Jump to content

John1122

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    9,688

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    GFS is trying with a second storm not long after this one for Super Bowl weekend but it's much further south this run and it hits Arkansas pretty well and then dies out.
  2. John1122
    Just blitzing central/western areas at this hour.
  3. John1122
    06 GFS maintains the idea of 2-6 inches pretty much for our entire forum region, or about as much of it as you can get in a snow event. A lot of the forum won't get out of the 10s the day after the snow if the GFS thermals are to be believed.
  4. John1122
    Single digits and below 0 in the East the folllowing morning. After that lows in the 10s, highs in the 20s/30s. Then very cold super bowl weekend. Some -10s in Eastern areas. Super Bowl morning Memphis is the only part in the state above 8 degrees. Highs in the 10s and 20s Super Bowl Sunday.
  5. John1122
    Don't worry about the far NE areas, it's still snowing as of that panel. It fills up towards 5 inches and the rest East Tn along and north of 40 is in the purple 6+ inch range as is SWVA with some isolated double digit totals in the mountains and higher peaks. As of now every model except the FV3 is on board for a big winter storm. The FV3 was much drier across the area. That said, the FV3 has been missing badly at this range lately. We just saw how badly it missed the system that came through last night 4-5 days out. The Euro/UKIE/Canadian/GFS are pretty much all on board as we stand now, 3.5-4 days away from this being felt in our far western areas. A few years ago I'd have taken that combo to the bank at this range, but this year it's just been a rough one for the models at anything beyond day 3.
  6. John1122
    The Euro is a Tennessee Valley dream run.
  7. John1122
    What did you get around Christmas 2010? I seen to recall that being a stout clipper that went from freezing rain to heavy snow with a lot of its moisture behind the front. The arctic air squeezes out every bit of moisture. I've gotten 4-8 inches from anafrontal events. I'll have to look more at them. I think we had one in 2014 as well, with snow falling with temps in the low 10s. They may just be more common here with upslope components.
  8. John1122
    This used to be common in my experience. Rain changing to heavy accumulating snow was common. Not so much lately. But we've had a couple of big events imby at least, with anafrontal moisture. Memorable ones were in 1985, 1994, and December 2010.
  9. John1122
    That was surprising. We started 2 hours late to give some time to see what was going to happen and once the freezing drizzle and snow came off and on the roads got like that here and they cancelled.
  10. John1122
    At this point we are in a 2 days out and closer mode regarding models. They've been pretty awful with these systems from more than a couple days away. This type of set up is also more borderline than most.
  11. John1122
    He's a great player but the NBA is all copying the Golden State/Houston way these days. Grant 25 years ago is Larry Johnson with a long NBA career. Grant now may never get to play in the league. Grant scored 43 last night without making a 3. I doubt anyone in the SEC besides maybe Shaq has scored 40+ since the 3 point line without making a 3.
  12. John1122
    I wish Grant the best no matter what he decides next season. I don't really seem him being an NBA player though. He's the type of player that's great in college but there isn't a position for him in the NBA any more. Even bigger guys than Grant who play back to the basket ball don't really do much in the NBA. There's been a multitude of them from Duke who don't cut it in today's NBA, now the league is all about hitting 3 pointers, not 12 foot jumpers. I'm not sure Grant is good enough from long range to attract a lot of attention there. Admiral however, with his ability to shoot from deep and get up and down the floor probably helped his draft stock a good bit by coming back. I actually think the best pro prospect on the team may be Jordan Bowden. He can handle it, has good size, can get to the rim and shoots it well from 3. He also plays very good defense. Regarding the defensive stats I mentioned earlier, Lamonte Turner was the worst offender of letting his man make shots over the last few games. Bowden on the other hand, had held his guys to 4-16 from the field.
  13. John1122
    EPS is 2-4 inches for the entire forum region except Chattanooga, where the average is closer to an inch.
  14. John1122
    The UKIE looked good except for a snow hole in NE Tn and up the east side of the Plateau from Chattanooga to Anderson County. Plateau and West get a pretty good event, 3-5 inches all the way from the Plateau to the Mississippi river, down into Northern Alabama/Mississippi. The Eastern areas get 2-4 as well other than the two mentioned snowholes. But those are probably overdone. Last night the UKIE snow map looked amazingly like the 12z Euro from today, curious to see how much the Euro reflects that same map again tonight.
  15. John1122
    Elevation always helps!
  16. John1122
    Tennessee needs to defend the 3pt line better, but I saw some advanced stats that luck is playing into it as well. Bad luck in this case. Across the NCAA teams make 37 percent of 3s when there's not a defender within 3 feet. Vandy and Alabama managed to get about 25 of those the last two games (way too many) but managed to make them at a 53 percent clip. 16 percentage points higher than that shot would typically yield. Even then and with Admiral in a slump, Tennessee still beats teams like Vandy and Alabaca. Grant fouling out and Admiral having a bad game was too much against Kansas, so the Vols dropped that one.
  17. John1122
    I guess it's upslope related here. It's almost graupel falling, a sleety snow.
  18. John1122
    The 0z UKIE is also a decent system for our forum area, except for the strange snowfree streak along the Southern/Central Plateau and far western areas. Pretty much only the Euro looked bad for the area overnight.
  19. John1122
    Looks similar here. Are you getting the freezing drizzle between snow showers?
  20. John1122
    Snow is now falling with times of freezing drizzle in-between. The ground is now covered, temps are down to 29. It's falling beneath the radar reach, which isn't terribly uncommon for the Plateau. We're on the edge of several different radar sites.
  21. John1122
    Need that ridging in the Pacific to maintain. It mutes the effects of the MJO's bad phases on sensible weather when it's in place. So we hopefully won't feel many effects in 12-15 days from it being in unfavorable areas lately.
  22. John1122
    Switched to freezing drizzle now and the roads have gotten slick enough that school is now cancelled in Campbell County.
  23. John1122
    MRX has put slight chances of snow back into the forecast for tonight, at least for my area, and Saturday night/Sunday as well. Hopefully we can get some accumulations from those events, though it's not terribly likely to be more than a dusting at this point.
  24. John1122
    After what seemed to be about 200 model runs showing 1-5+ inches of snow for a large part of the region, plus freezing rain etc. I ended up with 1/4 inch of sleet/snow mixed. It was enough to delay school here 2 hours.
  25. John1122
    The Euro dries out, so the GFS gives two systems and 16 inches to me. I'm sure it'll change by 12z.
×
×
  • Create New...