Jackstraw

I set you up for that one lol

Growing more concerned with the wind with this thing. May not be a big deal in city/town centers but outside of those we could be looking at some serious drifting. We've got 3-4 foot ice guard rails out here in spots from plowing the drifts from last week with 10-15KT N winds over 3-4 inches of fresh cold powder on top of the glacier/snowpack. Models and offices have been slowly amping winds, especially Monday -Wed, from 10 to 15KT to 15-20 with gusts to 25KT's. All from the NNE/N for at least 48 hrs or longer. I can see hwy's like 32, 28 and 24 in IN even being highly impacted besides the secondary country roads. Could even possibly see I-70 in east central IN having some issues especially if winds continue to slowly climb. If we do get 6-10 or more of this fluffy powder it's not going to take much to move it around this glacier. Could easily see some drifts as high as 6 feet in some of the notoriously bad spots around here. I know that wind doesn't sound like a lot but I would compare it to a 29 degree December 6 inch 12:1 snow with 35 KT winds. Let the fun begin

Yeah hoping for minimal wind once this stuff turns to sugar. Always seems like we're the last to see a plow out where I'm at. Plus its going to be falling on top of a mini Cyclone77 glacier so little resistance to hold it in place.

My dogs have been howling for the last 20 minutes. They never howl midday. It's happening.

I'm within my model semi trust range of 24hrs. Some of the 06Z runs are pretty impressive with synoptic snow of 6in up to Chicago. I'm going to call 8 here by 12Z Tuesday. I think some of the lower amount models are undercutting ratios, some as low as 12:1 from some of the soundings. Not buying .4 -.5 qpf through 72 hours with 5 or 6 inches of snow. We should see 15:1 minimum around here even with fairly warm 700mb temps at times. Think its going to be more like a "mountain" snow with cold temps and a pretty deep DGZ nearly to the surface, light wind, nice size flakes, moderate to heavy at times, but a solid 24hrs of it.

90 miles and a lake makes quite a bit of difference in the winter eh?

I lived down there in the early 80's. Got a surprise inch of snow and .10 of ice very early on a Monday morning. The interstates looked like a July evening at a local Midwest demolition derby track when all was said and done. They had no clue you couldn't go 70 mph on that lol.

FWIW 18Z GFS ticked NW

With this little burst of 2 inches this afternoon and evening we've got a decent 6-7 inch snowpack going and looks like it's going to stay and get built on for possibly 2 more weeks. Like I've said before, maybe 1 out of 4 winters do we get to enjoy this. Also we had some really good drifting out here in the country late this afternoon and evening. Some stout 24 to 30 inch drifts on the E-W roads in places, 2 footers common place, some roads impassable without a 4wd. Joys of living in the stix

And the totals are beginning to drop lol

Been off and on since noon. Nice band set up overhead now w/ +SN Hallmark nickels falling for the last 30min. May end up w/ 2 before all is said and done. Also getting some decent drifting out in the country.

Wasn't there a discussion a couple 3 years ago, or more, about why snow seems to disappear under evergreen trees even when it's very cold? I tried to search for it but can't find it, probably me doing something wrong. I'm only asking because once again under a grove of evergreens on my property the snow is completely gone exposing bare ground. 5 inches poof, gone in a week without a temp over 20. May not of been this board but still, and if I remember there wasn't an exact reason. Could be wrong, just curious.

You had a chance to get up to the mtns this winter? They're having a pretty good year below 3k feet. Can be iffy on the Carolina side a lot of seasons. My ex wife said Maggie valley as had a really good winter so far.

Got a nice burst of Texas flake +SN just before dawn this morning for almost an hour. Enough to completely cover the dogs in about 10 minutes. Rough measurements of 1.5 to 2 around outside this morning for the 24 hour period. Looking like our friends south of I70 in IN are getting some well deserved amounts. Seeing a lot of 2-4 inch reports down there, and it may stick around for more than a couple days. This pattern can stick around for the next 2 weeks as far as I'm concerned. It's been a while since it's looked and felt like winter around here without frozen slop or torturous barren cold being dominant.

Been SN to -SN here for the last 2 or 3 hours. Pixie to quarters and back again but steady. About an inch so far. There seems to be a touch more moisture than forecast (doesn't take much with these temps) and the subtle forcing seems to be hanging around longer than forecast. Returns to the west looking decent so maybe add another inch or 2 by morning if we're really lucky. Keep the Swoop McClain ripples coming

I'm happy where I'm at. As long as the BCZ pretty much ripples along where it's at it keeps my mini glacier in place, keeps any brutal cold just to the north and keeps a to much rockin WAA to my south. I prefer a weeks long chilly winter phase with 1-2 here and there and a 3-5 tossed in for good measure. We don't get a winter spell like this very often so I'm on board. Better than a potential big dog that usually fails along the I70 corridor followed by frozen mud.

This season was the first time I have rooted against the Bucs since Steve Spurrier took them to an 0 and 14 record when I was 14 years old., leaving the Chiefs as my favorite team for the newly formed Bucs. I have been a Bucs fan since their inception. I have suffered the ridicule, the embarrassment, the attacks for being a Bucs fan. The entire time the Bucs were in the black and blue division that is most of this sub, and every team chalked up two wins before the season even started because they each had 2 with the lowly Bucs. I lived in Florida and got 2nd degree burns from sitting on the shiny aluminum benches that some engineer from Green Bay thought was funny to put in the Big Sombrero, in the Fl. sun, creating a human BBQ pit. I went to tons of home games where there were more Bears, Packers or Lions fans than Bucs fans and they treated those games, and the area, like middle aged men on Spring Break. I held fast for this team for 45 years. 45 years of humiliation. 45 years of ridicule. 45 years of being the skinny kid shoved in the locker. Those 2 flags right before halftime were as suspect as Bellichecks alleged involvement in low pressure balls. I bailed this season because of GQ. I will never return to the team of my adult life as long as GQ is there. The words of Polonius.. “This above all: to thine own self be true, And it must follow, as the night the day, Thou canst not then be false to any man.”

Make that 2 bartender, I'm buying, make 'em extra dirty

Had about 30 min of fat flakes and vis down to a 1/4 mile, at least thats how I measure vis to my neighbor thats a half mile away. I couldnt see his street light for about 20 min thats usually a 1/4 mile vis. Swept a half inch off the deck. Fat flakes were 3/4 by themselves lol. I'll call it a disappointing half when the offices were forecasting 1-3. Temps rose from 11 to 16, but finally now falling towards the forecast 0 low. We shall see

^ Lmao on that disco .... Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves.

Hell yeah. Those Cornhuskers can weenie spring all they want. It's hard living here in the winter hinterlands lol.

Whatever. My winter just started. BBQ on ice till I get my fill lol.

Well these reports aren't encouraging. Thought we might squeeze out a couple around here. Have to reduce the 10 day clown maps by 2 inches now

You seriously want to double GFS snow amounts 2 weeks out? If the fantasy range brutal cold the GFS is bringing happens Birmingham AL is gonna get more snow than we will lol. It's advertising 2014 cold and trust me we're not built for that, don't want it, MN and IA can keep it.

Where are you at? I've been underperforming temps for a month.