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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. I am sure areas to the East will do much better but it's hard to beat getting to see these huge flakes falling while red birds fill the apple tree by my feeder in the daylight. Daylight snow is just rare here any more.
  2. Ripping half and silver dollars now. Or fatties as some would say.
  3. 32 and the ground is milky white. Large snow flakes with probably 5 percent sleet. Just enough to barely hear it.
  4. Just turned the corner. Heavy snow now. Quarter to half dollar sized flakes.
  5. If it went north after 240 all of East Tennessee and East Kentucky probably gets 10 more inches.
  6. It's only below freezing on the Plateau and NE of Morristown that run. Knoxville gets 20 inches of snow in 18 hours at 33. There wouldn't be a standing powerline in the entire valley from Morristown to Lawrenceburg.
  7. Me too, sleet is a good base for snow to lay on if the ground didn't look like a lake. But it eats up precious snow QPF and use West siders can't afford that.
  8. I'd forgotten how loud heavy sleet was. I'm currently 80 percent sleet, 20 percent snow.
  9. Holy mother....probably mixed or sleet south of 40 on the Euro, but lordy.
  10. Moisture has moved back over me 70/30 snow rain mix. Running about 45 minutes behind the HRRR changeover time.
  11. Soon as I post that I look out and it's snowing mixed with sleet. Just lightly though.
  12. 36 and strong north winds here. Precip down to drizzle.
  13. Cold is around 30 minutes behind schedule vs modeling. I was modeled to change over at 1 and I don't think I'm going to get there. Another surge of heavy rain and 41 degrees.
  14. Just flooding down rain. Gonna be so close to ending here when the cold arrives. Just have to hope the backing happens. I may be too far West and this might be the time things verify more East than west on a modeled precip shield.
  15. Trying to see if it popped/where the Lee side low may be. Right now the only surface map i can find with a L shows it near Harlan Ky.
  16. Below freezing about 80 miles west of me. 47 here with moderate rain. Looks like its 47 in Oneida and 36 in Jamestown.
  17. This area will progress quickly. The reason Eastern areas see snow initially is a low will develop on the front and basically stop it until the low passes. The rest is from convective snow bands from a trailing upper level disturbance.
  18. 3k NAM is going to be more aggressive with the initial snow and has the convection captured in the Mid-state popping.
  19. 06z NAM moved everything about 25 miles further West. Knoxville for instance want from 2 to 3 inches. My area went from around 1 inch to around 2.5. Holston in MoCo went from blanked to around 1.5 inches. That's without anything convective yet. The NAM 12k just doesn't see it like the other models but appears to have a bit breaking out in Eastern Middle early Christmas morning.
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