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John1122

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  1. John1122

    ENSO

    John1122 replied to jaxjagman's topic in Tennessee Valley

    CPC went bullish for the follow up Nina, usually a good pattern for the western 2/3rds of Tennessee in winter (see last year) but occasionally the SE ridge will be suppressed enough for the entire state to cash in pretty well. 2010-2011, 1995-1996 come to mind.
  2. John1122
    Had some moderate showers again today, but not as long lasting or intense as yesterday and the day before. It was extremely humid and my grass managed to stay wet all day as the showers were timed out just enough to not let it dry.
  3. John1122
    Another soaker rolling across. A few rumbles of thunder with this one.
  4. John1122
    Had a good hour long soaker earlier today, sprinkles off and on the rest of the afternoon into early evening. 71 degrees on the 7th of July is really hard to complain about.
  5. John1122
    It's rained every day this week here and it's coming down heavily now. Crazy how much difference being closer to the mountains is from its rain shadow.
  6. John1122
    Nice heavy soaker rolled over. Lots of lightning and thunder but nothing severe here imby even the storm was warned.
  7. John1122
    The last ENSO probs I saw from a few days ago were 55% neutral, 30% La Nina, 15% El Nino for DJF with increasing neutral odds for JFM. The oceans are odd right now with a lot of BN and AN that basically are blotchy across the basins. So at least the oceans aren't a rampaging torchfest any more and the La Nina did work in taking away a ton of that stored heat.
  8. John1122
    I'm not sure what we will see winter wise but I do know that we've rarely had one cold/snowy/icy without having another one or two after it over the last twenty or thirty years. For that reason alone I wouldn't be surprised to see a fairly wintry pattern at times during D-M. I do know that while I enjoy most forms of cold/freezing weather, day after day of freezing fog and freezing drizzle is something I'd rather not see again any time soon. It profoundly changed the shape of the tree canopy here.
  9. John1122
    Another cool morning, dropped the temp in the house down so much my A/C didn't kick on until about 3:45 this afternoon.
  10. John1122
    Have my motion camera out behind my house a little ways down in a dip along side the creek trying to get pictures of a bear that's been in the area. It apparently gets chilly in that dip. It was 46 at 1am last night when that blob (it's a raccoon) set the camera off.
  11. John1122
    All the best to your wife and family buddy. Praying everything is benign and she's quickly on the road to recovery.
  12. John1122
    That's wild. We've not had anything nearly that long of a thunderstorm gap.
  13. John1122
    53 this morning and only 71 right now. I'll order more of that for July but won't expect it back until September.
  14. John1122
    I ended up with around 5 and a half inches of rain over the course of the week. Rainy, but nothing like last year or the year before when I was having a 3-4+ inch rain event every few days. Still we have had historic floods 4 times in the past 30 months. That's due to having the rainiest years in the last 100 years or so back to back.
  15. John1122
    Thought it might be a day without rain today, I was wrong. Looks like more tomorrow then it will finally dry out for a few days.
  16. John1122
    I'm 1000 percent in support of lower humidity. The air sweats it's so humid. The entire week it's been 85% or higher and often 100%. It's 94 percent as I type this.
  17. John1122
    2.36 inches of rain since Sunday after a very heavy overnight shower. Looks like quite a bit more to go this week.
  18. John1122
    Trying to avoid running my heat, it is 56 again this afternoon and down to 66 in the house. Will likely ring in Memorial day with it on with mid 40s or low 40s possible tonight.
  19. John1122
    Impressive for 3pm on May 29th.
  20. John1122
    Ended up with 1.61 inches of rain from this. The cool couple of days will keep it from baking out too.
  21. John1122
    Had some nice rains already today and the main event is still on the way. Forecast for tomorrow is amazing for nearly June. Mid 60s and mid 40s.
  22. John1122
    Actually had some rain a few minutes ago. Not a lot but enough to wet the ground.
  23. John1122
    Still not been terrible temp wise. Nights are in the low to mid 50s because the air is so dry and we have just been a touch over 80 today with around 79 the prior two days. Looks to get hotter over the next 3-4 days then maybe some rain. I've been watering my tomatoes at night but nothing else so far. The creeks are still running above normal for this time of year, so there's pretty good soil moisture still available.
  24. John1122
    38 degrees on May 15th. Wild.
  25. John1122
    36.5 this morning. That's very chilly for mid May.
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