
John1122
Members-
Posts
10,778 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by John1122
-
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
John1122 replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I never get shut out, but have had 2 of the worst years in about 90 years of records here in the last 3 winters too. I'm excited because I have a shot at getting to my average this year. I really hope you guys can get a nice event. I always look back at the frequency of heavy snow events over the entire forum and they aren't uncommon in Middle Tennessee or East Tennessee, they are less common in West but still used to happen. It's been a long while since there was a widespread 12+ inch event in the eastern areas and even though Northern Middle had one in 2016, the rest of the midstate hasn't seen one in a long time either. My last 12+ single event was 2010. My last 15+ was 1998. Both those types of events used to happen far more frequently. I'm not sure why they've stopped. We still get plenty of juice and we've still been downright frigid in the 2010-2020 timeframe. You'd think we'd have lucked into one. -
Light snow shower underway right now. 37 degrees, temp fell from 41 to 37 in just a few minutes.
-
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
John1122 replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I know it's been worse for our mid-state and western posters with some painful misses. But still likely has been better for them than the past few winters where a flurry was hard to come by in January. -
If you went across the bridge and up Turley (everyone calls it Red Ash, but it's not.) My great great grandfather lived on the very top of the mountain there where it cuts back towards either Scott County or on back into Red Ash/Caryville. I live on the East side of 75.
-
I wouldn't live anywhere else unless it was just higher up the mountain, above 2500ft is one of those lines where it's different in snow events. The WMA literally borders me on all sides. Good for hiking, recreation etc.
-
That's all Campbell Co, Scott border is about 7 miles west. That exit has just boomed for the city of Caryville. Those hotels stay booked year round for ATV tourism. I can be at exit 141 in about 10 minutes on an ATV.
-
Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I've now had at least some snow on the ground all but about 7-8 days since Christmas eve. I saw that the Smokies have now had snow on the ground continuously since November 30th. -
Part 2 will be here tomorrow night. Probably lighter this round. I'd guess a heavy dusting to maybe 1.5 inches in the lower elevations with a lot more likely in the lower range of accumulation. Still I think a few people will get lucky and do okay with it. It's going to be colder than last night and today. My low is forecast to be 26 with the snow falling tomorrow night.
-
Actually you were close to my house most likely if you were on the Royal Blue/North Cumberland WMA.
-
I never was able to get more than an inch down. Once the sun came up it was just too much for any additional accumulations.
-
Getting close to an inch. Can't tell if the backside is close or not because of the dead radar zone over Fentress and Scott County. Looks like some cellular blobs have been hitting small areas of the midstate.
-
Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'd forgotten how good it felt to have a "normal" winter. Where it actually snows during the winter months on a fairly regular basis. Even if it doesn't snow another flake after today I've already had more snowfall and snowy winter days than I have in several years. Even one of our snowy years a few years ago was warm n Dec/Jan that went arctic in February and we had a 10 day snow/ice blitz. -
Up to quarters falling now. Probably 1/2, mile visibility. Heaviest snow so far. Temp went back up 1 degree when it started snowing hard. I've never seen temps fall when it's snowing less and rise when it gets harder.
-
Temp went back down to 31, approximately 1/2 inch has fallen. Nickel sized flakes coming down.
-
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
John1122 replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
6z GFS has today's snow, another light clipper Sunday night, a storm south of the forum region around 144-162 that snows in a bit of the area, but has oddly little qpf in the colder areas. Then a major winter storm for the Western half of the state at 234-240ish. -
Finally started in earnest here about 30 minutes ago. Temp actually went from 31 to 32 when the snow picked up.
-
Finally started snowing here again. Still at 31, hope to get an inch.
-
After reading the AFD from MRX the mid-levels of the atmosphere aren't saturated here so that's why it looks like the precip is falling apart. Looks like another hour or two before it gets here.
-
It's odd, the Western plateau is just eating it up it looks like. It's like its hitting a wall there. Don't know if its an angle thing or what. It just won't move past Fentress down to Cumberland Co.
-
That's great. Was it from the 1st wave or the bigger wave that's moving in now?
-
Light snow started here. Hoping to squeeze out an inch or so. 31 degrees after getting down to 28 briefly. So at least the ground is frozen if we can get anything to fall.
-
Looks like it started breaking up. Wasn't sure if it was the Plateau affecting radar or the band dying out. The main snow per Morristown here is just before daybreak until noonish.
-
I always love the Star Wars hyperspace driving!
-
Looks like the edge of the first middle TN band is moving onto the western edge of the plateau.
-
Looks like Lebanon is about to get it per radar.