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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    37 currently, but at 100 percent humidity. Should have a heavy frost again by morning. Expecting 30-32 by morning.
  2. John1122
    Ended up at 34 this morning. I expect I may dip below freezing tonight.
  3. John1122
    Another crisp morning, 37 degrees currently, probably have another degree or two down we can squeeze out.
  4. John1122
    It snowed here several times in October 1995, one about 3/4ths of an inch. Didn't slow winter of 1995-96. Also had 3 inches Halloween 1993, January 1994 was brutal.
  5. John1122
    Stinks for the southern Valley areas that they missed this round. Hopefully the next round comes along and does better. Per MRX most areas along and north of 40 received .80-1.3 inches of rain. I ended up with .83 which with the cool day, has actually stuck around a little bit.
  6. John1122
    I'm not 100 percent sure for NE Arkansas, because it was less a correlation for Memphis than the rest of the great valley, but looking into it last year BN Novembers produced memorable cold/snow/ice outbreaks in about 7 of 10 winters. Unfortunately last year didn't work out so well for most of us, falling into the 3 in 10 that don't work out so well. I know for my area a cold November is something I'd rather have on my side than not. Warm Novembers fell flat about 7 in 10 times during winter. With both those said, it seems like analogs are less useful these days in the new climate normals we are seeing these days.
  7. John1122
    Had a fairly heavy shower, .14 fell in about 30 minutes. Hopefully the heavy rain out west can stay in one piece as it moves this way. Would love to pick up a nice 1/2 inch or so from this.
  8. John1122
    It's wild how much warmer you've been than my area when we normally have similar temperatures.
  9. John1122
    The EPO has been predominantly negative since June, if we can keep that up, it could make winter interesting. It drove winter for several seasons in a row when all the other teleconnections looked bad.
  10. John1122
    It's odd that the graphics suggest warmer than average temps here during the -PDO but during the -PDO of the mid 1940s to the late 1970s we saw our coldest and most snowy winters. In te core of that -PDO that started in 1947, from 1955-1970, for instance was far far cooler on average in winter than the 1985-2000 period in the + PDO that flipped in the late 1970s. ;Looking at the graphic below, you can almost match it up that when it's in the warm or +PDO phase, it's warmer than normal here, when it's in the cool or -PDO phase, it's cooler than normal here.
  11. John1122
    I'm not sure if it makes much difference at all, but the snow cover in the NH is much more expansive right now than last year at this time in our source regions. Last year NE Canada had more snow than this year. Russia, Siberia, Alaska, Western Canada and the upper Midwest are far more snow covered at this time vs last year on this same day.
  12. John1122
    Another frosty morning, 35 this time. Leaves are hitting the gas and turning quickly.
  13. John1122
    I'll be in Florida that week or I would have.
  14. John1122
    See they finally fixed the reply field. Made it down to 32 this morning. Heavy frost out there.
  15. John1122
    I believe the CCHS band may have been there, I believe one of them told me last week that they had a band competition in Sullivan County, if that's the one you were at. Down to 36 degrees here and foggy. Think we can run at 32 or 33, the dewpoint has fallen to 33, down from 39 a few hours ago.
  16. John1122
    39! First 30s since spring. Clear but at the dew point. I expect frost by morning.
  17. John1122
    Georgia loses. Tennessee wins. Rare day in CFB.
  18. John1122
    46 degrees and heavy mist. 30 degrees cooler then yesterday evening.
  19. John1122
    Another day in the low 60s, actually can see the leaves changing it seems like.
  20. John1122
    How fun would it be to see this in winter? We haven't had a -NAO average in October since 2014. Memorable winters don't match up in any particular fashion with a -NAO in Oct. 2013-14 both had -NAO Octobers with cold/snowy winters for parts of the forum area. As did 2009 and 2010, both 09-10 and 10-11 were cold and snowy winters. But the frigid snowy winters from 1959-1966, as well as 1995 leading into 1996 and the late 70s winters were all +NAO Octobers.
  21. John1122
    Non stop drizzle/mist here and 55 degrees. Didn't add to the total really but has kept things wet into this evening.
  22. John1122
    Maybe some patchy showers down stream. Between the storm Saturday night and the rain today have added .45 to the bucket for October. Around 1/3rd what was modelled just a couple of days ago. At least it's been cloudy and cool so the rain didn't burn off. Currently 63 and maybe falling into the 50s late this afternoon into early evening.
  23. John1122
    Rain just fell apart for East Tennessee as compared to its trek through West and Middle. Rather than the .5-.75 forecast I'd say .1-.25 unless it redevlops.
  24. John1122
    Had a thunderstorm and some steady rain earlier. Hope to get the leaves nice and wet over the next few days to slow or prevent flash fires this month.
  25. John1122
    Up to 87 here today. Probably the hottest October day here ever.
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