jayyy

Looks legit based on the outcome. [emoji23] kidding… Yeah, it’s JV status if I’m not mistaken. Do like that depiction though. Nice high north of us with a classic CAD setup down into southern VA

Source: trust me bro [emoji12]

Who needs Dr. No when we’ve got Dr Yes showing 1-2 feet area wide. Gfs did uncharacteristically well with yesterday’s storm. Just need a general hold for 8 days, what could go wrong [emoji57]

Niña vibes are strong with this one

Going out with a bang. Back edge approaching though. Should shut off around 230 or so. 5” flat may be doable thanks to this final batch

Snowing nicely out there. MAY squeak out 5” to verify the warning here in SE Columbia. Let’s see

4” flat where I’m staying tonight just west of 95 in Columbia. Maybe another inch coming overnight? Radar doesn’t look too shabby. Goodnight all

Agreed. One amped up storm will likely demolish the northern tier. Likely on the back end of a decaying block. Question is… how late in the season and will that be for everyone along and north of 70, or just those of us who live on the second highest point east of the BR [emoji12]

540 down in N NC so lots of cold air to work with. My weenie brain says this would have been a very nice outcome… but hard to tell exactly how nice given the importance of the 6-12 hours after this point. Long way to go! We’re still very much in the game though.

If only we could get all of that moisture way down south up here too. Nonetheless, 3.75” at my brother’s house in East Columbia with some more to go. Congrats to the DC NVA and Delmarva crew on those 6+ totals. Feel like CAPE and stormtracker deserve it after all of the tracking they do for us on a daily basis!

The models that showed a stonewall at the M/D line nailed it. Looks like snow should continue through at least 2 AM for dc / Baltimore and points east. Still a long train of moisture to our SW.

Anyone in Salisbury? That area’s been under some serious banding

Under a nice band in Columbia. Beautiful out there!

Looking like Columbia East EC and Baltimore should be in the goods by around 6pm

Pretty scene outside at the Columbia mall. On my “lunch” break and enjoying the scenery

I’d set the bar around 3.5” in the Columbia / EC area and you won’t be disappointed

Only 9 days of relentless tracking and emotional rollercoasters to go!

UB is in Carroll county, but I work in Columbia. Staying down in HoCo tonight to shorten the drive for tomorrow as well.

Really hoping our market makes the decision to close our stores early. I’m working 12-9 today. I can likely leave safely at 5pm.. not so much 9pm

Most models have you at 4-6”. 3-4” seems like a reasonable bar

Euro & 3k NAM have the 6” line getting up to Baltimore and SE HOCO/MOCO. We’ll see what happens. A smidge worried models are overdoing how far north the heavier snows get but there’s also solid agreement among the models. Not loving where I live for this one. Will definitely be spending tomorrow into Wed AM down in HoCo in hopes of seeing the goods.

Seasonal trend: stay down at my brothers place in HoCo for storms. Seems like a good move for this one since I work in Columbia on Wed

NAM / RGEM with 6-9” for many 48 hours out. Varsity models still further south with the heaviest axis. Seems the hi res have a healthier and more expansive precip shield instead of focusing so much energy south of us

Definitely agree on the deamp trend as we get closer to storms. Also, on the “north trend” subject, I suppose it’s been more about banding setting up further north than the actual storm itself. Think many of us look at the bottom line - aka snow accumulation maps - and hope for a “north bump” but in reality, the storm can track exactly as depicted while having the banding placement slightly wrong. The 1/6 and other January storm both had this happen. Models nailed the track generally but C MD got kinda screwed because banding setup further north near the M/D line. EPS brings the coveted purples to just south of the Baltimore - Columbia latitude. Wouldn’t necessarily take a northern trend with the system itself to get those 6-7” totals up that way

4-6” for many, possibility of 7-8 south of DC. Sign me up