jayyy
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Everything posted by jayyy
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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
jayyy replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Not good at all here in the sticks. My brother down in Ellicott city said his neighborhood hasn’t even been touched since last nights salting -
About to add to it next week
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Solid!! My mom FaceTimed me from the driveway mid afternoon and it was nuking out. Looked awesome. Congrats on the chase. I love living down here but boy do I miss living somewhere where niñas produce.
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Hometown homie! My parents live in Middletown. I grew up up there. Happy for you guys. 13-14” spotter reports @ 3 pm in the area so 18-20” is certainly possible Edit - I see you may be visiting the area. Nice chase!
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Why? Have you checked the temps for this upcoming week? Also, it snowed a foot in New Orleans last year - which averages 0.0” of snow annually. South Carolina snow is rare, but not impossible, especially on the heels of this airmass with a ton of snow / ice cover to the north / west. Not saying it’ll snow there, but I wouldn’t brush off the possibility entirely
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Is it though? Got thermals right but QPF very wrong. GFS totals across dc & Maryland likely verified better than the NAM. Gfs got the thermals wrong but NAM missed in an equally huge way on the front end. Euro got this most right IMO.
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11.25” of snow / sleet total. 0.0 of ZR Precip has shut off 22 degrees. Storm reports up N are also impressive. Spotter in my parents town reported 13” @ 3pm, damn. Have to be at 15-16” now.
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Unconventional double digit storm but I’ll sure as shit take it. Especially since we’ll be able to enjoy it all week. Models have lows falling to near zero 3-4 days this week. Going to be a great week leading up to our storm next weekend (hello 18z euro)
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GFS had me at 11.4 last night 00z. I ended up over 11”. NAM had me at 7.5. NAM had DC at like 3-4” It busted pretty badly on totals. It got thermals correct but completely missed the initial thump.
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1) thermals sure, but absolutely whiffed on the QPF. The model is literally being retired for a reason. 2) the gfs was significantly closer in ground truth for frozen totals for most of our area, particularly the metros, despite having the thermals incorrect 3) Chicago didn’t get more snow than many of us. In fact, Baltimore saw 5x more snow/sleet as Chicago Other than that, sure. Spot on.
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lol, JFC… no one’s punting anything. You just got probably 9” of snow/sleet that’ll stick around for 1-2 weeks with more chances ahead over the coming weeks. I feel like your soul needs a move to New York or something.
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If it was all snow, yeah, this was a 2 footer
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Heck yeah dude. Happy to see my old stomping grounds cashing in
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SWEET storm. Sure, all fresh pow would have been better but this was amazing in it’s own right. Can’t be mad at nearly a foot of snow/sleet
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Yeah man, I’m super jealous of my peeps up north. This is turning into a classic for them with HOURS to go
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Flakes are mixing in, but we’re primarily sleet. At least 3” of sleet so far and counting
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Perspective I guess but this is easily the most snow/sleet Ellicott city’s gotten in years… you have to be at what? 9”? I know you’re big dog hunting like the rest of us, but I wouldn’t call this wasted QPF
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ALEET ALEET
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Stay safe folks east of the bay… gonna get a decent dump of ZR this evening it appears Looking like we’ll stay sleet up this way - west of Westminster. About to Jeb walk down to flood zone for a nice brewski
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Yeah, definitely don’t. I’m getting observation texts from my friends I grew up with… getting absolutely smoked in the Hudson valley. Easily hitting 16-18 up there
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May have a foot combined at the end of this at this rate. Unreal. Mangled flakes mixing back in during heavy returns but man, this sleet is wild.
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Not as good as a foot+, but I’ll take 8+ of snow/sleet that’ll stick around for 1-2 weeks. Haven’t measured but easily over 8 currently with crushing sleet falling
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A flip back would be epic
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Intensity is definitely picking up 14 degrees
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Today’s storm was supposed to drop 30” in NC 5-6 days ago so I’m not sweating it
