weatherwiz

Pretty impressive for around here. Yes, there has been a definite drop in violent tornadoes over the past decade (though maybe up a bit this year?). What's really interesting too is aren't tornado related deaths up a bit?

wow just saw there was an EF-2 tornado in New York (Sullivan County) Saturday. I think I saw something that we are off to a historic start in terms of confirmed tornadoes to start the year (even ahead of 2011, but remember it was pretty quiet that year until late April and May). Already an Ef3 in Delaware and an EF2 in New York and were not even into severe season yet.

7-days to go!!!

Great day to just watch the Bruins, Celtics, and Red Sox.

8-days to go!!!

Drive back to Springfield going to suck

Thunder in Groton!!!

At a wedding in Groton. Well at the reception. Lightning off the coast and not the Tampa bay lightning either. Might have to go outside and see if I can see the lightning soon

9-days to go!!!

I do

Top 5 day today

10-day countdown! 10-days to go

Same thing with 84 in Southington...it's puzzling

Saw Kevin Hart at Mass Mutual Center last night...what a show

That's pretty close to how it goes

And as quickly as it became cloudy it became sunny lol

It is quite tedious making so many different composites. I only did those breakdowns for those variables mentioned. When it came to temperatures and 500mb height anomalies I just focused on DJFM. I think though for composites I'm only going to focus on 500mb height anomalies, temperature anomalies, OLR anomalies, SLP anomalies, and precipitation anomalies. I already have pretty much all these done (except for precipitation). I'm highly debating creating a website too where I can post these composites (especially the GIFs) so it will be easier to assess.

Holy crap did the clouds roll in quick.

Well it's not so much what the event looks like during the summer, but moreso how the event is evolving moving through the fall. For my composites I did when it came to SST's, OLR, and SLP I did composites for DJFM, OND, NDJ, and DJF to assess how each of these events evolved through the fall.

Maybe I am wrong on this, but one is how the event develops. Your typical EL Nino develops off the coast of South America and the warm anomalies will develop and expand westward across the equatorial Pacific. So really you either are going to have an east-based event or a modoki event (I don't think there really is a west-based event). La Nina's can develop anywhere within the basin and you can have your coldest anomalies west, basin, or east (and of course you have your modoki).

It looks amazing out, though a bit chilly right now. Neighbor had the pines cut down Monday and there is so much light now, it's great.

That's not what I said. I said last week we'll see a day or 2 this week where we'll be stuck into the 50's. I also said the other day we'll see an overall pattern that is warmer vs. cooler. We'll have these cool days mixed in, but when we warm we will be quite anomalous. I may have even said this yesterday.

12 days away 10 day countdown begins Friday

Gotta say...this was modeled pretty well last week.