weatherwiz

Enough to get anyone's attention

I can't wait for mid-April when the GFS starts peeking into May

It’s almost getting easier to get high-end severe events here then major accumulating snow events

Maybe some thundersnow for northern peeps Saturday night

There really is no reason to believe this spring won't act like the past several have. Sure we'll have our nice days, but they won't be consistent. More times then not it will be chilly and you can bet at least NNE will see accumulating snow chances through April. We'll probably flip the switch to summer late June.

maybe the changing wavelengths is what we need for something to work

empty seats?

Let Saturday be poopy. Bruins play at 1:00 and pegging it as when they can officially clinch the Atlantic Division. Great day to sit inside and watch hockey.

It would be nice if that high to the north wasn't scooting off to the northeast so quickly.

Agreed...it's not warm by any means, but certainly nothing cold enough to generate enough excitement for snow chances outside of northern New England or the high terrain. Hell, I could see portions of northern England with some accumulating snow chances into May. It's not that uncommon up north. I'm hoping some some quiet weather these upcoming months with an inactive tropical season

Interior and elevations certainly will continue to have accumulating snow shots through the next month or so. Elsewhere it really is just going to come down to hardcore luck.

It seems WAY mote difficult to classify structure of EL Nino (west, basin-wide, east) then it is for La Nina.

They might have had a record a few years ago...or at least I think a top 3.

Can't believe we're only 45-days away. Hell, in another month the end of the GFS will be peaking right into the start of severe season WOW

I'm guessing it will suck again. But with the rotting Nina and the atmosphere slowly flushing itself, we may have hope

Probably moreso north of the Pike, but could be some nasty snow squalls around Sunday

When you get back to it and you use the site I sent you, when you generate the composite, scroll down and there is an option "Back retaining options". This will eliminate that bug of de-selecting the two dataset options.

Well with things heading towards the quieter direction, it's time to really make moves with the ENSO thread and gearing up composites. I just wish it was so much easier to make composites, especially when doing different breakdowns and such.

One more month! I think playoff start April 17

Great point. Forecasting has come a significant way...even in the last 10-15 years. We can have a solid idea now of storm potential 7-10 days out now which was unheard of before. Take even this winter...while it didn't work out, there were some storms that were signaled well in advance. Look at California too...the stretches of active weather they had were signaled well over a week out

There are just so many products and data now and it becomes overload...not too mention laziness. This isn't applied to anyone in here, but it seems alot of forecasts out there are just based off the assessment of a few products. I mean take severe weather for example (I'll lay off the snow maps for once). I know this winter has actually been above-average for severe weather and tornadoes, but there have been a ton of setups which have been way too hyped. There's been several events all mentioning "potential for strong tornadoes" and some of those events barely even produced. Everyone sees cute hodographs, pretty colors on the Significant Tornado Parameter/Supercell Composite parameter charts, and you'd think there were going to be 50 EF5's

What makes this stuff (long-range) so difficult is, sometimes it's not about the pattern, it's about the processes which occur for the pattern to develop and the deviations within the pattern. Sometimes I think we get too caught up in looking at just a static ENS mean. We see a deep trough in the East on the D6-10 or D10-14 and assume that equates to "good potential", but does it really?

Just time to move onto next winter. Now it's about the Bruins/Celtics playoff push, hoping the Red Sox aren't laughable, and then spending as much time outdoors as possible.

I just want to see trees start budding and get 60's for now. Then have months on end of 80's 90's with humidity.

I guess it's similar to making the playoffs as the final seed, yet winning the championship. Maybe a better example is the NBA...making the playoffs the #8 seed with a record of 31-51 and winning the championship