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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. Tuesday Night A chance of snow after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Wednesday A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 30. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Wednesday Night A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Current point click for next week
  2. 330 hour snow map is so unnecessary [emoji1787] Potentials there and it’s 2 weeks out. All that matters atm
  3. Would be pretty hilarious if that trailing wave sped up enough that it actually caught up and phased in with our storm.
  4. I don’t think it would have gotten it done. Better than 6z but not there. As Randy said, h5 didn’t look quite right.
  5. So does the NAM. That’s why NWS put the statement out. I expect at least some snow tv for many between dc and Baltimore today. 1/2 max somewhere seems most likely if it materializes
  6. Same. To me, it seems like the western ridge’s axis isn’t quite right and is being impacted by it. We want to see it taller and more N-S. Almost points NW to SE on this frame. Trough doesn’t dig and turn negative fast enough and OOS she goes. If that ridge was a bit more pronounced and better orientated, the ULL could dig further west. I may be super wrong though
  7. That kicker in the dakotas probably isn’t helping our cause, right?
  8. Odd run. If the flow is truly that fast, not even Hampton roads is gonna cash in.
  9. This doing the double barrel shit the Canadian was doing last night?
  10. Ridge is a smidge bit taller out west as well. Noise at this point with the ridge and heights in the east
  11. Goal post will tighten later today - crazy thing is they are already very tight. Very minute changes are causing pretty large surface differences. H5 trended better across guidance today. We can only hope the surface follows suite tomorrow
  12. It’ll be interesting to see how things look at 12z tomorrow as new data is ingested fully Certainly encouraging to see every model trend west up top at 0z. Perhaps the downstream impacts of that will show itself tomorrow and beyond. Perhaps it won’t.
  13. Bold statement lol. Wouldn’t want to die on that hill
  14. Likely out on a biggie? Yep. Can we still get 3-6” of fluff to add to the 6-10” glacier pack around the region? Also yep. I’m personally not one to sneeze at 3-6 of additional powder in deep winter. I know we’re all big dog hunting, but let’s keep our climo in mind when setting expectations. We *could* end this weekend with over a foot of snowpack CWA wide with more chances on the horizon. That’s fantastic in a niña
  15. Alright .. who’s staying up for the long range 6z NAM? Kidding. Go to bed ya goddamn degenerates
  16. Rooting for that ensemble member that has a 981 over OBX…
  17. Very different setup obviously, but I’m almost getting January of last year vibes with this one. Slow, consistent trends in our direction up until game time. Do we have an eternity being just under 4 days? No. But we don’t need an eternity.. nor are we starting the drive from our own 10 yard line.
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