jayyy
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Everything posted by jayyy
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
jayyy replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
No no! You keep the same thread when things look decent. We would be reverse jinxing it back to shit with another thread lmao -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
jayyy replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
OP is preferred within 72 hours for sure but ensembles aren’t quite out of range either. If OP and ensembles match , that’s usually a good clue the OP is onto something -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
jayyy replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
It’s like the inverse Jim Cramer effect… but for weather. DT or JB cancel = game on -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
jayyy replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’ll have some of whatever the NAM is smokin’ I called it last night. NAMing would bring back interest lol can’t help but laugh at the irony at this point that being said… most models showing 2-4” type deal. I’ll take that as an appetizer to the 20th -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
jayyy replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Look! Another 1007mb low. Models love that number -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
jayyy replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Consensus seems to be forming around seeing periods of light to possibly moderate snow between mon - wed (with Sunday morning squalls) 1-3/2-4 type deal. Certainly not the ceiling we had a few days ago, but I’d honestly take it. Some snow on the ground that won’t melt due to legit cold being around leading into a more favorable window? Why not. Gotta kick this off somehow -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
jayyy replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
It’s cool, we’ll keep this unpinned discreet thread and no one will track it and then BOOM… with 48 hours left we see models trend toward a nice 2-4” forum wide cold smoke event Edit - nvm, Ji is already here -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
jayyy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Please take it to the panic room . -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
jayyy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Do tell- 449 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
jayyy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
You know one model is gonna show something good. Gotta keep folks interested [emoji1787]- 449 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
jayyy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
My buddy in Schaumburg just NW of Chicago got 7” with storm one and 11.5” from storm two. Wouldn’t necessarily call that a bust. .- 449 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
jayyy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
You know it’s coming. Something to keep folks hanging by a thread.- 449 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
jayyy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
When all other guidance has abandoned us… you know what time it is…. NAMing time [emoji1787]- 449 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
jayyy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah, for some reason when the “sent from my phone using Tapatalk” toggle is checked, it enters a period 3 lines down. Terrible coding job by Tapatalk.- 449 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
jayyy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Your mother. It’s what shows up from my sig for some reason. Eat a shlong, Yeoman.- 449 replies
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
jayyy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
At this point I might as well go visit my Alma mater (university at buffalo) if I want to see some legit snow. Last week’s foot in NY helped soothed my weenie soul but I need more. -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
jayyy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Watch the 00z NAM show what we want [emoji1787] .- 449 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
jayyy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Thread jinx is real. Prove me wrong. .- 449 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
jayyy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Shit I’d take a nice advisory level event at this point. Get the ball rolling heading into peak climo and a prime pattern window .- 449 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
jayyy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
JV for sure, but it’s halfway decent within the 48-60 hour timeframe, which is where some of these key differences are occurring. As you said, better to have it on our side than not.- 449 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
jayyy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Agreed. That being said…. For as much shit as that model gets… is a threat REALLY there without a proper NAMing? Just sayin’. We haven’t had a proper NAMing all season and I have 3” to show for it (shut it Ravensrule) .- 449 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
jayyy replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Next up… the WRF-GONADS .- 449 replies
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
jayyy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
You must be a life coach. . -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
jayyy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
We REALLY need some areawide snow [emoji1787] Some in here are for real traumatized by the last few years and it shows. NAM at range is just that, but it does handle the energy out west very similarly to the GFS Ukie CMC in the short term, where it at least has *some* semblance of credibility. Would love to see the euro start trending our way by 00z tomorrow once that Midwest storm has mostly cleared. This is a possible long duration event (Monday night start) but some models show a later Tuesday - Wednesday impact, so we’re still pretty far out as far as “meteorological time” is concerned. Buckle up. Going to be a “fun” next 72-96 hours of tracking. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
jayyy replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
At least the euro only has the icon on its side currently. GFS CMC Ukie combo is nice for our area but I agree with PSU… would rather have the euro on our side than not. It’s the best model for a reason. Would like to see it make a legit move toward the other camp sooner than later. Good news is we’re still 4 days out or so .