weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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This is great stuff...thanks!!
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maybe we'll get some type of prolific hybrid in late October in which a hurricane comes up the EC and interacts with the remnants of a TC moving up from the GOM and pulls down air straight from Santa's house and we get a region wide 3-5 foot snowstorm with supercells on the leading edge
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seems weird to have the E PAC or the PAC quiet with multiple chances in the MDR...in June...with a Nino setting in?
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Perfect comparison haha
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We need to get some of that Texas weather into here.
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Medium-range (or more-so longer end of medium-range) forecasting right now is almost pretty pointless. There is or has been no clear-cut signal as to what to anticipate. The hemisphere (at least our end) continues to be in a state which continues to elicit the tendency for EC troughiness and closed lows.
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It will certainly be more summer-like the end of the week in terms of temperatures. Very possible the highest temperatures will be north, but most everyone (outside of elevation of course) should get well into the 80's. Dewpoints won't be anything crazy
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I love watching the rain come in at you
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Rain incoming!
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Thunder!!! At Bevertail
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Going to RI and hoping to get lucky with lightning today
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for hail (1'') it's been a while. But got some storms last summer that had some pretty strong winds, I think one I was at BDL for and they did measure severe gusts.
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maybe can get some lightning with that batch headed towards southern CT
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I think our "peak" is like early-to-mid June into early-to-mid July...but obviously our peak is very short. However, some of our bigger events have come mid-to-late May and then later in the summer.
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Oh well...hopefully if we can flip to a more hot/humid pattern we'll get some better chances.
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unreal...what an absolutely terrible decision. Outside of what I mentioned earlier about becoming lazy, some of the higher end (though localized) events we have had (6/1/2011, 05/15/2018, 08/27/2020) have certainly changed my perspective about storms around here. Sometimes it's really hard to get excited without seeing an EML in place or steep lapse rates with a cold pool.
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Getting lazy with this stuff...falling into a trap. Used to spend time fully assessing synoptics, instability, shear, soundings, etc then using simulated radars as a guidance tool...but lately it's become just running to simulated radars and using other stuff secondary.
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The HRRR overnight started to trend like crap but we should have just gone. I also thought when looking at radar much earlier the initial activity may have held things back but it really strengthened. But we'll see what happens...I think the atmosphere is more stable once you near Trenton anyways so this stuff may come down quickly. But should have just gone anyways.
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and a tornado warning in SE PA. Hit me with a spiked bat like Glenn in the Walking Dead. Someone Neagen me
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If you're not melting, you're not happy. That's the new motto of summer
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Didn't go to NJ...screw this and screw this pathetic summer. The heat signal will probably be fake and we'll probably fine a way to trough. But I hope to hell this heat verifies...I hope it gets so hot and so humid that EVERYONE melts when installing. I hope it's so freaking uncomfortable everyone complains.
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The last 3 cycles of the hrrr ughh
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Going to go to Winslow, NJ tomorrow. Going from New Britain and not Springfield so that takes off some travel time.
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weird how that watch box states that...must be something local office did. Watch states hail up to 5'' in diameter.
