weatherwiz

This while week has been absolutely deflating...well really the last 10-days. We need an atmospheric throw up because its been the same garbage the past 3-years. We see these "favorable East Coast" patterns pop-up in the long-range only for cyclogenesis to end up happening several hundred miles farther West. it's absolutely insane. Each of the past 3 winters now have seen the same thing happen with these powerful Arctic front intrusions...the trough axis ends up being way too far west. The shift with this from mid-to-late week and the end of the weekend was ridiculous. At least there is actually the potential for some strong-to-severe thunderstorms Friday now

oh...no this isn't a game used jersey. It's just authentic (what you could buy in the team store. It's just I got it for well over $100 less then what it would cost in the store).

the team store? probably lots. or where I got it? I bought it from someone selling it on ebay.

I guess part me of is happy we didn't get slammed with snow here. A friend of mine directed me to someone who was selling a store authentic Charlie Mcavoy jersey. I could have either participated in bidding or buy it outright for $120. Considering they go for $250+ in the store I bought outright. Hoping to get it today and the snow would have negated that.

wow that's nuts!

Cold air really held strong in the Valley's. Really sucks how the storm evolution played out. We were not far off from a pounding.

Flakes!!! distinct flakes now!!! Still a mix but getting towards the big fatties stage. Woohoooo

It's becoming more snow...I think, unless my eyes are playing tricks. Come on change...please change. Still mostly rain though b/c I can see the pavement being pelted with rain.

Heavier rates now and definitely getting snow mixing in...but its fake flakes b/c they're legit almost fully melted. I bet if I climbed the giant pine tree in the back it would be snow at the top of it.

Up in Litchfield County...I think they have elevation too there.

I think it's now trying to flip to snow here!!!!! Thank you CEF obs!!!

CEF is 34 reporting a rain/snow mix. Nothing but anger provoking rain drops here. The kind that disguise themselves as fine little snow grains but you go outside and its fooking liquid rain.

can I count big raindrops as fatties

I really want to close my curtains. It's depressing looking outside seeing RAIN falling. Actually the stupid weather thing at the bottom of my computer says HEAVY SLEET...torture. It's a stupid, downpour of cold rain. I'd rather just lay down in a parking lot next to a parking garage and have drunk people piss on me.

Friend of mine got about 1/8th of an inch of ice in Northfield

In Litchfield COunty from the 18z NAM.

Can also switch over to mesoanalysis. Two things to watch for a big thump tonight 1) Strong llvl WAA 2) Strong frontogenesis right on the leading edge:

No problem, just my quick assessment. I'm leaning towards a flip back over to snow during the very late afternoon or early evening there. It will be super interesting there, especially since the depth of the warmer layer is quite shallow.

Looks to be eyeing on stronger lift within the DGZ zone. I don't totally buy an all snow-event for Portland though given some onshore flow and temps spiking up a bit, however, during bursts of stronger lift there could be flips to heavy snow or at least a mix. I think though rain could quickly flip to snow moving into evening as winds become more NE.

GFS bufkit keeps Portland all snow with a dumping of it

12z NAM bufkit for BDL. I kinda find it hard to believe ptype is rain around 6z. This also matches what the SREF has for a decent thump

This is 9z but showing potential for a decent thump at BDL

Sometimes these SHARPpy soundings can also be a bit wonky with their outputs too.

Holy crap...that is a great sounding. Some of the soundings were showing potential for a pretty solid thump which lead to to think 2-4'' for northern half of Connecticut. I really hope that verifies.

At least with 18z data yesterday it was tough to find that outside of southern Vermont down into the Berkshires and into extreme northwest Connecticut.