Jump to content

jayyy

Members
  • Posts

    3,726
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by jayyy

  1. Definitely some surprise snows happening to our SW. Forecasts for mix / rain actually ended up being a few inches of snow in Arkansas and surrounding areas. Perhaps a sign of things to come? Perhaps not. This one’s going to be very interesting to track in real time. Next 12-18 hours should be pretty telling. Hoping for a solid 3-5 hour window of thumpage. Pretty decent gulf interaction occurring down south right now. Pretty safe to say this storm will have a respectable amount of moisture to work with. .
  2. Sitting at 34.5 - forecasted high of 38 .
  3. It’d be even sweeter if most of that qpf that falls along I-95 as the gfs depicts falls when temps are still cold enough for frozen. Sucks not having everyone in on the fun for this one. .
  4. At 12z we see models converge on the coastal amping earlier! *Putting some good juju out into the universe* .
  5. Right down the street from my son at Mt. Saint Mary’s! Great spot to eat. .
  6. Down to a chilly 26.5 degrees this evening. Wind out of the NNW 7mph, dew 17, humidity 67% Watch up for 5” or more of snow/sleet Let’s reel this mamajama in .
  7. Gahh I’m at work, I can’t check! .
  8. Curious what the 18z 3k NAM has to say. Pretty much solely focused on thermals at this point. A nudge in the colder direction would be nice to see.
  9. Same. Quite close to the Frederick county border. Still think my area can manage a solid 3-5” out of this if we’re just a tad cooler than progged come game time. .
  10. Being off by 100 miles and a few degrees 2+ weeks out is models being astonishingly accurate.
  11. Pretty interesting to see all of the snowfall accumulation changes from run to run. Track remains mostly the same as Clskins alluded to, but the thermals are all over the place. We may really need to wait until Friday night to know what’s going on, once the airmass / high is actually in place and models aren’t just predicting what it’ll be like.
  12. Imagine after all of this tracking and boom / bust concern it ends up being an areawide 2-5” storm for many [emoji1787] what’s kuchera have to say? 10:1 is generous.
  13. 18z and especially 00z gets the NAM within 48 hours, where it’s at least (somewhat?) useful. Then again, it’s being retired and hasn’t been updated in a while, so who knows. Hoping it scores a coup being a meso vs globals. Certainly have nothing to lose at this point. .
  14. At least it’s the 3k and not the 12k… Let’s see if we can get this thing trending a few degrees colder over the next 48 hours. .
  15. So close but no cigar for the metros .
  16. Weather app is still bullish [emoji1787][emoji23]
  17. It’s okay guys, we’re gonna wake up to a 6z NAMing .
  18. A low level warning event is still in the cards in my neck of the woods in Carroll county. Not counting us out just yet. Still think we see things shift a bit further SE between now and tomorrow night. This is the appetizer in the upcoming pattern. MLK day and beyond is gonna be a smoke show. Can feel it in my bones.
  19. NAM thermals + euro track = yes please
  20. One thing is for sure… NAM has an actual system there, which is certainly better than 18z’s depiction of a non system .
  21. Put on those rally caps ladies & gents. 00z is gonna reel this sucker in. You know, better sampling and such. .
  22. Waiting for our at range NAMing [emoji854] .
  23. You have bad feelings when it’s literally snowing outside. “I can see the back edge in Nashville” .
×
×
  • Create New...