Jackstraw

03Z RAP cracking me up lol

18Z RAP soundings now have me under 6 hours of pingers and FZ. Better not have to give up a foot of snow for that just so the folks on Northern edge can get 3 or 4 more inches. Thats meltdown criteria lol.

Never seen a mesoscale surface pressure map like this. Its almost symmetrical lol. Can definitely see the area where the clash will begin.

KIND has slowed the onset of liquid here by 6 hours

Looks like the GFS has a stronger upper trough over Hudson bay reinforcing the southerly cold air push suppressing the surface wave. GDPS has that trough weaker and flatter allowing the surface wave to hook a little longer before shunting east. Maybe

I sure hope the ice totals on the far south edge are way overdone. I wouldn't wish 2 inches of FZ on anyone. Those totals could be pretty devastating across 8 states.

KIND mets tired? lol .LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday) Issued at 259 AM EST Tue Feb 1 2022 Dry but cold weather will follow Friday into early next week. Temperatures should stay below normal with little if any snow.

so who u buck tucking the most? Sugar Icon? (bringin back the dancin 'mater lol)

True but youd think alot of it would be shunted south and east. Theres been an overall drying trend. Total QPF has come down fairly significantly across the globals in the last 24hrs

Models are slowly waking up from their crack party when it comes to totals.

Think this 00Z GFS initiation at the surface has a lot to say generally

Just received

We are now into the 3 dimensional Pachinko phase of the game lol.

Subtle differences in the way the models are handling that cutoff off the mid-atalantic. seems the ones with a more N bias have it stronger pumping the mid level ridge some

Thats actually a bit of hope where we're at here. At least with a fully phased system its like a hooker, you pretty much know what your gonna get. These quasi phased half slop messes more often than not with the second part we get bent over like the last goat in a herd in the desert whithout a courtesy reach around.

You must be riding the RAP lol

KIWX going with 6-10 inches Wed and Wed night 2 miles to my north. KIND not biting on snowfall amounts 2 miles to my south. Thats life on the edge lol. KIWX Wednesday Rain before 9am, then snow. High near 35. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Wednesday Night Snow. Low around 21. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. KIND Wednesday Snow, possibly mixed with rain, becoming all snow after 2pm. High near 36. Northeast wind 7 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between three quarters and one inch possible. Wednesday Night Snow, possibly mixed with freezing rain, becoming all snow after 8pm. Low around 22. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. KIND for Kokomowx 15 miles to the NW Wednesday Freezing rain, possibly mixed with snow, becoming all snow after 7am. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 33. North northeast wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between three quarters and one inch possible. Wednesday Night Snow. Low around 21. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

Agreed. Not buying those 25-30 in totals either. Think this 12Z Euro run makes more sense, with the usual 10-15% or so reduction, from a storm(s) total standpoint. And of course because it keeps the FZ- pinger party away from me

Probably me lol. Per usual a 25 mile shift is the difference of warning criteria snow or hellish cold rain, FZ and pingertown misery.

lmao

IM SURE GLAD NOTHINGS CHANGED AROUND HERE!!!!! lmao

lol

Why are people posting GFS clown maps at 240 hours? (sarcasm)

Hey all, been awhile, thought Id jump back into the fray as winter here has s####d so far. Except for the nickle dime half inch at a time 2 inch weenie pack from last weeks paltry clipperfest thats the only measurable snow so far. Plus the fact i got skunked with GHD I and semi skunked (comparatively) with GHD II I'm putting the Pagan Hexy Hex on the Chitowners for this 'possible' GHD III storm. Y'all have had yours so far. Hoping it buries the I-70 north crew from IL to OH for once. Been riding the Euro wagon with this one, think the GFS is too slow with the arctic death cold thats coming. Besides Im jonesing to get the dogs in the truck and go drift busting. Probably just jinxed it lol

Thank goodness there is no wind. I've never seen the tops of these leaves lol