jayyy

Welcome to the Himalayas! .

Idk, maybe it’s just me but I’d almost prefer to see a SVA/NC snowstorm at this lead than a bullseye given this years trend of things coming well north once we hit day 4-5. Especially if the setup is a southern stream low tracking west to east along the boundary. I know there’s a fear of suppression given the evolution at H5, but I’d rather take the possibility that the boundary is being depicted too far south / the block / 50-50 are being depicted a tad too strong over trying to thread the needle again. Also, just a reminder for those feeling like debbing today after a disappointing outcome yesterday, that many of us live in the central DMV, where climo is roughly 20-30” per year. For the lowlands / 95 crew, that’s pretty much two solid storms or one biggie with a medium , etc. I know it feels like Deja vu and things are being punted, but backloaded winters (late Jan thru early march) are commonplace around these parts in a niño. Yes, we sometimes score an early season storm in niño heads, but we’ve also been shutout going into mid January before as well and ended up with a solid winter. Just need to be a BIT more patient. It sucks, I get it, but our time will come. Going to be a rollercoaster to get there it appears, but we will see snow, and likely multiple snows in a relatively short span. Big thanks to cape psu heisy Brooklyn terp & those tracking the LR and breaking it down for us.

Saw a foot up here in Orange County NY at my parents house. 7.5 of which fell in a 3 hour span. Mashed potatoes FTW. Pretty awesome storm. .

Oh boy. Flooding is gonna be a major issue in the northeast if those qpf amounts are anywhere near accurate. .

Awesome! Honestly, that was one of the best snows I’ve witnessed in years... and I’ve witnessed a bunch of absolute maulers in my life living in the elevations of the Hudson Valley for over 25 years, as well as our big storms from 2010 through now down in the DMV area. The combo of the rates to end that storm with the sheer size of the snowflakes, it was an amazing sight. There are a bunch of reports of upwards of 9” of snow falling in under 3 hours in some areas from NEPA into the Hudson valley toward Newburgh. Some models (GFS RGEM etc) nailed the existence of that deathband, but were off with its location. My soul needed that. 11.8” of snow is the official report from Middletown. Reports of 14+” to my NE near Poughkeepsie, which was ground zero for that band. .

Well worth the drive up here. Over 4” so far. Over 1” per hour rates currently. Should end up around 9” at this rate. The holiday period is REALLY rough in my line of work. Amazing what a good snow can do for your mental wellbeing. Hope to bring winter back home with me [emoji1696]

But they were doo(dy) .

Finally, a legit jebwalk. Time to unplug and just enjoy the snow for a while. 1.5” and moderate snow up at my parents house. 28 degrees winds from the ENE at 10 mph Temp DOWN 3 degrees since precip began. Latest Upton NWS update calling for 8-10” .

Weather station at home in union bridge shows 33 and my cam shows POURING rain. Man, we just can’t catch a damn break in our area. Congrats to those along the mason Dixon line north of Frederick who seem to have at least managed a respectable storm. .

Dry air finally being broken through up this way. Had about 3 hours of virga. Light snow and 30 degrees. Latest warning bumped totals down from 6-12 to 5-10 so we’ll see what happens. Quick moving system so I’ll believe it when I see it

Good. Sorry not sorry, but some folks may need to step away for a week and come back. They’ll be much happier when they do. .

Looks like they got the start time way wrong up this way. Snowing in NEPA already. Will have flakes falling here by 1pm at this rate. .

Looks like some decent rates finally at my house in UB per the cam

Roads look clear.. time to Jeb!

My coworker just texted me and said ice pellets are falling with mangled in flakes near Columbia mall. Come onnnn, bring on those heavier returns. Would love to see the 95 crew get in on the action for a bit.

80/20 snow in Ellicott City near turf valley. Gotta think it’ll change over in Columbia shortly when precip intensifies a tad

All snow in Union Bridge and Emmittsburg. Confirmed by my son & neighbor. Bring on the fatties

Thanks man. Took a bit less than 4 hrs with no one on the road. Pretty smooth ride with lots of scooby snacks to get me through [emoji23] Looks like precip won’t begin up here until late afternoon. 740 ft elevation half a mile east of mount hope. WSW up for 6-12” Seeing some snow falling on my cam back home in union bridge. Assume some sleet is mixed in there too based on other’s observations. WSW up for 2-4” of snow / sleet + some ice .

Finally made it to folks house in Middletown NY. Now I get some much needed sleep. Good luck today everyone! May the force be with you. .

Curious to see how they initialize temps versus reality .

Officially below freezing. Forecasted low of 20 tonight. Gimme 3-4” of thumpy paste and I’ll be happy at this point.

They don’t like constant switching between optimism and doom or talks of the back edge approaching 5 states away .

May head up to my parents house tonight in the Hudson valley depending on how things look tonight. They have a warning up for 6-10”, should remain all snow. Have off work until Tuesday, so perhaps I’ll head up to “visit my folks”. Haven’t decided quite yet.

Yep. The gulf is awfully close though? Which is warm. Moistures being fed into the system from there.

Gotta love seeing central Arkansas fend off the rain / snow line @ 1 pm [emoji1787] Like come onnn .