but there is zero point for this. 

1 hour ago, Flatheadsickness said:

Just came to post some pics I thought .Anyways thank to all you fellows that don't insult my intelligence or at least keep it to your self. Its ok from Atom because My nanny like his style.  I hope we get three in a row +1 or 2   

Can you please stop. 

12 minutes ago, bubbler86 said:

Funny, I was in Orlando yesterday. In Ocala today.  

I do enjoy the temps but ready to get back. 

4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Yes, this weekend & next week look very interesting indeed !

The pattern the next couple of weeks is loaded with potential for multiple winter storm chances !

We are going to be extremely busy here!

Good Stuff all. In Orlando right now at a work conf. It will be great to get back North soon to enjoy winter. 

1-2” HRRR seems right, more snow. Let’s get through the next couple of days and temps rising to more of a southern stream attack with H’s to our north. Hopeful. Great to see winter not giving up. 

12 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Harrisburg is actually ABOVE normal snow  for both the month of January & also for the season through today.

January & the season are Not fails in the snow department at MDT at this time.

January average snow through today is 8.4 inches & today MDT is sitting at 9.5

The season normal average through today is 14.1 inches & today MDT is sitting at 18.3 , with a surplus of 4.2 inches.

Harrisburg is well on its way to hit at least the average seasonal snow total of 30.9 inches.

guys slow down. Its fine all this was, was a perception to compare to 2011. If you look at December we didn't get anything in terms of winter weather. My comment was not about the pattern and the differences in the pattern from 2011-2018-19. It's all good but the perception of it, it makes it feel like 2011. Even January up until now wasn't that good.

OK. Move on, I meant no harm. 

3 minutes ago, bubbler86 said:

2011 I believe. 

yep you were the one that probably told me. :-) 

We can enjoy winter for a couple of days but so interesting that this is lining up like the Halloween Snowstorm years ago, someone told me the year but forgot it, where we had that snow early and then winter fizzled. Seems to meet the pattern here where we had the mid November snowstorm and then December was not good, most of January failed, and February starting out not warm.

White out here.

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Still snowing heavy seems the backend is moving now fairly quick but I have likely the same as Nut. 

1 minute ago, djr5001 said:

Just measured 1.3” on my board and driveway has maybe .3” (northern Enola) - there is not much moisture in these flakes at all so ratios could very well be close to 20:1.  Radar looks great but other than a period of larger flakes earlier it is really not coming down the way radar makes it look like it should be.

Radar does look like it is back building a bit. 

Very nice Mod snow right now. 

Looks good out there and radar looks good as well at least for the next couple of hours hope to squeeze it more to 7pm tonight

Just now, pasnownut said:

absolutely.  

Truth is that in this pattern we are going to need to ride the line, as the pac is just muckin stuff up.  If its all NS derived events, we'd get clipped but theyd be snofart kinda snows, and not juicy.  Boundary is where the action will be.  Verbatim I'm in trouble down here but hope the northern 1/2 of the state would have a little better chance with the zonal look.  Thats as far as I'm willing to delve in right now, as there is so much volatility right now.  MJO gets towards 8 or -AO and it may be workable for sure.  

 

yep. I would rather play the gamble game with more southern activity for us and hope we get a good track to the east for snow or even a start as snow to ice/rain back to snow. Feb is a key month for us. 

6 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

and further down the road, it looks like a warm up for a few days next week, then back to normalish temps from 2/8 and beyond....

not that I'm looking that far out though

and hope active after that. Normal temps these months it can still snow. 

Just now, canderson said:

Had a dusting this morning. When is round 2 supposed to commence, still 1ish?

HRRR has it around noon-1pm. 

Just now, Blizzard of 93 said:

Let’s let it play out !

Try being happy, we will see snow today!

I am happy no doubt, it is winter again at the very least. 

They upped our grid:

Snow. High near 32. Southeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming light and variable in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.

Interesting. Maybe there is still some hope. 

39 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

Not sure how anyone could get 6-8 from a fropa. There is a secondary pop and that’s what bumps up totals for the east (including me as I’m now at 4-6”). It’s why these deals never get me giddy. Will be happy with whatever comes though. I’m still close to the fail line for that too. 

yep. that is why I am so skeptical of a frontal passage snow. There never seems to be a secondary on them or close to being a producer. Not snowing here now, have a trace of snow. Welcome Bitter air for a couple of days. 

25 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The 18z GFS says this place will be busy over the next 16 days !

Blizz thanks this is great stuff. 

Radar looks like crap

Next week is back to boring. 

8 minutes ago, bubbler86 said:

Its 3-6 for the Northern LSV.  2-4 for the southern half. They have overshot their load two storms in a row now.  3-6" is very high compared to guidance. 

yep thanks for the clarification. 

Looks like NWS going for a 3-6" snowfall for LSV. 

29 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Good agreement between the 12z GFS & Canadian for our Tuesday snow this week.

The next frame on the Canadian wasn’t available, hence the difference in end time on the 2 maps, but the precip was through in CTP with both posted maps.

I would take 4 inches of snow followed by a few days of frigid temps to preserve it !

Bring it Blizz. Need winter to come back and stay for Feb. it would be nice to starting getting a cold active pattern again. Some southern stream love.