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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. jayyy
    So does the NAM. That’s why NWS put the statement out. I expect at least some snow tv for many between dc and Baltimore today. 1/2 max somewhere seems most likely if it materializes
  2. jayyy
    Same. To me, it seems like the western ridge’s axis isn’t quite right and is being impacted by it. We want to see it taller and more N-S. Almost points NW to SE on this frame. Trough doesn’t dig and turn negative fast enough and OOS she goes. If that ridge was a bit more pronounced and better orientated, the ULL could dig further west. I may be super wrong though
  3. jayyy
    That kicker in the dakotas probably isn’t helping our cause, right?
  4. jayyy
    Odd run. If the flow is truly that fast, not even Hampton roads is gonna cash in.
  5. jayyy
    This doing the double barrel shit the Canadian was doing last night?
  6. jayyy
    Yep
  7. jayyy
    Ridge is a smidge bit taller out west as well. Noise at this point with the ridge and heights in the east
  8. jayyy
    Goal post will tighten later today - crazy thing is they are already very tight. Very minute changes are causing pretty large surface differences. H5 trended better across guidance today. We can only hope the surface follows suite tomorrow
  9. jayyy
    It’ll be interesting to see how things look at 12z tomorrow as new data is ingested fully Certainly encouraging to see every model trend west up top at 0z. Perhaps the downstream impacts of that will show itself tomorrow and beyond. Perhaps it won’t.
  10. jayyy
    Bold statement lol. Wouldn’t want to die on that hill
  11. jayyy
    Thank you for your service
  12. jayyy
    Likely out on a biggie? Yep. Can we still get 3-6” of fluff to add to the 6-10” glacier pack around the region? Also yep. I’m personally not one to sneeze at 3-6 of additional powder in deep winter. I know we’re all big dog hunting, but let’s keep our climo in mind when setting expectations. We *could* end this weekend with over a foot of snowpack CWA wide with more chances on the horizon. That’s fantastic in a niña
  13. jayyy
    Alright .. who’s staying up for the long range 6z NAM? Kidding. Go to bed ya goddamn degenerates
  14. jayyy
    Rooting for that ensemble member that has a 981 over OBX…
  15. jayyy
    Don’t forget the NAM at range..
  16. jayyy
    Very different setup obviously, but I’m almost getting January of last year vibes with this one. Slow, consistent trends in our direction up until game time. Do we have an eternity being just under 4 days? No. But we don’t need an eternity.. nor are we starting the drive from our own 10 yard line.
  17. jayyy
    How big of an outlier is the OP that the mean in southern VA is less than DC / NOVA? Interesting
  18. jayyy
    That was the retaliatory tariff version of the CMC
  19. jayyy
    That was a wonky run of the CMC
  20. jayyy
    Not a bad place to be 3.5 days out I reckon
  21. jayyy
    Me yelling at my MacBook
  22. jayyy
    Hold on young Jedi. This might only be good nachos.
  23. jayyy
    My eye balls are numb
  24. jayyy
    Hello Dave, from the land of the first jebwalk
  25. jayyy
    Nvm, Randy corrected. Withdrawn
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