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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    People are interested in weather in general.
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Almost time to grade this disaster winter. Personally it was my least favorite of all time. As some of you know snow for me is more then something I’m passionate about but has major financial implications. There are many out there hurting from two (coastal) duds in a row. Even the 80s as bad as they were had some snow.
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It’s actually good for the environment up there as the prolonged cold will help with invasive species. We also rebuilt some sea ice this winter
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’m cautiously optimistic we at least see something measurable. (1” or something) the stronger the storm more dynamic cooling at play. Temps will be marginal at the coast so it may just be a car topper. Think about it this way 97/98 which was an even more awful winter for the coast then this one pulled off 5.5” in a March storm. March storms tend to be really moisture loaded.
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    We’ll see, no one wants a big storm more then me, but it’s going to be thread the needle for the coast no matter how you look at it. The predominate low tracks have been so incredibly constant ever suppressed or to our north. Why would that change?
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    We had a light dusting on the uws yesterday morning. It would be nice to actually see it this time as that fell overnight
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Elaborate, on board with what? We are going to need an intense low in just the right position to draw in cold air for any chance at the coast
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    31 one on the spine of the southern greens, no shot
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Maybe people are excited for extended warmth. I know I am, if we are going to start the growing season early this year we might as well go all in. Let’s get those ocean temps up as much as possible as well which will help with coastal severe threats.
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It makes absolutely no sense. I’m not throwing in the towel for a possible surprise snow event (1-3 type) but a cold March? Everything screams 70s mid month on
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    If that band that was just up north of the Tug Hill was snow someone just saw some of the heaviest rates ever on the east coast. Just insane returns
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I put in 400 daffodil bulbs last fall and they are way up. I’m worried about the cool down zapping any potential blooms. I would think we see everything at least a month ahead this year over the last several
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    All fine and good as long as we do not take steps back to winter once the warm air moves in. Let’s close the door on this winter. (If you could call it that) I hate to say it but without a major global pattern change I would expect more of the same next winter.
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Great question. Number one on my list would be one “60 storm. Hard to make happen but not completely impossible. A powerful slowly occluding low in just the right spot could do it. Feb 13 in CT style rates. Other then that I agree on the 10, 6” storms. Maximum snow removal = maximum money. 6” is a great plowable number. Ideally falling from mid December to mid February for maximum pack retention.
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Conditions were solid mid winter in SVT this weekend. Enough coverage to finally get into the trees. The line between awful winter and decent is right around the MA/VT border.
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    You need to be inland and elevated to pull anything off. And I mean well inland and well elevated
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I was just talking about that with my coworkers this morning. Back up to snowy Vermont for a three day weekend. Can’t wait. Our pain had been their gain lately. Amazingly there is no snow south of Vermont, even in the high elevations of the Berkshires
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Chance of verifying, .00000000000001% it’s almost easier to just not look at this point. We need something major, like a SSW to completely reshuffle the pattern. Unfortunately that’s just not happening with such an intense and stable +AO
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Okemo has been right on the border between snow and ice. It’s been ice storm after ice storm at Stratton. luckily there was enough snow on the backside of the last event to dust the crust enough to make it fun for experienced skiers/ridders. If at all possible I would go killington north
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I would feel confident making a forecast for next winter mirroring this and last winter. The pattern is incredibly persistent. Stuck.
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Patterns have been so consistent I think you would have a good shot at nailing the forecast for next winter using this winter and last as the analogs. Obviously not what we want.
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Agreed, the theme has been to amp amp amp. Even if we get one of these to half work I’ll be happy. I have a new guy on my crew and would love to actually do a little snow removal
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’m in the same boat, share house is at Stratton, but I do have an ikon and could head to sugar bush. I think southern Vermont is in for another ice storm. But 6” on the back side could make it fun. There is allot more snow up there right now then You would think.
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I would feel fairly confident making that forecast. We need a major climatic event to reset the pattern
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Not saying it’s a lock, just that it wouldn’t be surprising. You could have taken last winter and made that your forecast for this winter and blown all the pro Mets out of the water for winter forecast
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