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SnowGoose69

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Everything posted by SnowGoose69

  1. SnowGoose69
    Only in the year 2020 could I see Isles and Rangers fans all over social media complaining they could not watch/now can't watch their team's game because of power outages...in AUGUST!
  2. SnowGoose69
    Its just hard to get it. Most majors occur in September in that area and by then normally the environment from JAX-NC coast is not usually as good so the systems tend to weaken on that bend. The best way to get a 3 here is the 1938 setup
  3. SnowGoose69
    NHC did not do recon then or was not doing them once north of a certain lat (I forget which). They basically said that as of 15Z as the hurricane was off the NJ shore it had winds of 130mph.. You can find these videos on youtube from TWC. It was not until months later on re-analysis they realized it was probably either 85-90 at landfall. ISP gusted to 84 mph and BDR to 96. Its believed that there was an area near William Floyd corridor where winds were 95-115 in gusts based on structural damage.
  4. SnowGoose69
    The area still has not been hit by a legit hurricane since 1985. I mean Bob went way east, Sandy was more a polar low in the mid latitudes, and Irene was a TS. I have to feel a cat 1 or 2 striking LI is coming eventually
  5. SnowGoose69
    I think the majority of the strongest winds were in a corridor of Nassau to West Suffolk. It seems less outages and damage occurred near the Queens/Nassau border and east of FRG
  6. SnowGoose69
    It was also funkily updating even when it was working. I know quite a few people who are out and were out at 1-130 and it never showed them having no power even when it was still updating
  7. SnowGoose69
    This always happens. They change the updates to once per hour because the site gets overloaded otherwise. My guess is 150-200K are probably out
  8. SnowGoose69
    Another 2 hours probably. You have to go south of a PHL/MJX line to see gusts really stop. The lowering sun angle and less mixing may help somewhat
  9. SnowGoose69
    ISP still gusting to 70 mph
  10. SnowGoose69
    Damn....serious damage down along the water to boats in Merrick and Bellmore
  11. SnowGoose69
    Definitely lower than I would have expected. I still think restoration will take a few days due to downed trees though
  12. SnowGoose69
    You can clearly see on the outage map Merrick got hit exceptionally hard for some reason
  13. SnowGoose69
    The PSEG map went from 47K out to 96K out in one 10 minute update
  14. SnowGoose69
    It looked very similar during Gloria in central or East Suffolk. Most rain was west and it was sunny out with 80-100 mph gusts
  15. SnowGoose69
    68kt at Farmingdale
  16. SnowGoose69
    LGA and JFK both 52kts the last few minutes
  17. SnowGoose69
    Tornado risk looks to be most central and eastern LI based on radar. Nassau should dry slot
  18. SnowGoose69
    You don’t necessarily always mix down winds on S or SE flow. I suspect the event being during the day will help somewhat but we’ve seen plenty of events similar to this which underachieve somewhat
  19. SnowGoose69
    Those are always overdone
  20. SnowGoose69
    NNE moving tropicals verify east of the NHC forecast at 24-48 hours 90% of the time I think.
  21. SnowGoose69
    Remember these things tend to be a bit more east of what you expect. I would not be surprised to see the metro spared the worst winds in the end with a 20-30 mile east kick. Central-East LI though are locks to see strong winds
  22. SnowGoose69
    The development just jumped east over the Bronx likely due to some sort of outflow. I don’t think it’ll get onto Long Island but there’s so much going on now with the outflow I wouldn’t be surprised. I hear thunder here in Merrick almost constantly now
  23. SnowGoose69
    Even heard it here on Long Island
  24. SnowGoose69
    Didn’t think the metro would see much but if this outflow makes it into southern parts of the 5 boroughs or Nassau it’s possible
  25. SnowGoose69
    LGA went from 95/49 to 88/66 when the sea breeze came across
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