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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. 5” in Baltimore? Okaaay. Central MD about to reel another one in sub 24 hours?
  2. This has nyc area special written all over it. I’ll be at my parents until Wednesday. 12” looking very likely Rooting for us back home though!
  3. The two storms in January moved in our direction within 48-72 hours. Pretty drastic changes too. For storm 2 most models showed 1-2” for many of us inside 36 hours and then we saw a last minute jack up to 6-7” in some areas in central MD inside 18 hours. Not out of the realm of possibility this ends up being a few inches if things continue to tick in our direction and we get a bit lucky. Why the hell not? Let’s keep the good luck rolling.
  4. #Phillyspecial Winter 23-24, the year of the south trend
  5. lol far too much weenie nonsense going on right now over A SINGLE 200+ hour OP run. Calm the fuck down y’all. Did we expect the GFS to hold a massive snowstorm for 200+ hours? Ensembles, ensembles, ensembles at this range. It’ll be back and gone again by tomorrow.
  6. Same way the blend looked 2 days before MoCo and HoCo saw 6” with that second wave in January
  7. Not happening since 15-16 is kind of irrelevant as it pertains to whether or not we can sustain a pattern in 2024. You poopoo’d on both of last weeks potentials too and cited all sorts of correlations and +dms, only for it to snow 10+” over a 4 day span in many places. These statistics and correlations only tell us so much. Sometimes those correlations mean something, other times they are mere coincidence. Obviously we take this one week at a time, but I highly doubt we’re incapable of sustaining a pattern anymore.
  8. Could be because the amount of snow he gets isn’t the only determining factor in his life decisions. Just a hunch lol
  9. The skepticism is reeaaaal. Just means it’s comin baby! If we manage even 1-3” out of this it’d be an insane win. 65 degrees up here 2 days before. Would could go wrong [emoji1787]
  10. I’m from a place that’s much colder and snowier than here, and I can for sure tell you that temps in the 50s and above have without a doubt occurred after deep freezes, even in mid winter. That’s nothing new, ESPECIALLY for our CWA. However, there is a point to be made on the opposite side of that IE: it’s taking longer to get cold once unfavorable patterns break down. My thought is that it doesn’t take as long this time because cold air is finally on this side of the globe and there’s been cold / snow to our north and up in Canada. Yes, it’ll melt and get warm up there too, but I don’t think we take weeks on end to get cold again. Colder air, while locked away up north, won’t be on the other side of the globe and we will be in mid winter, not early winter. I might be wrong, but that’s my hunch.
  11. No offense, but you’re probably the last person that should be telling people where to post their banter / panic room rants. If you’re going to take a shit in every thread, then don’t bash others for trying to be optimistic. Think it’s fair that you either both are allowed to “post garbage” or you both take it elsewhere.
  12. Some would tell you 9 years is “84 years…” in the meteorology time continuum.
  13. spotter reports of 5-5.5” in the Columbia to Eldersurg corridor. Right in line with what I measured in EC. Nice little storm. Could get to 6” with a steamer or 2. Congrats to all.
  14. Most reports came between 11am & noon. HoCo - MoCo into Loudon stand up
  15. Incoming Warrenton. Streamer on your doorstep .
  16. 13” on the season. Call me crazy, but feb 14-march 14 we go over climo and then some, topped off by a regionwide HECS. Book it.
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