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SnowGoose69

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by SnowGoose69

  1. Definitely lower than I would have expected. I still think restoration will take a few days due to downed trees though
  2. You can clearly see on the outage map Merrick got hit exceptionally hard for some reason
  3. It looked very similar during Gloria in central or East Suffolk. Most rain was west and it was sunny out with 80-100 mph gusts
  4. Tornado risk looks to be most central and eastern LI based on radar. Nassau should dry slot
  5. You don’t necessarily always mix down winds on S or SE flow. I suspect the event being during the day will help somewhat but we’ve seen plenty of events similar to this which underachieve somewhat
  6. NNE moving tropicals verify east of the NHC forecast at 24-48 hours 90% of the time I think.
  7. Remember these things tend to be a bit more east of what you expect. I would not be surprised to see the metro spared the worst winds in the end with a 20-30 mile east kick. Central-East LI though are locks to see strong winds
  8. The development just jumped east over the Bronx likely due to some sort of outflow. I don’t think it’ll get onto Long Island but there’s so much going on now with the outflow I wouldn’t be surprised. I hear thunder here in Merrick almost constantly now
  9. Didn’t think the metro would see much but if this outflow makes it into southern parts of the 5 boroughs or Nassau it’s possible
  10. LGA went from 95/49 to 88/66 when the sea breeze came across
  11. Saranac Lake supposedly broke their all time record for the the entire year. Not just May.
  12. The last 30 years its been awfully hard to see 3 consecutive duds in a row. We have been tending more towards extremes so it seems when we have 2 bad winters the next one has always been somewhat good. 1996-1999 was an exception
  13. Likely some type of atmospheric lag from the 09-10 Nino which usually has (and did) have significant blocking. Obviously we did not see that same impact in the 98-99 winter but we did in the 83-84 winter which most would have probably forecast to be a torch and was not.
  14. NYC needs to make up 4.1 degrees by 5/31 to not finish top 10 coolest for May. I'm sure it'll happen but it might not be by much. 1973 was the last May to average below 60. 2008 was close
  15. 1996 never hit 90 after May until like 8/25. And it was a legit no 90 either. I want to say LGA/JFK never hit 90 once during that stretch and EWR hit 90 maybe 1 or 2 times and it was only 90, not even 91.
  16. Didn't realize NYC broke the record for 5/8 as well as they reached 36 at midnight
  17. Still no info yet if JFK or EWR tied their all time records of 34 and 33. both might have between hours
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