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Everything posted by tdp146
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First couple flakes in south east Nassau. We are on the board.
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Thanks for all the forecasting Walt. I stayed in the upper 50s at my location on the south shore and max gusts look like right around 55.
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HIGH IMPACT Stormy Christmas (EVE and morning) 12/24-25/20 6P-10A
tdp146 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
PSEG Long Island saying their employees are on call but not to expect much help from surrounding areas. Not sure I’ve ever seen them say straight up to expect outages to be longer than usual. I certainly hope the inversion helps here because it’s not to comforting seeing the NAM and Euro with 70+ for multiple runs out this way. Our employees will be ready to work through the holiday to ensure that we can continue to deliver reliable power. We expect to have limited assistance from neighboring utilities as they also deal with this storm and holiday schedules. While we will continue efforts to add additional resources, outage durations may be longer than usual.- 227 replies
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HIGH IMPACT Stormy Christmas (EVE and morning) 12/24-25/20 6P-10A
tdp146 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
When out on the roof there arose such a clatter, I sprang from my bed to see what was the matter... Twas the NAM predicting winds of 87 miles per hour.- 227 replies
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I went down at 5pm and got a break in the clouds at 5:30. It’s about 15 degrees above the horizon to the SW. A simple way to judge degrees is to extend your arm and put the bottom of you hand (your pinky) on the horizon. The top of you hand is about 10 degrees. So look up about hand and a half to the SW and you’ll see it.
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Anyone catch the Saturn/Jupiter conjunction? Went down to a park on the water and got lucky for about 5 minutes when a hole opened in the clouds. Got double lucky when someone was there with an 8 inch Dobsonian.
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
tdp146 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Can confirm that icy mess here as well. Although I am getting the very last band coming through now with perfect flakes to put that confection sugar coating onto this ice cake. Wish it could snow like this all day.- 1,011 replies
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I went to sleep during that pouring sleet as well. Classic coastal storm mess outside. 4-5 inches of cemented sleet, ice, snow.
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On the wind side of things, I received my new Weatherflow Tempest last week and hustled to get it up above roofline yesterday. I’m still in a pretty bad spot locally for wind measurements but I got it up at a height of 23.5 feet. https://tempestwx.com/station/34338
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If I can smell the rain because its raining, will I get big snow totals?
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These are the warmest panels from the Euro for 850 and 700. I think the short term models will be key for this. NAM will pick up on the warm layers over LI.
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What’s the avocado situation? My buddy in Miami just had his avocado tree snap in half. Lol
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Harbor Buoy up to 76. Islip back up to 79.7 for a high today. Both are up plus 10 from the Isaias lows just a week ago...
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I was out on a friends boat and it was really pronounced from the bay. Even my big oak tree 3 miles from the water has signs of damage on the south side of the canopy. I remember a similar thing after Irene and things seem to recover the following year. Also- we were about three miles offshore fishing at the Hempstead reef and water temps are recovering. It was 75 all day...
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420k is a lot. Sandy was about 930k at peak I think. Irene was about 350k and March 2010 was 250k (all are Long Island numbers)
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LOL. So the 95k at 4:46 wasn’t even close. Yeah, 338k seems much more likely given the tree damage I’ve seen. Glad I’m not one of them this time.
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It’s saying 95k out as of 4:46. If that’s correct that’s really good. Sandy was 900k and even March 2010 was 250k. Maybe it is because we have lost all the biggest trees over the years like was said. Maybe the more aggressive tree trimming and “hardening the system” helped?.. but then again that might be giving too much credit to PSEG.
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I’m going to guess this is the sting jet. Things have escalated again.
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I can’t upload pictures for some reason but just imagine a 60 foot tree uprooted on top of a car
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There were around 5,500 customers out from last nights storm. Down to about 500 this morning. That will probably be the low number for the day. https://mypowermap.psegliny.com/external/default.html
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Was at the gas station and got half way through filling up and the power blinked from this thunderstorm. Already a few small branches down (one was not so small). If this is a sign of things to come we are in trouble.
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Just got an email from PSEG. If we really do get the severe wind impacts out here, regular people really are not aware. PSEG Long Island has been monitoring Isaias around the clock and our latest projections show that this storm has been escalating in strength and has the potential to cause a significant number of power outages. We now anticipate that this storm may be one of the strongest to reach Long Island in years and some outages could last for an extended period. The energy grid is much stronger now than it was just a few years ago, but we are prepared to respond to any outages safely and as quickly as possible with our own crews and additional utility crews that we are bringing in from off-island.
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