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Jackstraw

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Everything posted by Jackstraw

  1. Absolutely. And notorious IN November breakouts fit my chasing style, sit and wait because most of the time you ain't gonna catch them lol
  2. To be fair any of the globals out that far could predict the Cubs winning the Super Bowl lol. However the NHC did mention using Google DeepMind's forecast in a few of it's discussions on Erin (in an experimental capacity). I will say this. I'm strongly suspect of some the discussions coming out of our local office. They have a very "machine" like feel to them at times, especially on weekends. I'm sure it's coming big time. It's inevitable
  3. P&C has us 1 degree short of 3 nights in row in the 40's Mon-Wed. I don't think I ever remember 3 consecutive sub 50 evenings around here in August. Preface of things to come a few months down the road (as long as there's flakes involved of course ) ? A weenie can wish lol
  4. Airing out a couple jackets today. Getting ready for the "freezing" blast of possible upper 40's next Monday night in August! Bring it! lol
  5. Flash Bang lightning out there. 3-5 strikes a minute. Watched from the porch for 90 min as these mini complex's moved SSE. Best light show of the year. They are just now weakening which could mean some left over outflows for initiation tomorrow morning similar to earlier today. Best light show of the year, until its on top of you lol.
  6. That's gotta be a monthly Anvil Rain record lol
  7. Like clockwork the first week of August the crop dusters invade. They were extra heavy this year. I saw as many as 6 flying around from my back porch one morning. Same time every year, free airshow lol.
  8. I'm ready for Blizzard Warnings already lol
  9. Not too bad here today but yesterday was like wow. When the wind picked up in the afternoon mixing down the smoke it literally smelled like campfires smoldering. Strong too. I went out back once to make sure my scrap wood pile wasn't burning lol
  10. It was chilly here. Was 56 at 7am. Supposed to be a little cooler overnight maybe as low as 52-53. Loving the low dews more than anything. It can be 95 with a dew of 55, wouldn't bother me. Maybe we can keep those 70's dews away for awhile
  11. Picked up another 2.5 as of 8am. Some spots just North picked up over 3. Widespread 1-2 around N Central IN. I was actually chilly this morning for the first time since early May and it was 69 lol.
  12. Lake Louise! Max Webster's song, April in Toledo... "Say's she's takin' a break... from my face" lmao
  13. The next couple of days the ridge riders may stretch their legs a bit to the ESE. These next round of SW's look to be stronger and have a better thermo environment than the last couple of days. I could see some fast moving bookends today and tomorrow maybe into IL/MI before this ridge completely collapses mid-week.
  14. We got a tenth early yesterday morning to keep this streak alive but I saw y'all got dumped on. We are drying out as much as possible with the humidity today so far. Maybe this evil leak in the atmosphere above us has finally been repaired lol. Crazy stretch of rain locally to be sure.
  15. Are you pushing the "anvil rain" record yet? lol
  16. Its getting Stephen Kingish around here. There's another little train that started about 2 hours ago. Its snaking 5 miles north and south and just dumping. I've gotten another .25 inches out of it and its still going. You can see it on radar. There's a boundary there but its been there like forever lol.
  17. Yip, between early this morning (literally one cell out of nowhere just like yesterday morning) and this afternoon we picked up another half inch or so. I was in New Castle and Chesterfield yesterday afternoon, cumulus back building from OH but no rain and when I got home around 8pm there were puddles everywhere. Between the one yesterday morning and early evening nearly a half inch. It's been like this everyday. I've lived around sea breezes and such, all that crap. When I look at Sat pics of central Indiana theres more often than not a thin stripe of clouds building in this area lately. Like I said, almost as if a latent outflow boundary has nestled in here. There were some studies back in the 90's concerning this type of phenomena and hurricane tracks but that was more centered on where the seasonal steering ridges were setting up as they can fluctuate a great deal. They were looking at correlations of early season moisture transport from Gulf and Atlantic, where heavier rains were occurring, that could show subtle areas of where say the Bermuda high was setting up that could give them clues as to where landfalling storms may be more prevalent for the coming Summer/Fall. I remember Bob Sheets discussing "follow the moisture" when referring to this. Had it bookmarked eons ago cant find it. Probably barking up the wrong tree. I mean we have had a meandering boundary through here for about a month with nothing major shoving it about. Was just wondering if such a thing may or not exist even theoretically. Like a little atmospheric wrinkle thats just floating around awaiting a 50 degree dew dry line to sweep in (or is that me lol) Plus I'm bored, freakin' sauna outside now
  18. I know glaciers have nothing to do with my rain lol. thats a whole different subject. I'm not that crazy... yet lol. My question was more towards a subtle weakness that lingers in the atmosphere where rain can develop more often than not. Kind of like an outflow boundary thing that can hang out for a month lol. Not a permanent thing. I know it sounds a little crazy Edit: We've definitely felt the heat Island effects from the expansion of Indy to the N. Will get some training storms up out of Indy
  19. So anyone with more weather knowledge than myself (which is most of you lol) answer a question for me. Is there such a thing as a medium range "weakness" trend that can get established over a somewhat small swath of geographic area. For instance I know that generally I70 and US40 run right along the usual storm tracks for low pressure moving from the SW/W US to the E/NE US. Storm tracks from the NW drape their cold fronts in an orientation that parallels those roads. Those roads also roughly run right along the the southern boundary of glaciers during the last glaciation period. Probably why it was a natural trail established by migratory animals and/or our ancestors (or some of our ancestors) I don't know. I'm getting into uneducated guesses lol. Anyway, my point is, can an area of weakness become temporarily established, however subtle over certain areas along this general storm track and "hang around" for awhile so that when we get into a pattern such as now with lots of pop ups around that area receives enhanced rainfall? I know these things happen on much larger scales i.e. the Bermuda Ridge etc. but can they form for a few months over certain areas for whatever reason? Just asking because I have been trying to get some stuff done outside every day since the 4th and 90% of the time it has rained and stopped me. And it's not widespread. I can watch the radar and a damn shower/storm will popup out of nowhere within 10 miles of here and roll right over us then dissipate, the radar blank for 50 to 100 miles around. If I was in a cult I'd blame the windmills like every other idiot around here Maybe being inside because of the rain has me paying to much attention to it or maybe I'm just nuts lol
  20. Ha!, evapotranspiration came up on here like 10 years ago when it was used in an AFD. Iowa corn gets blamed for everything lol
  21. Forecast for Columbia SC for the next week. The freaking air sweats there in August. Just a "hey it could be worse" post lol.... Tonight Mostly clear, with a low around 74. East wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm in the evening. Thursday Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 3pm and 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Thursday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Light south wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Friday A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 96. Heat index values as high as 103. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Friday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 77. Light southwest wind. Saturday Sunny and hot, with a high near 101. Saturday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 79. Sunday Sunny and hot, with a high near 102. Sunday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 80. Monday A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 102. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Monday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Tuesday A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 100. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Tuesday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Wednesday A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 101. Chance of precipitation is 30%
  22. All this rain we've had over the last 6 weeks or so and the UFO landing pa... I mean Pixie rings are every where, and I mean everywhere. More than one would usually see around here. If I start hearing crickets chirping Irish jigs I'm gonna start drinking again lol
  23. Seems like there's a pop up around here every day. Another one this morning, just popped up and dropped another quarter of an inch. I'm at 27 inches or so since 3/1 in my gauge. With models toying around with anywhere from 2-5in's in the next 10 days or so I could be over 30 inches of non tropical storm rain by the end of July. That's getting close to a years worth of liquid. Crops are definitely having their usual effect on low level humidity levels keeping dews in the 70-80% range. These night time dews in the 80% range can be suffocating even with overnight lows in the upper 60's to 70. Your body has nowhere to transfer the heat except a sweat rag lol. It's also hard on these crops. Mold issues are exploding. Field sprayers have been out in force trying to rescue a severely shunted soybean crop around here this year. Could get our first real shot at some swamp weather coming North next week. Models are really trying to roll in some South Calalacky crap next week with 90's, rain. and dews approaching 90% at night. Yeah, that's why they OD on Ice Tea down there, and beer lol. This has been one of the most humid, damp, muggy summers I've experienced since I moved back so far.
  24. Dammit, was going to go RC flying today but we're suddenly getting some wind. It's only 15KTs but thats too windy for me to risk my old 48in balsa wood Pitts I built with my son back in the early 90's. I would cry if I pile drove that thing into the ground lol. It's full aerobatic and a bitch to get up in the air (and back down!) but once up this thing can scream over 100mph in a dive. Rated at 20G's (pretty high for doped wood) and I've accidentally pulled 30g's with it while missing the bottom of a loop and saving it with less than a foot to spare. I haven't flown it yet this summer which is rare, I've usually had it out by now. I need nice calm wind to fly it in and haven't had it yet (at least not when I had time to fly). If it was more modern foam or composite like some of my others no big deal. But if you've ever built a balsa flyer re-building one sucks! My son won with it in a couple of straight aerobatic contests (not that vertical dancing BS) down in FL. It's still a little bad ass flying weedeater. I'm going to try again tomorrow, I'll post some pics, I just took it apart and travel packed it. I might go to RC Park nearby tomorrow if the winds good.
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