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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    We hope and pray. Maybe a big severe wx event coinciding with game 2 of the Bruins series.
  2. weatherwiz
    Monster hailer in IL
  3. weatherwiz
    Where do you go to get FOUS data? One of my professors was a huge fan of it, used to use I think it was Texas A&M (which I did) but it like stopped working on there (this was several years back, maybe its good now). Anyways, I know its a bit extended, but playing around with some mixing levels on 6z GFS for bufkit Thursday and it won't take much to get on the + side of 70.
  4. weatherwiz
    Yeah Thursday should be quite warm for sure. The main sfc low is tracking well off to the northwest and we lose the influences of the departing high so the flow throughout the column column is predominately SW unidirectional. Mixing should be pretty strong and with enough heating temps should soar. NAM/GFS bufkit look like lower 60's for BOS Thursday. NBM is 70. I would definitely hedge towards the NBM and maybe tack on another couple degrees.
  5. weatherwiz
    I think I'd be shocked if BOS was in the 30's all day, but I guess it isn't totally outlandish to think they may pull upper 30's during the day. 12z NAM has some pretty impressive llvl cold at 925. It's certainly warmer above this, but if BOS struggles to mix...yikes.
  6. weatherwiz
    Not too often you see the GFS on the uglier side of things
  7. weatherwiz
    Lower Hudson Valley special coming right on up
  8. weatherwiz
    hmmm I could have swore we broke 40 a few years back.
  9. weatherwiz
    The record happened a few years ago...I think it was 41 or 42 (old record was 38 which I forget what year that was from...might have been sometime in the early 80's).
  10. weatherwiz
    One that starts in May and doesn't end until early September.
  11. weatherwiz
    Not bad out today just quite gusty. Can't wait for it to get like another 15F warmer...but ultimately, can't wait for it to get another 40F warmer.
  12. weatherwiz
    Could see some showers and thunderstorms (NON-SEVERE) Thursday afternoon.
  13. weatherwiz
    I don't think heating was the issue and the "humidity" is relative. I'm trying to go back to the SPC mesoanalysis archive to see regional obs yesterday but it's not working.
  14. weatherwiz
    I don't think so because even moving into eastern NY the line didn't have any juice. Wondering if there was maybe some subsidence or maybe an enhanced area of dry air? I know when I was looking at this initially some days back some soundings within the region had a quite a bit of dry air (which of course was associated with the dry slot) with enhanced moisture convergence along the front.
  15. weatherwiz
    I think the plume of steeper apse rates was north which may have helped with the better MUCAPE north. Maybe the southern batch robbed what moisture was available farther north? The models though were pretty consistent in nailing the areas that got nailed. I thought we would at least see something better across western MA and western CT. But overall, a pretty decent event down into NJ/DE.
  16. weatherwiz
    Yeah isn’t that something. Pretty bizarre. Have to go back and re-assess everything. Pretty wild it just split and died into CT. Going to guess what helped northern sections was maybe being closer to the s/w forcing and down into NJ they had higher dewpoints.
  17. weatherwiz
    Going to be getting some good lightning in Springfield but I’m not there BOOOOOOOOOOO
  18. weatherwiz
    Nope. Oh well. Nice setup just a bit too early
  19. weatherwiz
    Congrats NJ and DE
  20. weatherwiz
    Probably not a terrible spot. HRRR targets farther south and west but I don’t think it looks terrible for western CT
  21. weatherwiz
    Severe watch for Litchfield, Fairfield, and New Haven until 10
  22. weatherwiz
    Those are 2-6km so low-level but those are what you want to see when looking at the potential for widespread damaging wind gusts. Especially if you have strong shear to tap into
  23. weatherwiz
    Waiting for it to populate to read the discussion but the outline is a red box. Could be under consideration for a TOR
  24. weatherwiz
    Curious to see if damage reports roll in from around BGM
  25. weatherwiz
    RAP forecast in a few hours
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