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Jackstraw

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Everything posted by Jackstraw

  1. That SW IN cell is getting ready to move into some decently populated areas like Martinsville. Cookie cutter subdivisions from hell around there
  2. That was one of the biggest debris balls Ive ever seen
  3. Wow pretty amazing system... Mesoscale Discussion 0417 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023 Areas affected...Northern and Eastern Illinois...Southeast Wisconsin...Western Indiana...Far Southwestern Lake Michigan Concerning...Tornado Watch 96... Valid 010054Z - 010300Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 96 continues. SUMMARY...A threat of tornadoes, wind damage and large hail will continue across much of WW 96 over the next 2 to 3 hours. Parts of WW 96 may need to be extended in time, beyond the 03Z expiration. DISCUSSION...The latest radar imagery from Chicago shows a line of severe storms moving eastward at nearly 70 knots across northern Illinois. This line is located within the nose of a 500 mb jet, which is creating very strong large-scale ascent across central and northern Illinois. This combined with about 75 knots of deep-layer shear, evident on the Chicago WSR-88D VWP, will be very favorable for severe storms. In addition, RAP forecast soundings near Chicago increase 0-3 km storm-relative helicity into the 300-350 m2/s2 range by 02Z. This suggests that the tornado threat will continue early this evening as the line approaches the western Chicago Metro. Tornadoes will be most likely with supercells embedded in the line, and with rotating elements associated with short bowing line segments. As the line moves eastward into the Chicago and Milwaukee metro areas, wind speeds could reach as high as 80 knots along the leading edge of the line. To the south, other more discrete storms are located to the east of Lincoln, Illinois. This area is just to the north of an 850 mb jet. For this reason, a tornado threat will likely be maintained with these storms. A widespread wind-damage threat will also be likely with the stronger cells, especially if a nearly continuous line segment can organize. ..Broyles.. 04/01/2023
  4. Insane warm dry line kicking in from the SW ahead of the front, 78/16in eastern KS
  5. Man the radar dried up like a Stephen Wright stand up routine. It didn't just move out, it vanished. Pretty crazy.
  6. I thought JB was full of it 25 years ago and I still believe he is majorly responsible for the sensationalist BS mass produced "science" of forecasting for public consumption of the last couple of decades. It's my opinion of course but I think he did a lot of damage to the real science some of which we have yet to recover. March has delivered the 2 biggest double digit snows in my area the last decade so Im not completely done yet lol
  7. Yeah I went out around noon to look and it was worse than a 50mph blizzard lol. I'm guessing 2.5 in my guage, Im not going back out unless it warms up. KIND is saying winds should increase until about 10pm now. 58 highest gust here so far 980mb pressure. I want 979 dambit! lol
  8. Its 981 here. We just might make it into the 970's. Lowest non official I've recorded 978 here once on my old station in 10 years.
  9. Was looking at those. The dynamics of this system have been impressive all day. Like you said some cold air or even heat up the warm sector this coulda been a humdinger.
  10. Just had a non storm gust of 56mph. I wanna play too, its all I got
  11. C'mon down here with us Interstate Kitchen Sink er 70 posters, we'll toughen you up lol.
  12. Pressures are 977mb in SW IN and some pressure falls of 5mb's in 2 hours. Thats some serious Mack Daddy shit for around here...
  13. Yeah, in a way we're lucky. This system is just thermodynamically short of possibly being one of those March outbreaks for the history books.
  14. Well it's not snow but it is freakin knarley as hell out. 36F 2.25 in of sideways rain so far wind 25-30 gusts to 45 for the last 4 hours. With a 988mb pressure and falling it has seriously felt like a tropical storm for the last 4 hours outside with big drops slamming the windows in the howling wind except the wind chill is 29 lol. Ima gonna go looking for that flying pizza
  15. 5.5 inches final call here. BTW I'm really high, I just saw a flying pizza. Goodbye cruel winter
  16. Blasting giant flakes. Heading back out to play while the defo sits on my face lol
  17. And so it begins, parachutes sighted. Deck covered in about 10 min. This is a bit of a rare system for us if the heavy snow rates being forecast pan out later this morning. We usually need these systems to come through at night (unless we're in early Feb arctic mode) or we lose a lot to liquid. We dont get to see sustained 1-2in/hr rates in the daytime around here very often. Looking forward to it hopefully. Good luck to all
  18. Mesoscale Discussion 0102 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023 Areas affected...southern portions of IL...IN...and OH Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 250544Z - 251145Z SUMMARY...Broad precipitation will continue to overspread the region from around 06-12z. Localized heavy snowfall rates greater than 1"/hr will be possible. DISCUSSION...The low-level precipitation field continues to expand in advance of a negatively tilted upper-level trough ejecting over the central CONUS. Snowfall rates of 1"/hr have been reported from eastern OK northeastward through southeastern MO, and in some areas localized snowfall rates around 2"/hr have been observed. The broad precipitation band responsible for these snowfall rates continues to translate northeastward in tandem with 700-mb frontogenesis and mesoscale isentropic ascent. These features are expected to persist for the next several hours and produce 1"/hr snowfall rates through 12z, generally advancing from west to east across the outlined area. Snowfall rates of 2"/hr or greater will be possible in localized areas where enhanced forcing overlaps non-zero potential buoyancy (10-20 J/kg MUCAPE) in the dendritic growth zone. ..Flournoy/Moore.. 01/25/2023 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...PAH... ILX...LSX...
  19. I've been out driving and walking a limping dog the last few hours (I live in the sticks) and its probably for black ice. The weekend stuff finished melting this afternoon but its been extremely damp out there all day and evening. We had maybe 2 hours of sun today, not near enough to dry secondary roads completely especially with the dews we had today. I can attest that about an hour ago there was suddenly an invisible glaze on the road as I slid right through a stop sign. About busted my ass a few times walking. Its like an eggshell thin layer and its patchy and kinda scares you to be honest lol.
  20. And in my call for 6 too. Still ain't shovelin' it
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