weatherwiz

This wouldn't really be effective with the general public, but I think it would be beneficial to start looking at above-below average temperatures in terms of standard deviation as opposed to just the boring ole departure. Hell, I think it would be great to be able to do something based on a historical basis. For example, say the average high temperature at BDL is 52. It would be interesting to see each high temperatures for each March 23 in the database. Judging a 60-65F reading against that average may seem quite impressive, however, if the data is skewed towards that range is it as impressive as it really seems? also, outliers should be removed from the calculations (I wonder if they are or not).

Not sure why I have any semblance of excitement, but I guess if there is potential may as well root for it. But with baseball around the corner and playoff hockey/basketball just bring on the 60's and 70's. Close the book on winter...it's like a final chapter that just won't end.

Massive differences with the handling of the PV and associated confluence. Until there is any idea on what this structure and evolution will be models/ensembles are utterly useless in terms of run-to-run solutions in terms of SLP and crap. They aren't going to tell us what we can't already decipher and that is a evolution like the Euro is higher storm potential and evolution like GFS is nada. Need to get consistency and clearer picture of the PV/confluence.

wtf

Enough to get anyone's attention

I can't wait for mid-April when the GFS starts peeking into May

It’s almost getting easier to get high-end severe events here then major accumulating snow events

Maybe some thundersnow for northern peeps Saturday night

There really is no reason to believe this spring won't act like the past several have. Sure we'll have our nice days, but they won't be consistent. More times then not it will be chilly and you can bet at least NNE will see accumulating snow chances through April. We'll probably flip the switch to summer late June.

maybe the changing wavelengths is what we need for something to work

empty seats?

Let Saturday be poopy. Bruins play at 1:00 and pegging it as when they can officially clinch the Atlantic Division. Great day to sit inside and watch hockey.

It would be nice if that high to the north wasn't scooting off to the northeast so quickly.

Agreed...it's not warm by any means, but certainly nothing cold enough to generate enough excitement for snow chances outside of northern New England or the high terrain. Hell, I could see portions of northern England with some accumulating snow chances into May. It's not that uncommon up north. I'm hoping some some quiet weather these upcoming months with an inactive tropical season

Interior and elevations certainly will continue to have accumulating snow shots through the next month or so. Elsewhere it really is just going to come down to hardcore luck.

It seems WAY mote difficult to classify structure of EL Nino (west, basin-wide, east) then it is for La Nina.

They might have had a record a few years ago...or at least I think a top 3.

Can't believe we're only 45-days away. Hell, in another month the end of the GFS will be peaking right into the start of severe season WOW

I'm guessing it will suck again. But with the rotting Nina and the atmosphere slowly flushing itself, we may have hope

Probably moreso north of the Pike, but could be some nasty snow squalls around Sunday

When you get back to it and you use the site I sent you, when you generate the composite, scroll down and there is an option "Back retaining options". This will eliminate that bug of de-selecting the two dataset options.

Well with things heading towards the quieter direction, it's time to really make moves with the ENSO thread and gearing up composites. I just wish it was so much easier to make composites, especially when doing different breakdowns and such.

One more month! I think playoff start April 17

Great point. Forecasting has come a significant way...even in the last 10-15 years. We can have a solid idea now of storm potential 7-10 days out now which was unheard of before. Take even this winter...while it didn't work out, there were some storms that were signaled well in advance. Look at California too...the stretches of active weather they had were signaled well over a week out

There are just so many products and data now and it becomes overload...not too mention laziness. This isn't applied to anyone in here, but it seems alot of forecasts out there are just based off the assessment of a few products. I mean take severe weather for example (I'll lay off the snow maps for once). I know this winter has actually been above-average for severe weather and tornadoes, but there have been a ton of setups which have been way too hyped. There's been several events all mentioning "potential for strong tornadoes" and some of those events barely even produced. Everyone sees cute hodographs, pretty colors on the Significant Tornado Parameter/Supercell Composite parameter charts, and you'd think there were going to be 50 EF5's