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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. jayyy
    More snow, of course.
  2. jayyy
    We’re roughly 56-60 hours from first flakes on some models. Let’s reel this bad boy in today.
  3. jayyy
    Some nice subtle changes from 0z into 6z for our area. Nothing major but slightly colder upstairs and a slightly better HP position / cold press on some models. NBM GFS Euro Euro AI Ukie are all easy warning level events. Would love to see the trend toward some coastal love continue like the GFS is showing - especially for the 95 & east crew. If we can keep that primary south before a jump to the coast instead of it moving up into WV, it’s game on for a biggie for all
  4. jayyy
    It’s a blend of multiple models that does minor bias corrections along the way, i believe. The NBM is used quite a bit by mets at NWS to get an overall idea of where guidance is at
  5. jayyy
    The latest NBM is tasty AF. Let’s goooo
  6. jayyy
    Point click is lovely Saturday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 12. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Sunday Snow. High near 19. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Sunday Night Snow likely, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 13. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
  7. jayyy
    Take us home Randy
  8. jayyy
    Take a nap champ. I am setting an alarm for 1230 myself
  9. jayyy
    Cooking dinner right now before we extrapolate the long range NAM like heathens
  10. jayyy
    Waaaaay too far out for the SREFs
  11. jayyy
    Who’s ready for some 00z runs with newly ingested data?
  12. jayyy
    It’s getting away from us? The latest NBM is 12-16”… sorry to be blunt, but what the hell are you talking about? .
  13. jayyy
    Good news is that storms don’t follow what models do. Models simply guess.
  14. jayyy
    Hit us with the 10:1 and Kuchie maps NorthArlington
  15. jayyy
    Folks for sure
  16. jayyy
    Honestly, the fact that the Euro AI is holding FIRM and has been for the past 2 days has me feeling very good about our chances. It’s been lights out inside D5. Other models show a variation of 6-12+ with the chance of some sleet at the end. Can’t be mad about where we are right now.
  17. jayyy
    You seem very superstitious. And while I very much understand the level of despair you’ve felt as a snow weenie over the past 10 years, science doesn’t care about waiting until tomorrow to say folks or open up threads on our forum.
  18. jayyy
    Gfs has what? 12-18 and Ukie is easily 6-12”… relax yall
  19. jayyy
    My thoughts exactly. West of 95 is looking pretty solid for 90+% snow. Our area should be all snow
  20. jayyy
    CAD signature on the ICON is filthy l
  21. jayyy
    NAM was about to be hellacious thump
  22. jayyy
    Can’t really ask for better than this
  23. jayyy
    De-amping as we get to day 3-4 has been a trend all year. Let’s see how this one goes with an actual STJ component
  24. jayyy
    The feature which makes or breaks the storm is less than 60 hours from making its move out of the SW. Models should be able to better predict how quickly it ejects east and how it phases with the NS piece today.
  25. jayyy
    Yeah, the more amped trend can chill out going forward lol
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