weatherwiz
-
Posts
71,087 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by weatherwiz
-
quite a few 60+ gusts on Long Island. -
TOR warning down in MD
-
Up over 10K now without power in CT
-
that line in the mid-Atlantic has a good amount of lightning with it. Models push some very impressive CAPE up this way just ahead of the line. Have to watch extremely closely how this line produces down in the mid-Atlantic. If they're getting nailed with damage we can expect that here.
-
you can check mesoanalysis
-
That's going to be the issue...it remain rather gusty through tomorrow so that will hurt efforts a bit. agreed
-
The inflow too is coming from higher theta-e air/CAPE to the east of it. that could really help get things going
-
It is getting very windy here in Branford. something just blew into the back of someones car here
-
getting close to a TOR east of ABE
-
poweroutages.us when from like 134 to over 1400 in 15 min. 1,421 as of 1:06 now 2,797 as of 1:22
-
Power outages rising quickly in CT
-
TORNADO WATCH UP SOUTHWEST OF HERE!!!!!!!! Coming here next!!!!!!!!! wooooohooooooooo
-
That stuff coming up in SE PA might be aided by the H7 dry slot and is right on the nose of steeper lapse rates. Even on the nose of a secondary H5 jet max rounding the base of the trough
-
starting to see some weak mesos in PA and with that stuff off the coast...that stuff will graze far SE CT (perhaps), RI, and SE MA later
-
Core of LLJ will be confined to this area. LLJ will continue to increase through the afternoon. Bigger gusts happen as 925 cranks
-
I thought we would see 30% wind contour in SE PA/NJ into SE NY
-
2-8
-
that is the activity to probably watch moving through the afternoon.
-
yeah I think there will be some lightning in the more robust convection. There is a bit of lightning with that activity just offshore. Actually a decent amount of hail CAPE so if any updrafts can grow tall enough to punch into this layer we'll see lightning. Perhaps similar to the Cape COD TOR warning last week where there was a rapid increase in lightning just prior to strengthening rotation.
-
Window to watch is between 3-7 PM I think from NJ into southeast NY perhaps into southwestern CT...probably the greatest chance for severe weather (widespread wind damage and a few tornadoes) is in this corridor.
-
Bingo One thing to watch too is where this axis of higher theta-e traverses. Does appear this clips at least parts of CT/RI/SE MA
-
both. Although the TOR potential with this setup is a bit odd...probably moreso along the lines of cells merging
-
There could be a second window across the Cape...like sunrise surprise window.
-
agreed.
-
Think we could see an enhanced risk with next SPC update with SLIGHT into SNE.
