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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    The 06z NAM has went bonkers on pivotal. I suspect there must be something wrong with the snow map there, at least for eastern areas.
  2. John1122
    There was too much panic and idiotic national media punditry after the first loss. Beating top 10-15 teams on their home floor is tough business. Heck, Duke keeps losing and doing it at home and gets a pass for losing. Tennessee should return to the top 4 in the AP poll but likely will not.
  3. John1122
    The 18z NAM was snowy. The 00z looks less so. It's going to be a bone chilling rain. It's 40 degrees here with a sharp north wind.
  4. John1122
    Probably not many of these fantasy maps left this season.
  5. John1122
    Norris finally fell enough to reopen schools here tomorrow, though some roads are still closed. It's 10 feet above full summer pool. Even with the spill ways wide open they could only let water out at about 1/2 the rate it was coming in until today, when it finally dropped below the output. It's only supposed to fall 6 inches over the next few days though. Any more rain will be too much rain.
  6. John1122
    There's a big difference in getting a bad call and having a ref potentially altering the outcomes of games with his whistle because he's a fan of a certain team. The NBA ref made about 5-6 bad calls a game to alter their outcome and it worked for a long time. Vegas betters knew about it and won something like 90 percent of bets they placed involving his bets. I don't see how the SEC can possibly keep this guy. They won't change the outcome of the game, but it's very questionable at best at this point.
  7. John1122
    He's clearly an LSU fan and clearly has rooting interests in the league. Unacceptable for any official. That his calls skewed heavily in favor of LSU, including game changing type plays, is especially concerning. At one point he called Grant Williams for a blocking foul where the sole contact on the play was Grant getting elbowed in the face. He made the decision to let the LSU player stay in the game and not get kicked out when said player literally picked up Grant with both hands and slammed him to the floor in a clear flagrant 2 situation. He was right there watching Grant get hooked and held big time at the end of the game, and he went to the monitor and didn't call the hook and hold. Just out of bounds off Grant, because his off hand was in the arm bar and he couldn't grab the ball. Of course he made the final call with .6 seconds left when the ball was loose and the players collided. His calls against Tennessee, were more numerous than the total calls made by any other ref against both teams. The timing is even worse in that ESPN just aired the special about the NBA ref who was fixing games, his pattern of making calls against teams he was betting against were similar to the pattern from this ref vs Tennessee.
  8. John1122
    Long range modeling is well into meteorological spring now. Things also get pretty quiet in here beyond winter, so probably not a huge need for monthly threads for a while. That said, we are coming out of a huge flooding/rain event and the GFS is showing a possible return to those conditions. The 16 day rain total, from 00z shows 10-12 inches falling over the period. So the extremely wet patten looks to continue. There may or may not be a brief cold shot in the early month period and there could be a winter threat in there, though obviously have to be heavily skeptical of it. After that, if we can believe the weeklies, warmth is back for the remainder of March.
  9. John1122
    Beginning to hear deep bass thunder to the SW of me, rain picking back up as well. This should hopefully be the final push.
  10. John1122
    They are rough but they are 100+ year old wagon roads, turned logging roads. They usually hold up no matter what the weather. Not as prone to mudslides.
  11. John1122
    Good thing I got what I needed earlier today. This is the road below my house between myself and town. There's other ways out but they require a good 4x4.
  12. John1122
    It's finally stopped raining here. Not sure how long the break will be. The mountain sides look so unique during these times. All the dry washes are full and it's like long silver streaks flashing down the brown hillsides.
  13. John1122
    As far as any record of mine or my grandfather's, yes.
  14. John1122
    Still pouring down here. The major creek near the house is the 2nd highest I've ever seen it. In an area that's normally around 3 feet deep it's currently around 16 feet deep based on it's height on an old railroad piling that sits in the middle of it. The railroad piling is normally about 12-14 feet out of the water, the water is currently around a foot below the top. A few years ago the creek got high enough to leave a log sitting on top of the piling.
  15. John1122
    I have now crossed 15 inches of rain this month. Over half of that has fallen in the last few days.
  16. John1122
    Saw that Tri-Cities set the record today for rain for the month. Already significantly over with more to come.
  17. John1122
    Norris Dam reporting record breaking inflow into the lake of 66,000 cubic feet per second (500,000 gallons per second). They are currently releasing 14,000 CFS and the lake is at summer full pool and rising rapidly, expected to rise 6 feet in the next 36 hours.
  18. John1122
    MRX is forecasting 2 more inches tonight for me. The hi-res short term models are having epic struggles with this system. Way under doing precip amounts and even initializing incorrectly with precip placement and intensity. The long range globals and the lower res NAM products seem to be doing the best.
  19. John1122
    Pretty impressive state wide totals. I'm at 12.39 as of right now.
  20. John1122
    Add Los Angeles to the areas seeing snow out west. I expect the trough to move east and for Florida to get a March snow while we get nothing.
  21. John1122
    It's just pouring cats and dogs out there right now, the fire hose is aimed right up into my back yard and down across southern Middle Tennessee. I live very near the divide, where the runoff either flows into the Tennessee river, or the Cumberland River. Two creeks behind my house flow into the Cumberland eventually and a three more meet just a few hundred yards away and they form a larger one that eventually drains into the Tennessee. Looking at the HRRR the flow from Southern Middle up the Plateau looks to continue for the next 18 hours almost unabated. Even with that said, it didn't initialize very well, it didn't show my area getting rain right now but I'm getting pounded. The 06z RGEM really brings the heavy stuff. The NAM 3K is the lightest, but I'll go ahead and declare it wrong immediately. I've had as almost as much rain since 1am when it initialized as it shows falling here for the next 60 hours. It only shows .6 or .7 here during that entire span. I'm getting training 35-40 dbz for the last hour and a half. That's about .35 or so inches of rain per hour.
  22. John1122
    Take it with a boulder of salt, but the Euro and GFS both have pretty significant winter storms in the day 9-10 timeframe for a large part of the area. For now they are reeling in what was at day 12-13.
  23. John1122
    Crossing 3 inches for the current event as we speak. Pounding down with occasional thunder. About a week ago the Euro showed 24 hours of thunder sitting right over us and I was skeptical, it's basically been correct.
  24. John1122
    Lots of thunder with the rain here. Had some trees blown across roads this morning. Soaked ground plus wind gusts in the storms did their damage. Amazingly heavy drops here today. Like big summer showers. Except it's cold.
  25. John1122
    Not made it back home yet, but someone said there had been thundersnow/mix going on in the last 15 minutes. Crossville is reporting "precipitation" with lightning as well at 35 degrees.
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